Yet Another Round of Rains(9/29-9/30) for SNE. Will it be Benign, Big, Or Biblical this go around?

[nutmegfriar]

The scanner in the 5 boroughs is going to be hopping.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 9/28/2023 at 7:42 PM, WinterWolf said:

Thanks Scott…man that’s a beat down. 

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[Ginx snewx]

Ida for your memory  5.33 here

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Shrooms…

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

gfs bullseye in wct. Lines up perfectly with most guidance. 
 

great…

[WinterWolf]

Guys, is there a way to edit the title to this thread? I forgot to put a word in…and I can’t figure out how to edit the title.  Just wondering. 

[Spanks45]

  On 9/28/2023 at 9:56 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

gfs bullseye in wct. Lines up perfectly with most guidance. 
 

great…

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Second that...decided to head to Kartrite, over here in the Catskills, should be a fun ride tomorrow afternoon. 

Really hate wasting all of this precip before winter...

[WxWatcher007]

  On 9/28/2023 at 9:57 PM, WinterWolf said:

Guys, is there a way to edit the title to this thread? I forgot to put a word in…and I can’t figure out how to edit the title.  Just wondering. 

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Go to your very first post and click edit. Up in the 3 dots in the top right of the OP.

[WinterWolf]

  On 9/28/2023 at 10:04 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

Go to your very first post and click edit. Up in the 3 dots in the top right of the OP.

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Thanks so much Don.

[Damage In Tolland]

We are ready here for 3-6” that is coming. One side came in thick n deep like my hair. Other side has washed away 3x and I have re soil and seeded 3x 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 9/28/2023 at 9:56 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

gfs bullseye in wct. Lines up perfectly with most guidance. 
 

great…

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I’m pretty confident you won’t have any posts stating that three months from now.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 9/28/2023 at 10:23 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I’m pretty confident you won’t have any posts stating that three months from now.

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Sad but true. Although we are due even though I’ve been saying that since Jan 15 lol. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 9/28/2023 at 10:33 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Sad but true. Although we are due even though I’ve been saying that since Jan 15 lol. 

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You got pumps and water rescue getaway routes in place? You in trouble 

[WinterWolf]

  On 9/28/2023 at 10:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

You got pumps and water rescue getaway routes in place? You in trouble 

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Hopefully the real big stuff stays just to his west. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 9/28/2023 at 10:50 PM, WinterWolf said:

Hopefully the real big stuff stays just to his west. 

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These love continuing shifting NE right up to go time . Can think of so many in winter modeled over CT that end up to our NE in winter. Maybe this one is different 

[Damage In Tolland]

HRRR drops 4-5” here in a lolli. With 6-10 near Luke . Hope iits wrong here 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 9/28/2023 at 10:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

You got pumps and water rescue getaway routes in place? You in trouble 

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I’m elevated in my hood and the lawn is graded fairly well away from the house. I fixed two main areas this summer where some water got into the basement during Ida but it’s more my ocd then a major concern. If we get 6+ I’m sure there will be some leakage but nothing like your undies after an IPA binge. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 9/28/2023 at 10:59 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m elevated in my hood and the lawn is graded fairly well away from the house. I fixed two main areas this summer where some water got into the basement during Ida but it’s more my ocd then a major concern. If we get 6+ I’m sure there will be some leakage but nothing like your undies after an IPA binge. 

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Just inhale as much ganja as possible tonight.. blacken up the lungs and hope nothing happens on the property. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 9/28/2023 at 10:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR drops 4-5” here in a lolli. With 6-10 near Luke . Hope iits wrong here 

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There could be 10-12” loli’s really anywhere from CNJ to HFD. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 9/28/2023 at 11:01 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

There could be 10-12” loli’s really anywhere from CNJ to HFD. 

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Yes, that’s the worry for alot of us in Western CT.  

[WinterWolf]

  On 9/28/2023 at 10:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR drops 4-5” here in a lolli. With 6-10 near Luke . Hope iits wrong here 

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Ya that’s concerning for Luke and I…6.5 here on that.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 9/28/2023 at 11:04 PM, WinterWolf said:

Yes, that’s the worry for alot of us in Western CT.  

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We had that a few times this summer. Models did a good job at hinting where the qpf falls but the max areas were localized by several factors. And this  invt compared to a stalled front so even trickier to predict. 

[WxWatcher007]

Went with broad 2-4 over CT with more localized 6+ possible depending on where the axis of heavy rain sets up. 

Expecting a busy day tomorrow.

[WinterWolf]

  On 9/28/2023 at 11:23 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

Went with broad 2-4 over CT with more localized 6+ possible depending on where the axis of heavy rain sets up. 

Expecting a busy day tomorrow.

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A lot of water no matter what….And the ground is saturated already from Mondays 3+ inches, along with all the rivers and streams being high.  

[Damage In Tolland]

The least we could do is gin up a Tippy gale and topple trees onto lines with wet ground. I mean at least give us that Mother Nature.

[Typhoon Tip]

Short and sweet if you believe the guidance… It’s like it just comes in floats houses away and it’s completely sunny by 18 Z on Saturday with calm breezes. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 9/28/2023 at 11:28 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

The least we could do is gin up a Tippy gale and topple trees onto lines with wet ground. I mean at least give us that Mother Nature.

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Euro tries that for MVY-BID

[Snowcrazed71]

So this may be a GFS win...........

[WxWatcher007]

  On 9/29/2023 at 12:31 AM, Snowcrazed71 said:

So this may be a GFS win...........

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GFS has been playing catch up IMO.

[WxWatcher007]

18z Euro pretty consistent 

 

18z HREF Mean