Another big Sept rain event between roughly midnight Friday morning and midnight Sunday morning (bulk 9/29-30/2023)

[jm1220]

6 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

First batch rolling in offshore is getting juicier by the minute. 

And behind that the radar’s lighting up too. We’ll have more than plenty by this time tomorrow. 

[hudsonvalley21]

34 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Really? Looks pretty dangerous for NE NJ  and nyc on radar 

Us folks north of the city could be affected by orographic lifting 

[MJO812]

I have my bedroom furniture coming tomorrow 

[Allsnow]

Nyc 4-5 on the euro 

[Allsnow]

[uofmiami]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Here's weathermodel's image at 54hrs:

[steve392]

What's 6am looking like tomorrow? Trying to decide if I need to leave earlier for work. 

[Stormlover74]

5 minutes ago, steve392 said:

What's 6am looking like tomorrow? Trying to decide if I need to leave earlier for work. 

 

[Wannabehippie]

Central park has seen 8"+ so far in September. Monthly record is something like 16.85" in I believe 1882. Do we have a shot at breaking that record with all the precip that is headed our way tonight, tomorrow, and in to Saturday AM?

[Stormlover74]

Just this through noon

[Wannabehippie]

23 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Just this through noon

That is some pretty hefty rain fall, just thru noon. And it is supposed to go another 18 hours after that, with varying intensity obviously, right?

 

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, Wannabehippie said:

That is some pretty hefty rain fall, just thru noon. And it is supposed to go another 18 hours after that, with varying intensity obviously, right?

 

Pretty much

[Stormlover74]

 

 

[psv88]

Rain drying up as it approaches my area again lol. Same pattern since May

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Rain drying up as it approaches my area again lol. Same pattern since May

[MattPetrulli]

Uh

[Allsnow]

Pouring here currently…

 

.10 

[Brian5671]

0z HRRR is a bit more realistic-the 12z & 18z run had a foot of rain over LI by 2pm...that's gone now. (granted it's out of range that far out)

[SRRTA22]

Radar is absolutely locked and loaded and aimed right for NYC metro

[cleetussnow]

57 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Just this through noon

I have to go to West Point tomorrow which got destroyed last time.  That map is the worst case scenario.  

[qg_omega]

8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

0z HRRR is a bit more realistic-the 12z & 18z run had a foot of rain over LI by 2pm...that's gone now. (granted it's out of range that far out)

Yes getting more realistic 1 to 4 depending on location

[jm1220]

9 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said:

Radar is absolutely locked and loaded and aimed right for NYC metro

You can start to see where this initial round of rain is favoring. 

[mob1]

I'm in Brooklyn and it's absolutely pouring now. Rain has a tropical feel to it. 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, mob1 said:

I'm in Brooklyn and it's absolutely pouring now. Rain has a tropical feel to it. 

Yep heavy rain

[hudsonvalley21]

5 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

I have to go to West Point tomorrow which got destroyed last time.  That map is the worst case scenario.  

I was thinking the same. The ground is saturated already. 

[Stormlover74]

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

You can start to see where this initial round of rain is favoring. 

I95 on east

[winterwx21]

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I95 on east

0z HRRR has us right near the edge of the very heavy stuff. Go west into Somerset County and amounts drop off to very little. Extremely close call for our area. 

[qg_omega]

HRRRR down about 10 inches from 18z

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

0z HRRR has us right near the edge of the very heavy stuff. Go west into Somerset County and amounts drop off to very little. Extremely close call for our area. 

We'll see if it keeps shifting east and what the nam does but yeah I could see us getting 5 or .5

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

HRRRR down about 10 inches from 18z

not sure why it's run that far out 4x a day...best within 0-6 hrs anything beyond that is fantasy