Yet Another Round of Rains(9/29-9/30) for SNE. Will it be Benign, Big, Or Biblical this go around?

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

West is best, but you’ll rain into midday tomorrow. 

He’s had a half inch of dry. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

49 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

How is it around town? Getting ready to head home. Barely any rain where I am at.

Some flooded underpasses and road closures. I haven’t heard of any structural failures or life rescues yet though but INeedRain is on standby…

[HoarfrostHubb]

44 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Check this ... but I'm pretty sure no model had moderate rain all the way to Lakes Region of NH, either. 

Yeah... they really threw up all over themselves with this one in some ways

[FXWX]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Go go go !

3.30 here in Burlington...

[HoarfrostHubb]

Over 1.0" in my hood... so much for maybe 0.1" for the event.

BOX fail...everyone fail...

[Sn0waddict]

Been sitting just on the edge of the rain band for what seems like hours now.  Which is fine by me lol

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, FXWX said:

3.30 here in Burlington...

1.81” here. GFS looks wild tonight 

[WxWatcher007]

 

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Over 1.0" in my hood... so much for maybe 0.1" for the event.

BOX fail...everyone fail...

Ya they did. It surged north.  That was evident this morning as it just kept pushing on up. 

[TalcottWx]

Some models say we're not even close to done here. 

[ineedsnow]

23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Some flooded underpasses and road closures. I haven’t heard of any structural failures or life rescues yet though but INeedRain is on standby…

Lol pouring here.. wasn't really worth going anywhere in my opinion flooding will happen but nothing crazy I don't think.. 

[Cyclone-68]

Does seem like a bit of a non event here. At least up until now 

[Snowcrazed71]

2.90" rain here... Coming down steadily to sometimes heavy. I don't think this is nearly done. I think we'll have a bit of a lull in the next few hours, but it seems like it'll ramp back up and go through tonight. The question is when will it end tomorrow. This could be some pretty impressive amounts when it's done.

 

 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

Some models say we're not even close to done here. 

Ya got all night to go.

[ineedsnow]

This Afternoon

Rain. High near 57. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

 

Box has some catching up to do here

[kdxken]

23 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah... they really threw up all over themselves with this one in some ways

[OceanStWx]

21 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Over 1.0" in my hood... so much for maybe 0.1" for the event.

BOX fail...everyone fail...

Biggest bust is definitely near the MA/NH border.

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Essentially double what they were predicting yesterday.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

This rain event was going to be very hard to predict 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

This rain event was going to be very hard to predict 

18z HRRR even having trouble with the rain around here pretty much doesn't even show it

[Typhoon Tip]

You guys may find this shocking but ...the models are bring rain a week from Saturday

[Damage In Tolland]

Just hit 2.00”.  . Well before I thought we would. 4-6” +  seems likely here 

[WxWatcher007]

 

[WinterWolf]

13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

This rain event was going to be very hard to predict 

But that’s why they(NWS) make the big bucks. Gotta step up when the call is difficult. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro literally locked onto this data and days ago. It kicked ass 

[Typhoon Tip]

It was 2 days ago, but yeah... It was inconsistent before that.  It really honed more than the others on the 18z run 2 days ago.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just hit 2.00”.  . Well before I thought we would. 4-6” +  seems likely here 

Congrats homie. 3.65” here. 

[Ginx snewx]

23 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

What happens if we get a foot of rain for Brooklyn and Queens?

8 to 10 so far

[OceanStWx]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

But that’s why they(NWS) make the big bucks. Gotta step up when the call is difficult. 

Actually so much more of the job now is explaining to decision makers what the realistic goal posts are for an event like this. So you have to be willing to put it out there when the alarm bells are ringing. The secret is that the EM community understands what it means when you offer a 90th percentile forecast.

[Go Kart Mozart]

Is the worst over for Brooklyn/Queens?