Yet Another Round of Rains(9/29-9/30) for SNE. Will it be Benign, Big, Or Biblical this go around?

[cardinalland]

GFS did horribly with this storm

 

new haven is down to drizzle right now but the main band is moving closer slowly

[40/70 Benchmark]

41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I noticed earlier this morning some of the men had planned to have their schlong extend up over my noggin tonight. Starting around 7-8 PM thru much of the overnight. Might be wild 

Sounds wild, to be sure

[SJonesWX]

<0.1” so far 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I didn’t see any forecast calling for 1-2” along the MA/VT border.  
 

[Hoth]

Credit where credit is due for the high res models consistently nailing western LI and lower HV. What a storm for them. 

[WxWatcher007]

 

[Typhoon Tip]

I don't know why in the hell are these 'honorable mention' Darwinian runner-ups. They're venturing under ground into terminals that are in a flood situation

[OceanStWx]

9 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I didn’t see any forecast calling for 1-2” along the MA/VT border.  
 

Don't worry, your QPF deficit will pop up in a couple months.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3.10” and pounding. May reach warning level amounts if this keeps up thru the afternoon.

[codfishsnowman]

Need a snow event like this but less qpf, the whole slow moving back building kind of thing and buries just about everyone region wide....18 to 30 area wide lollis to 40 or so for the usual spots like Taunton and NYC and Berks. Not a ton of wind and during the daytime so we get the best views 

[Go Kart Mozart]

53 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ticket them...illegal parking!

[Damage In Tolland]

15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

3.10” and pounding. May reach warning level amounts if this keeps up thru the afternoon.

Go go go !

[WxWatcher007]

 

[Chrisrotary12]

On 9/28/2023 at 8:04 AM, Chrisrotary12 said:

Go GFS go!

 

On 9/27/2023 at 1:46 PM, Chrisrotary12 said:

Go GFS!

F the GFS. Model sucks again.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

City flooding is fascinating to see from afar but it’s awful for those that live below or right at street level. 

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

City flooding is fascinating to see from afar but it’s awful for those that live below or right at street level. 

I can’t imagine having a below street level apartment. I don’t even like the idea of converting a basement to create a bedroom. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I can’t imagine having a below street level apartment. I don’t even like the idea of converting a basement to create a bedroom. 

Me either...they're breading grounds for spiders, centipedes, millipedes, and anything else with too many legs. 

[Typhoon Tip]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

City flooding is fascinating to see from afar but it’s awful for those that live below or right at street level. 

I was just thinking about that disgusting smell that happens when you mix urban germ phage with decaying trash into turbid flood waters.  Nasty nasty nasty. 

Reminds me - in microcosm of course... - the French Quarter down in New Orleans/"Katrina", when the dikes failed and filled the neighborhoods in a nutritional broth of angry confused venomous snakes, dead animal carcasses, house hold chemicals and backed-out sewage ... clear to the roof-eaves in some cases. 

[WxWatcher007]

 

[Spanks45]

39 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

3.10” and pounding. May reach warning level amounts if this keeps up thru the afternoon.

How is it around town? Getting ready to head home. Barely any rain where I am at.

[Typhoon Tip]

Check this ... but I'm pretty sure no model had moderate rain all the way to Lakes Region of NH, either. 

[Typhoon Tip]

16 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

heh...   fire up the 'attribution' engine on this one, huh

[Modfan2]

1.25” now and pouring here near RI line

[Typhoon Tip]

Either way ... very high PWAT feed into a paltry mechanical layout is causing all this strife.

wow.

Standard intervals, granted... but there's only 10 to 15 kts of wind going around the 500 mb trough, which only has one isohypses ... way up at 582 dm no less.  We've been close to 100 F under hgts that high.

So CC'able or not, this is whack anomaly to have these coincident metrics create this much problem, either way.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Either way ... very high PWAT feed into a paltry mechanical layout is causing all this strife.

wow.

Standard intervals, granted... but there's only 10 to 15 kts of wind going around the 500 mb trough, which only has one isohypses ... way up at 582 dm no less.  We've been close to 100 F under hgts that high.

So CC'able or not, this is whack anomaly to have these coincident metrics create this much problem, either way.

Decent LLJ into NYC with that low level convergence and steeper lapse rates aloft. So whatever is coming in is rising with ease. 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Decent LLJ into NYC with that low level convergence and steeper lapse rates aloft. So whatever is coming in is rising with ease. 

right, yeah.  There's a mechanism for rain - it's a matter of the synergy. 

I mean these seemingly innocuous set up are definitely over-producing more and more.  We actually have to be hit by the climate train to admit we're standing on the tracks here?  Or, going over the cliff in a bus and while someone yells above the calamity, don't worry ...it's just gravity.

 

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Snoozer here 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Less than half inch and doesn’t look like much more outside of a shower or two 

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

My wife flew into Newark just now.  Lucky choice for a NYC area airport to fly through today.  No delays or issues while JFK and LGA are in trouble.

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Less than half inch and doesn’t look like much more outside of a shower or two 

West is best, but you’ll rain into midday tomorrow.