LoboLeader1 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 Topped out at 76F, gorgeous day to be outdoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 3 hours ago, winterwx21 said: CMC is dry too. Hopefully we're in for an extended dry period. Things will turn stormy after the warm spell so enjoy it while it lasts. Teleconnections suggest a very active pattern could develop imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: ^ Yeah, I might have to do that on Wednesday Definitely worth it. Barrier island has taken quite a beating, despite no direct tropical impact. The further east you go the worse it gets, but Schmucky Schumer is all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 If anyone has any predictions for the upcoming fall colors that would be great. Seems like most recent years the prediction was for muted colors due to little rain and above normal temps in the time period when they have the most impact. This year we've been kind of normal temp wise and way above rain wise, right? So maybe that means above normal vivid colors this year? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said: If anyone has any predictions for the upcoming fall colors that would be great. Seems like most recent years the prediction was for muted colors due to little rain and above normal temps in the time period when they have the most impact. This year we've been kind of normal temp wise and way above rain wise, right? So maybe that means above normal vivid colors this year? I've started to notice a bit of color already but not sure how the recent wet weather will impact things later in the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 50 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I've started to notice a bit of color already but not sure how the recent wet weather will impact things later in the month Things are definitely changing in Westchester. Yellows popping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Warmer than normal weather will continue for much of the first week of October. Temperatures could reach 80° or above tomorrow and Wednesday. The warmth will extend well north into Canada where Montreal and Quebec City could challenge or break their October records. Earlier today, Thunder Bay reached an October record high of 86°. Colder air will push into the East during the upcoming weekend. The cold air will be preceded by showers or periods of rain from a storm. The possibility exists for a moderate or significant rainfall. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.5°C for the week centered around September 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.90°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.58°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -3.48 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.877 today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 10/2 PHL: 82 EWR: 81 New Bnswck: 81 ACY: 79 LGA: 79 TEB: 79 TTN: 79 JFK: 78 ISP: 77 BLM: 77 NYC: 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 10 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: I've started to notice a bit of color already but not sure how the recent wet weather will impact things later in the month There's been some color here over the last several weeks now, mostly brown unfortunately due to all the rain (fungus) and I've had a fair amount of early drop, mostly brown with some yellow. I'm sure we'll get some real color but overall not looking like a stellar year around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 66degs.(59/74) or +5. Reached 75 here yesterday bet.: 2pm-4pm. Today: 78-82, wind w., few clouds, 67 tomorrow AM 63*(86%RH) here at 7am. 66* at 9am. 69* at Noon. Reached just 74* here, 4pm-5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 68F here as of 10AM, temps expected to be in low 80's this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Mild days and cool nights, 73-52 here yesterday and this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Gfs and cmc both have heavy rain for suffolk county Saturday...lighter amounts elsewhere 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 49 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Gfs and cmc both have heavy rain for suffolk county Saturday...lighter amounts elsewhere seems like the models are developing a low on the front but too far east for most of the subforum....also appears TS Phillipe having some impact for far east areas as it hooks into far east Maine.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guinness77 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Where the hell was this weather when I was off last week? Lol, absolutely sucks to be going to an office for the rest of the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, guinness77 said: Where the hell was this weather when I was off last week? Lol, absolutely sucks to be going to an office for the rest of the day. yeah terrible timing that 5 of the 6 nice days are weekdays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Summer like 82F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Wet weekend ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 36 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Wet weekend ? Philippe is dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 82 today in Suffolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 High temp of 83 here today. Probably gonna hit 85 tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 79 here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 79.5 (80) in Syosset & 78.3 in Muttontown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdennis78 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Is northwestern NJ getting f$@#%d with more heavy rain on Friday and Saturday? Does anyone have any idea for totals at the end of the system on Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: Wet weekend ? could possibly keep us drier if it bundles all the energy into Eastern NE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Signs of the coming season. Wintry in Barrow today and currently 0F in Eureka, Nunavut, Canada. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 4, 2023 Share Posted October 4, 2023 Warmer than normal weather will continue for much of the first week of October. Temperatures could reach or exceed 80° tomorrow. The warmth will extend well north into Canada where Montreal and Quebec City could challenge or break their October records. Colder air will push into the East during the upcoming weekend. The cold air will be preceded by showers or periods of rain from a storm. The possibility exists for a moderate or significant rainfall. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.5°C for the week centered around September 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.90°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.58°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -0.65 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.046 today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 4, 2023 Share Posted October 4, 2023 46 minutes ago, MANDA said: Signs of the coming season. Wintry in Barrow today and currently 0F in Eureka, Nunavut, Canada. this would have happened 2 months earlier in the 1980's 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 4, 2023 Share Posted October 4, 2023 Nah, more like early September not August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted October 4, 2023 Share Posted October 4, 2023 On 10/2/2023 at 7:24 PM, Stormlover74 said: I've started to notice a bit of color already but not sure how the recent wet weather will impact things later in the month No color here as far as I can tell but the leaves are dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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