SACRUS Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 28 minutes ago, bluewave said: I am very close to New Haven Tweed airport. So my thermometer reads very close to what the ASOS shows. The airport is actually in a lower dip from some small hills to the west. So I made it down to 41° while HVN was 40°. Not bad for a home set up vs expensive ASOS. It’s interesting how quickly the temperatures drop here once the sun goes down especially on good radiational cooling nights. I like to use the Bishops Orchard Wunderground site in Guilford for readings that are a little more inland from me. They were 38° this morning. They also make the best apple pies I have ever had if you are in the area. BW - would you have a list of the first freeze (32 and<) for the past years? See Nov 18 in 22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 54 minutes ago, Eduardo said: I can’t help but feel a bit dejected at how difficult is has become to sustain below-normal temperatures during our cold season. I’d be thrilled to be wrong, but I have a hunch that, even if it won’t be quite as bad this upcoming winter as it was last winter (how could it be?), we winter weather lovers are gonna be fighting an uphill battle once again. Yeah, the better radiational cooling at night makes it cooler here relative to my old place back on Long Island. But it still has been the 4th warmest October to date. I guess the good news is that even averaging around 60° for October, it will still give you colder feeling mornings. Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CTClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Oct 1 to Oct 23 Missing Count 1 2021-10-23 63.0 0 2 2007-10-23 62.8 0 3 2017-10-23 61.9 0 4 2023-10-23 60.4 0 5 2020-10-23 60.0 0 - 1949-10-23 60.0 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 37 this morning. Coldest temp on this date at my location since I moved here 8 years ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, SACRUS said: BW - would you have a list of the first freeze (32 and<) for the past years? See Nov 18 in 22. These are the first freeze dates across the entire area for the last 10 years so nobody gets left out. Frost/Freeze Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-01 (2020) 10-31 (2020) 215 Mean 03-29 11-16 232 Maximum 04-16 (2014) 12-09 (2016) 243 2022 03-30 (2022) 29 11-19 (2022) 31 233 2021 04-03 (2021) 32 11-23 (2021) 32 233 2020 03-01 (2020) 25 10-31 (2020) 32 243 2019 03-18 (2019) 32 11-08 (2019) 29 234 2018 04-09 (2018) 32 11-14 (2018) 32 218 2017 03-23 (2017) 23 11-10 (2017) 25 231 2016 04-10 (2016) 31 12-09 (2016) 29 242 2015 04-01 (2015) 32 11-24 (2015) 32 236 2014 04-16 (2014) 31 11-18 (2014) 24 215 2013 03-23 (2013) 32 11-12 (2013) 31 233 Frost/Freeze Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-24 (2017) 10-19 (2015) 196 Mean 04-05 11-09 218 Maximum 04-17 (2020) 11-28 (2016) 234 2022 03-30 (2022) 29 11-18 (2022) 32 232 2021 04-03 (2021) 30 11-24 (2021) 32 234 2020 04-17 (2020) 32 10-31 (2020) 32 196 2019 04-01 (2019) 32 11-08 (2019) 29 220 2018 04-11 (2018) 32 11-10 (2018) 32 212 2017 03-24 (2017) 31 11-10 (2017) 25 230 2016 04-10 (2016) 31 11-28 (2016) 32 231 2015 03-29 (2015) 25 10-19 (2015) 31 203 2014 04-16 (2014) 31 11-08 (2014) 32 205 2013 04-04 (2013) 31 11-04 (2013) 32 213 Frost/Freeze Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx)Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 04-02 (2019) 10-18 (2015) 173 Mean 04-16 10-27 194 Maximum 05-10 (2020) 11-11 (2017) 215 2022 04-18 (2022) 29 10-30 (2022) 30 194 2021 04-03 (2021) 28 11-04 (2021) 29 214 2020 05-10 (2020) 31 10-31 (2020) 28 173 2019 04-02 (2019) 27 11-02 (2019) 30 213 2018 04-11 (2018) 26 10-19 (2018) 32 190 2017 04-09 (2017) 31 11-11 (2017) 20 215 2016 04-10 (2016) 29 10-26 (2016) 30 198 2015 04-25 (2015) 30 10-18 (2015) 28 175 2014 04-21 (2014) 30 10-20 (2014) 31 181 2013 04-22 (2013) 32 10-25 (2013) 30 185 Frost/Freeze Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 04-17 (2016) 09-21 (2020) 122 Mean 05-01 10-14 164 Maximum 05-21 (2020) 11-03 (2021) 192 2022 05-01 (2022) 32 10-09 (2022) 31 160 2021 04-24 (2021) 31 11-03 (2021) 29 192 2020 05-21 (2020) 32 09-21 (2020) 31 122 2019 04-29 (2019) 28 10-05 (2019) 30 158 2018 05-01 (2018) 32 10-18 (2018) 31 169 2017 05-04 (2017) 32 10-17 (2017) 30 165 2016 04-17 (2016) 31 - - - 2015 