Another big Sept rain event between roughly midnight Friday morning and midnight Sunday morning (bulk 9/29-30/2023)

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

Yep I agree. For our area a little west of the city, it's a big question mark. 

Take the under

[kat5hurricane]

It's an absolute deluge here and this isn't even the main show yet. I can't even get my dog out.

[dWave]

Damn its pouring, and this isnt the main event yet?

[Rtd208]

If I had to take the over/under on rainfall amounts right now I would say east of the Hudson (over), west of the Hudson (under). The uncertainty area is NE NJ (Middlesex, Union, Essex, Hudson and Bergen) that could go either way IMO. We'll see.

[TriPol]

Not a drop in Bayonne, NJ.

[Nibor]

Down pouring

[Rtd208]

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=1110&yr=2023

[NJwx85]

It’s starting to pivot West. Ground zero looks like the LHV.

[psv88]

Hearing thunder now. Nassau county going to get clocked soon. Looks like western Suffolk may get in on that blob too

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Insane rainfall rates and multiple house shaking claps of thunder in lynbrook, it’s getting real… fast.

[binbisso]

It looks like queens nassau into Southwest Connecticut is gonna get the worst overnight.

[binbisso]

You can add Westchester County into that also. right now light rain in the Bronx.

[dmillz25]

.70” and counting 

[TJW014]

Wouldn't be surprised if this cell is producing a waterspout offshore


.

[EWRNJ]

.

[NJwx85]

Absolutely pouring here in Rockland.

[Snowlover11]

4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Absolutely pouring here in Rockland.

will be driving back home to nanuet at 7. should be fun.

[Big Jims Videos]

large branch came down already in Wall Township by Manasquan   

[Rtd208]

Bad timing for KDIX radar to go down.

Picked up 0.68" of rain so far today. Storm total so far 0.71"

[wdrag]

For what its worth...have checked some Climate station data NYS Mesonet and NJ meson, plus our house in Wantage of far nw NJ. The OKX and BGM STP's (Derived storm total on the Radarscope APP) look accurate.

Am over 1/2" in Wantage and over 2.2" parts of w LI. I'd be checking that for reality and kudos HRRR and NAM/RRFS late yesterday for honing in on primary threat FF zone. 

[lee59]

.77 here so far.

[Rtd208]

Did you ever notice NWS radars never fail on a dry and sunny day? 

[bluewave]

Radar estimates of 4.00+ in the Rockaways. 

 

[Allsnow]

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Radar estimates of 4.00+ in the Rockaways. 

 

With hours left to go…

10+ not unreasonable in that area 

[steve392]

Insane rains at times over night.  Drive to work was nothing out of the ordinary.  Was expecting way worse.   57 degrees out.

 

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[wdrag]

Yes,  the way it looks to me is many 5-10" reports in the prime zone near NYC-LI northward Hud River to the Ct River. Also need to check all time 24 hour and 48 hour rainfall CP for starters, maybe POU and BDR ISP to see if we get top 10 historically-Bluewave check? And power outages could become a problem by tonight-sodden group tree up roots? 

Finally, most dangerous time for travel could be this evening-night in the last big pileup of flooding rain.

 

This graphic is from 18z/28 but looks pretty good to me for best areas to monitor.

 

T

[jm1220]

About 0.75” so far, moderate rain currently. 

[bluewave]

8 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Yes,  the way it looks to me is many 5-10" reports in the prime zone near NYC-LI northward Hud River to the Ct River. Also need to check all time 24 hour and 48 hour rainfall CP for starters, maybe POU and BDR ISP to see if we get top 10 historically-Bluewave check? And power outages could become a problem by tonight-sodden group tree up roots? 

Finally, most dangerous time for travel could be this evening-night in the last big pileup of flooding rain.

 

This graphic is from 18z/28 but looks pretty good to me for best areas to monitor. 2.66 MB · 0 downloads

 

 

T

This thread has all the 10” months around the area since 2003. But some were in as short a period of hours to a day like in August 2011 and 2014.

 

 

[allgame830]

Just hit 1”…. Currently heavy rain with tons more to come. 

[SnoSki14]

Perfectly happy to get a glancing blow from this in New Brunswick. 

Don't need 5-10" amounts after all the rains we've had.