Yet Another Round of Rains(9/29-9/30) for SNE. Will it be Benign, Big, Or Biblical this go around?

[powderfreak]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hope you’re right . I am very worried about a mild dry suppressed winter 

Mild and suppression would be an interesting combination.

[Hoth]

46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Although Kev stuff seems to like to redevelop along 925-850 LLJ so something to watch for 4"+. Funny little Stein slot near HVN. 

We take.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

31 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

1.91” so far here.  Wtf?    
 

Congrats, you should be able to tack on at least another inch!

[CoastalWx]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yup 14.41.. only 2 of last 4 months.not 3  June was dry till that last week 

Wunderground must be wrong. Only had 5 and change for you in august. Weird. 

[Modfan2]

Looks like heaviest is on LI or off shore, dry or stable air coming from the east looks like it’s affecting it?

[FXWX]

31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hope you’re right . I am very worried about a mild dry suppressed winter 

Right now, suppression is not my concern.  

[WxWatcher007]

Little sucker holed here with 1.62” (big surprise) and at 12.20” since September 8. Incredible. July and September over a foot of rain. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

My son and his gf are up at Smugglers Notch in VT doin a disc golf weekend.  Thank goodness it is dry there 

[Modfan2]

1.84” so far and have been under the slot for a bit

[powderfreak]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

My son and his gf are up at Smugglers Notch in VT doin a disc golf weekend.  Thank goodness it is dry there 

It’s too bad the clouds came in.  Today was just like cloudy and 50s.  Not much redeeming value, but yes dry.

Only 3” up here in September.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

It’s too bad the clouds came in.  Today was just like cloudy and 50s.  Not much redeeming value, but yes dry.

Only 3” up here in September.

I might wind up with that much today (2.11 and steady rain)

Edit 2.16”.   

[Brian5671]

About 3 inches here-still going and looks to be back building a bit

[Damage In Tolland]

24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wunderground must be wrong. Only had 5 and change for you in august. Weird. 

That’s correct . Only 2 out of 4 months double digits 

[Damage In Tolland]

Closing in on 3” . Another half hour or so 

[MJO812]

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, tunafish said:

And the first flakes of the season at the picnic tables right behind it - that's been modeled for several days now (at least on the GFS).

Yup ... I'm just not sure how much normalization that scenario can take before that becomes cold upslope water... It'll be close.

Not the thread for it but I ended Kevin's warmth parade in his October thread saying we got 6 ... maybe the first 7 days of October/ beyond which there is pattern modality.  The problem is, all the models at this range see the horizon like the moon coming up - huge.

[WxWatcher007]

What is the GFS doing?  

[Typhoon Tip]

22 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

My son and his gf are up at Smugglers Notch in VT doin a disc golf weekend.  Thank goodness it is dry there 

I'm hoping this shit gets outta here by Sunday morning ( like actually ... not just cuz the models say it will ).  I wanna break in my new Destroyer

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

What is the GFS doing?  

Damaging night unfolding 

[Sn0waddict]

Getting some thunder here. Heaviest rain of the day too.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4.06”

Time to gummy…

[Sn0waddict]

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

What is the GFS doing?  

RGEM/CMC actually show it too. Lol. But I would trust the meso’s with this storm.

[CoastalWx]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s correct . Only 2 out of 4 months double digits 

You said 3

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

You said 3

I did but corrected in another post 

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

What is the GFS doing?  

It’s got that from 18z-00z mostly. Strange 

[Typhoon Tip]

20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s got that from 18z-00z mostly. Strange 

Juding by BOX rad it's onto something ...even if its off by timing ? 

This model hasn't really been handling this some some playing catch-up seems underway.

[Spanks45]

28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

4.06”

Time to gummy…

just emptied the stratus, 4.15" here as of 6 pm.....

[WhiteLawns]

LMAO the sea lions have escaped their enclosure and swimming around the Central Park Zoo. Crazy day down there today.

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

It’s too bad the clouds came in.  Today was just like cloudy and 50s.  Not much redeeming value, but yes dry.

Only 3” up here in September.

This year, dry is a redeeming value. 

[Torch Tiger]

20 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said:

LMAO the sea lions have escaped their enclosure and swimming around the Central Park Zoo. Crazy day down there today.

cool