04-26 (2015) 28 10-17 (2015) 27 173 2014 04-25 (2014) 30 10-20 (2014) 32 177 2013 05-14 (2013) 29 10-21 (2013) 32 159 Frost/Freeze Summary for MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 04-23 (2021) 10-05 (2019) 153 Mean 05-03 10-15 165 Maximum 05-21 (2020) 11-03 (2021) 193 2022 05-01 (2022) 30 10-08 (2022) 32 159 2021 04-23 (2021) 27 11-03 (2021) 27 193 2020 05-21 (2020) 31 - - - 2019 04-29 (2019) 30 10-05 (2019) 30 158 2018 04-24 (2018) 30 - - - 2017 05-11 (2017) 32 10-17 (2017) 31 158 2016 05-10 (2016) 32 10-11 (2016) 30 153 2015 04-26 (2015) 29 10-17 (2015) 29 173 2014 04-28 (2014) 31 10-12 (2014) 32 166 2013 05-14 (2013) 31 10-23 (2013) 30 161 Frost/Freeze Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-30 (2017) 10-18 (2015) 173 Mean 04-16 11-03 200 Maximum 05-09 (2020) 11-14 (2022) 2022 04-18 (2022) 32 11-14 (2022) 30 209 2021 04-03 (2021) 28 11-04 (2021) 32 214 2020 05-09 (2020) 32 10-30 (2020) 32 173 2019 04-29 (2019) 32 11-02 (2019) 32 186 2018 04-11 (2018) 28 10-26 (2018) 32 197 2017 03-30 (2017) 29 11-10 (2017) 23 224 2016 04-13 (2016) 31 11-12 (2016) 31 212 2015 04-12 (2015) 32 10-18 (2015) 29 188 2014 04-18 (2014) 31 11-08 (2014) 30 203 2013 04-21 (2013) 32 11-04 (2013) 28 196 Frost/Freeze Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-01 (2020) 11-08 (2019) 215 Mean 03-27 11-27 245 Maximum 04-16 (2014) 01-04 (2016) 281 2022 03-30 (2022) 30 11-19 (2022) 32 233 2021 04-02 (2021) 29 12-19 (2021) 31 260 2020 03-01 (2020) 26 12-08 (2020) 32 281 2019 03-13 (2019) 32 11-08 (2019) 31 239 2018 04-02 (2018) 32 11-15 (2018) 30 226 2017 03-23 (2017) 26 11-10 (2017) 27 231 2016 04-06 (2016) 32 12-09 (2016) 32 246 2015 03-29 (2015) 27 01-04 (2016) 15 280 2014 04-16 (2014) 32 11-18 (2014) 24 215 2013 03-22 (2013) 30 11-12 (2013) 32 234 Frost/Freeze Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-16 (2020) 10-31 (2020) 212 Mean 04-02 11-16 227 Maximum 04-16 (2014) 12-09 (2016) 242 2022 03-30 (2022) 27 11-19 (2022) 32 233 2021 04-03 (2021) 31 11-23 (2021) 32 233 2020 03-16 (2020) 32 10-31 (2020) 32 228 2019 04-02 (2019) 31 11-08 (2019) 29 219 2018 04-11 (2018) 31 11-12 (2018) 30 214 2017 03-24 (2017) 32 11-10 (2017) 25 230 2016 04-10 (2016) 31 12-09 (2016) 31 242 2015 03-29 (2015) 27 11-24 (2015) 31 239 2014 04-16 (2014) 32 11-15 (2014) 30 212 2013 04-04 (2013) 32 11-12 (2013) 32 221 Frost/Freeze Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-16 (2020) 10-26 (2013) 204 Mean 04-02 11-11 222 Maximum 04-18 (2014) 11-23 (2015) 234 2022 03-30 (2022) 28 11-15 (2022) 32 229 2021 04-03 (2021) 30 11-17 (2021) 31 227 2020 03-16 (2020) 32 10-31 (2020) 32 228 2019 04-02 (2019) 27 11-08 (2019) 29 219 2018 04-11 (2018) 30 11-11 (2018) 32 213 2017 03-24 (2017) 27 11-10 (2017) 26 230 2016 04-10 (2016) 32 11-21 (2016) 32 224 2015 04-02 (2015) 29 11-23 (2015) 32 234 2014 04-18 (2014) 32 11-15 (2014) 29 210 2013 04-04 (2013) 29 10-26 (2013) 31 204 Frost/Freeze Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-30 (2022) 10-19 (2015) 176 Mean 04-09 11-03 207 Maximum 04-25 (2015) 11-15 (2022) 229 2022 03-30 (2022) 25 11-15 (2022) 29 229 2021 04-04 (2021) 32 11-06 (2021) 31 215 2020 04-19 (2020) 31 10-31 (2020) 29 194 2019 04-02 (2019) 26 11-04 (2019) 32 215 2018 04-11 (2018) 26 10-22 (2018) 32 193 2017 03-30 (2017) 32 11-10 (2017) 26 224 2016 04-10 (2016) 32 11-14 (2016) 32 217 2015 04-25 (2015) 32 10-19 (2015) 29 176 2014 04-16 (2014) 32 11-08 (2014) 31 205 2013 04-07 (2013) 31 10-26 (2013) 32 201 Frost/Freeze Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CTEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-24 (2017) 10-19 (2015) 189 Mean 04-06 11-06 213 Maximum 04-23 (2020) 11-17 (2021) 230 2022 03-30 (2022) 27 11-15 (2022) 31 229 2021 04-03 (2021) 28 11-17 (2021) 29 227 2020 04-23 (2020) 32 10-30 (2020) 32 189 2019 04-02 (2019) 29 11-08 (2019) 29 219 2018 04-11 (2018) 26 11-12 (2018) 30 214 2017 03-24 (2017) 29 11-10 (2017) 24 230 2016 04-13 (2016) 31 11-01 (2016) 32 201 2015 04-02 (2015) 29 10-19 (2015) 30 199 2014 04-16 (2014) 31 11-08 (2014) 31 205 2013 04-04 (2013) 29 11-04 (2013) 32 213 Frost/Freeze Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CTEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 04-02 (2019) 10-18 (2015) 187 Mean 04-11 11-01 204 Maximum 04-25 (2020) 11-15 (2014) 222 2022 04-05 (2022) 31 11-14 (2022) 29 222 2021 04-04 (2021) 29 11-06 (2021) 31 215 2020 04-25 (2020) 32 10-30 (2020) 30 187 2019 04-02 (2019) 24 11-04 (2019) 32 215 2018 04-12 (2018) 30 10-19 (2018) 31 189 2017 04-09 (2017) 29 11-09 (2017) 30 213 2016 04-13 (2016) 30 11-01 (2016) 31 201 2015 04-13 (2015) 31 10-18 (2015) 29 187 2014 04-21 (2014) 30 11-15 (2014) 25 207 2013 04-07 (2013) 30 10-25 (2013) 31 200 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 38 for the low last night..first freeze will be next week 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Yeah, the better radiational cooling at night makes it cooler here relative to my old place back on Long Island. But it still has been the 4th warmest October to date. I guess the good news is that even averaging around 60° for October, it will still give you colder feeling mornings. Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CTClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Oct 1 to Oct 23 Missing Count 1 2021-10-23 63.0 0 2 2007-10-23 62.8 0 3 2017-10-23 61.9 0 4 2023-10-23 60.4 0 5 2020-10-23 60.0 0 - 1949-10-23 60.0 0 A member here previousl posted information concerning the Gulf Stream/Labrador circulation. It seems it is slowing down, which is causing the northeast US air temperatures to be increasing faster than the rest of the globe. If that trend continues, things look bleak for future winters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Dark Star said: A member here previousl posted information concerning the Gulf Stream/Labrador circulation. It seems it is slowing down, which is causing the northeast US air temperatures to be increasing faster than the rest of the globe. If that trend continues, things look bleak for future winters? if that trend continues things look bleak for everything 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 16 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: if that trend continues things look bleak for everything Yeah but isn't that a cold outcome (like very bad cold)? Thinking there would no longer be a heat transfer from the tropics to northern latitudes without the gulf stream transport mechanism. Doomsday scenario for Europe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 4 hours ago, bluewave said: These are the first freeze dates across the entire area for the last 10 years so nobody gets left out. Frost/Freeze Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-01 (2020) 10-31 (2020) 215 Mean 03-29 11-16 232 Maximum 04-16 (2014) 12-09 (2016) 243 2022 03-30 (2022) 29 11-19 (2022) 31 233 2021 04-03 (2021) 32 11-23 (2021) 32 233 2020 03-01 (2020) 25 10-31 (2020) 32 243 2019 03-18 (2019) 32 11-08 (2019) 29 234 2018 04-09 (2018) 32 11-14 (2018) 32 218 2017 03-23 (2017) 23 11-10 (2017) 25 231 2016 04-10 (2016) 31 12-09 (2016) 29 242 2015 04-01 (2015) 32 11-24 (2015) 32 236 2014 04-16 (2014) 31 11-18 (2014) 24 215 2013 03-23 (2013) 32 11-12 (2013) 31 233 Frost/Freeze Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-24 (2017) 10-19 (2015) 196 Mean 04-05 11-09 218 Maximum 04-17 (2020) 11-28 (2016) 234 2022 03-30 (2022) 29 11-18 (2022) 32 232 2021 04-03 (2021) 30 11-24 (2021) 32 234 2020 04-17 (2020) 32 10-31 (2020) 32 196 2019 04-01 (2019) 32 11-08 (2019) 29 220 2018 04-11 (2018) 32 11-10 (2018) 32 212 2017 03-24 (2017) 31 11-10 (2017) 25 230 2016 04-10 (2016) 31 11-28 (2016) 32 231 2015 03-29 (2015) 25 10-19 (2015) 31 203 2014 04-16 (2014) 31 11-08 (2014) 32 205 2013 04-04 (2013) 31 11-04 (2013) 32 213 Frost/Freeze Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-01 (2020) 11-08 (2019) 215 Mean 03-27 11-27 245 Maximum 04-16 (2014) 01-04 (2016) 281 2022 03-30 (2022) 30 11-19 (2022) 32 233 2021 04-02 (2021) 29 12-19 (2021) 31 260 2020 03-01 (2020) 26 12-08 (2020) 32 281 2019 03-13 (2019) 32 11-08 (2019) 31 239 2018 04-02 (2018) 32 11-15 (2018) 30 226 2017 03-23 (2017) 26 11-10 (2017) 27 231 2016 04-06 (2016) 32 12-09 (2016) 32 246 2015 03-29 (2015) 27 01-04 (2016) 15 280 2014 04-16 (2014) 32 11-18 (2014) 24 215 2013 03-22 (2013) 30 11-12 (2013) 32 234 Frost/Freeze Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 03-16 (2020) 10-31 (2020) 212 Mean 04-02 11-16 227 Maximum 04-16 (2014) 12-09 (2016) 242 2022 03-30 (2022) 27 11-19 (2022) 32 233 2021 04-03 (2021) 31 11-23 (2021) 32 233 2020 03-16 (2020) 32 10-31 (2020) 32 228 2019 04-02 (2019) 31 11-08 (2019) 29 219 2018 04-11 (2018) 31 11-12 (2018) 30 214 2017 03-24 (2017) 32 11-10 (2017) 25 230 2016 04-10 (2016) 31 12-09 (2016) 31 242 2015 03-29 (2015) 27 11-24 (2015) 31 239 2014 04-16 (2014) 32 11-15 (2014) 30 212 2013 04-04 (2013) 32 11-12 (2013) 32 221 Thanks Bluewave. Thinkif we dont get there next week 11/1-11/4 it will be closer to 2018 later frst freezesin the metro stations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 Saturday 80’s and Wednesday not getting out of the 40’s on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 Euro has everyone below frz next Thursday morning 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 25 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Euro has everyone below frz next Thursday morning Entirely possible given the date. I’ll be following closely, because the first freeze means allot of moving plants! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 On 10/24/2023 at 2:51 PM, Allsnow said: Saturday 80’s and Wednesday not getting out of the 40’s on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 33 for me last night Frost when i went into work Temps overperformed to 67 Let my Indian Summer commence tomorrow and gimme my beach day on Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 3 hours ago, cleetussnow said: Yeah but isn't that a cold outcome (like very bad cold)? Thinking there would no longer be a heat transfer from the tropics to northern latitudes without the gulf stream transport mechanism. Doomsday scenario for Europe... probably not ideal for a global heat transfer mechanism to collapse, maybe the weeniers know better. i think brian has a climatology degree from School of Rock, ask him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 17 minutes ago, Allsnow said: that chart is 5 degrees too cool on day 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 3 hours ago, cleetussnow said: Yeah but isn't that a cold outcome (like very bad cold)? Thinking there would no longer be a heat transfer from the tropics to northern latitudes without the gulf stream transport mechanism. Doomsday scenario for Europe... Luckily, it’s just the AMOC and not the Gulf Stream that is slowing down. While we would still see steady warming here, there would be no big cooldown outside the small area south of Greenland. https://bigthink.com/strange-maps/gulf-stream-collapse-amoc/ There is evidence that [the AMOC] has slowed down, and even collapsed, in the past… If the AMOC collapses — but there is no direct evidence of this — it would be a serious issue for the region [of the Greenland and Norwegian Seas]. It would probably introduce some cooling to a region that otherwise would be warming now… But the larger Gulf Stream circulation would continue operating, largely as before.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 40 minutes ago, forkyfork said: that chart is 5 degrees too cool on day 1 Going fishing Saturday morning so i hope It hits 95 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Euro has everyone below frz next Thursday morning I am guessing the freeze will be limited to areas outside the heat island since the average first freeze date in NYC last 10 years has been 11-16. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 37 this morning. 67 this afternoon. Tropical plants still outdoors. No issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: It's a brief chill down. Ridge is back shortly after. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 it looks like sometime during the first week of november i will have to take out my winter coat.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 20 minutes ago, bluewave said: I am guessing the freeze will be limited to areas outside the heat island since the average first freeze date in NYC last 10 years has been 11-16. Something the models won’t pickup outside the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Going fishing Saturday morning so i hope It hits 95 I went out today out of City Island. Was cold so I plunked down 30 bucks at the tackle shop for a 5 dollar pair of gloves when I have about 200 in my closet, which I forgot. Sank the boat with porgies, and by noon I was shedding jackets and sweating bullets. The Sound has been hot this year, and it only takes about 45 mins to get there from NJ, however the ride home is 3 hours no matter how you slice it. Boats out of Point Pleasant and Belmar have been doing well at the edge of the Mud Hole, but you better pick a nice day ( about 15 miles out due east ). Don't bottom fish out of Atlantic Highlands, it has been terrible. Stripped clean by draggers and pot fishermen. There is one boat targeting stripers though, and doing well. My advice is play hookey and go Wed or Thursday. Always crappy weather on weekends....you needed sun glasses and sunscreen out there today. A gorgeous day, even the Bronx looked lovely. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Going fishing Saturday morning so i hope It hits 95 Any day that warm this time of year is going to have strong southwest winds with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 An impressive late October warmup is getting underway. Temperatures will surge to above and much above normal levels into the weekend. During the peak of the warmth, the temperature will likely reach into the 70s into southern and central New England. Parts of the Middle Atlantic Region Baltimore, Newark, Philadelphia,and Washington, DC could reach 80°. Much cooler air could return to close out October. All said, October is on track to finish as a warmer than normal month. Since 1950, only a single El Niño event with a monthly ENSO R3.4 anomaly of +1.00°C or above was warmer than normal in New York City during October: 2015 (sample size: 6). If one lowers the ENSO R3.4 anomaly to +0.75°C or above, only two 2/12 (17%) of El Niño cases saw a warmer than normal October in New York City: 1963 and 2015. Both years saw warm Octobers followed by warm Novembers. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around October 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.57°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.57°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. That transition is currently underway. The SOI was +0.77 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.051 today. On October 21 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 0.563 (RMM). The October 20-adjusted amplitude was 0.353 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 99% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 60.2° (2.3° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 1 hour ago, weatherpruf said: I went out today out of City Island. Was cold so I plunked down 30 bucks at the tackle shop for a 5 dollar pair of gloves when I have about 200 in my closet, which I forgot. Sank the boat with porgies, and by noon I was shedding jackets and sweating bullets. The Sound has been hot this year, and it only takes about 45 mins to get there from NJ, however the ride home is 3 hours no matter how you slice it. Boats out of Point Pleasant and Belmar have been doing well at the edge of the Mud Hole, but you better pick a nice day ( about 15 miles out due east ). Don't bottom fish out of Atlantic Highlands, it has been terrible. Stripped clean by draggers and pot fishermen. There is one boat targeting stripers though, and doing well. My advice is play hookey and go Wed or Thursday. Always crappy weather on weekends....you needed sun glasses and sunscreen out there today. A gorgeous day, even the Bronx looked lovely. 1 hour ago, weatherpruf said: Any day that warm this time of year is going to have strong southwest winds with it. Thank you for the update. Did you see any bunker or stripers being caught? With the southwest wind you think it will be rough Saturday with the outgoing tide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Thank you for the update. Did you see any bunker or stripers being caught? With the southwest wind you think it will be rough Saturday with the outgoing tide? Bunker an bass in Raritan bay ass deep. Along the beach by sandy Hook also 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 14 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Bunker a bass in Raritan bay ass deep. Along the beach by sandy Hook also Thank you! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Tonight in RDU (where I landed) already 52F. There is an area that radiates much better than NYC metro and in the shoulder seasons, it isnt unusual for it to be colder just before sunrise on clear nights than NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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