Cyg Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Took a bike ride from the Barnegat Lighthouse to the south end of LBI and back today. Wonderful day down there in the mid 70s. Steady light wind from the south, but I got to ride with it on the way back. Started to get a bit cloudy on the second half of the ride, around 2:30pm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 10/27 AVY: 80 EWR: 78 TEB: 76 LGA: 76 PHL: 76 ISP: 74 New Brnswck: 74 NYC: 74 BLM: 73 JFK: 71 TTN: 71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 73F at the end of the 1 Train in Bronx 62F in Hastings 6 miles north Love cool stuff like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 The last 4 days of October are averaging 58degs.(53/63) or +5. Month to date is 60.9[+2.3]. October should end at 60.5[+2.5]. Reached 73 here yesterday at 6pm. Today: 77-81, wind w., clouds late, 55 tomorrow AM. 65*(80%RH) here at 7am. 65* at 9pm. 72* at Noon. 74* at 1pm 78* at 3pm. 80* at 3:15pm. Reached 82* at 4pm. 79* at 6pm. 75* at 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 28, 2023 Author Share Posted October 28, 2023 Scattered light showers this afternoon Poconos, (had sprinkles yesterday forenoon nw NJ), then probably periods of chilly rain Sunday-Monday NYC subforum. This is important because it was the EC that was initially very warm and dry today and it had a hard time dropping south. Nothing in the bag yet for tomorrow but I use this as a marker for whether the EC-GEM combo for tomorrow was way too far Northwest, as compared to the GFS ie no rain here vs rain on the GFS)... ditto for the November 1 snow threat as outlined by others in the Nov thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 75F here yesterday. Good chance at 80F mark today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 2 hours ago, wdrag said: Scattered light showers this afternoon Poconos, (had sprinkles yesterday forenoon nw NJ), then probably periods of chilly rain Sunday-Monday NYC subforum. This is important because it was the EC that was initially very warm and dry today and it had a hard time dropping south. Nothing in the bag yet for tomorrow but I use this as a marker for whether the EC-GEM combo for tomorrow was way too far Northwest, as compared to the GFS ie no rain here vs rain on the GFS)... ditto for the November 1 snow threat as outlined by others in the Nov thread. The NAM and RGEM hold off the rain tomorrow until later especially for S and E sections....we'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 28, 2023 Author Share Posted October 28, 2023 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: The NAM and RGEM hold off the rain tomorrow until later especially for S and E sections....we'll see... Keep following the modeling. I'm looking at SPC HREF, HRRR, and RRFS which all sort of nail everything periodic rain north of I78... however, as you note...it's possible the NAM and further N RGM will be correct. RGEM has been constantly north. I favor getting closer to the instability for showery precip and is why I initially favored the further south GFS/GEFS in the longer ranges leading up to this event. Tomorrow keys early Wed. If GFGS right tomorrow, then I too think it will be correct early Wed. Will check back tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Islip has reached 77. That breaks the daily record of 75 that was set in 1971. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 77 and sunny. With enough sun low perhaps mid 80s. Clouds and showers Sun (10/29) and Mon (10/30). Cooler / chll down 11/1 - 11/3. Moderating to and above normal 11/4 - 11/6 perhaps some 60s?Back and forth moderating between cooler / normal-above normal till the 9tg. Long range guidance with trough and storm potential in the longer range 11/9-11/11. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Records falling throughout the area on our way to 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 850s this warm during the summer would support upper 80s to around 90°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 79 here currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 75 here in Brooklyn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 81 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Made it to 79, “cooler” now at 76 as the clouds moved in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 79. 82 at Newark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 82 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 82 (1984) NYC: 83 (1919) LGA: 80 (1984) Lows: EWR: 25 (1936) NYC: 29 (1976) LGA: 33 (1976) Historical: 1846: In the spring of 1846, a group of nearly 90 emigrants left Springfield, Illinois, and headed west to California. The Donner party arrived at the Great Salt Lake and still needed to cross the Sierra Nevada Mountains late in the season. On this day, a heavy snowfall blocked the pass, thus trapping the emigrants. Only 45 of the original 89 emigrants reached California the following year. 1936 - The temperature at Layton, NJ, dipped to 9 above zero to establish a state record for the month of October. (The Weather Channel) 1971 - A severe early season blizzard raged across the Plateau Region and Rocky Mountain Region. Heavy snow blocked railroads and interstate highways, and record cold accompanied the storm. Lander WY received 27 inches of snow, and the temperature at Big Piney WY plunged to 15 degrees below zero. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms over the San Joaquin Valley of California produced three-quarters of an inch of rain in thirty minutes at Placerville, and caused numerous power outages due to lightning. Rain began to diminish in the northeastern U.S., but some flooding continued in Vermont, eastern New York and northern New Jersey. One inch rains in Vermont clogged culverts and sewers with fallen leaves, resulting in erosion of dirt roads. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Arctic cold invaded the north central U.S. Valentine, NE, dipped to 8 degrees, and Cutbank, MT, reported a morning low of one degree above zero. The temperature at Estes Park CO dipped to 15 degrees, but then soared thirty degrees in less than thirty minutes. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - A storm crossing the western U.S. produced 10 to 20 inches of snow across northern and central Wyoming, with 22 inches reported at Burgess Junction. Seven cities in the Lower Ohio Valley and the Upper Great Lakes Region reported record high temperatures for the date as readings again warmed into the 70s. Alpena MI reported a record high of 75 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Hit 80 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Current temp is 82 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Islip has reached 81. That is the highest temperature so late in the season. The previous latest 81 or above occurred on October 19, 2016 (84). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Records all around, those who laughed at 80s earlier this week, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Just now, qg_omega said: Records all around, those who laughed at 80s earlier this week, lol I saw this coming a week ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Up to 81 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 84 here today. Roasting on the west winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 35 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Records all around, those who laughed at 80s earlier this week, lol Wait, you took that pic doing 53 with a vehicle one car length ahead of you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guinness77 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 NWS pretty bullish on giving us rain tomorrow through the morning until Monday although all these models im looking at don’t have rain starting until late afternoon and it looks to be pretty light. Kinda weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, guinness77 said: NWS pretty bullish on giving us rain tomorrow through the morning until Monday although all these models im looking at don’t have rain starting until late afternoon and it looks to be pretty light. Kinda weird. Euro is very wet tomorrow morning and afternoon. Hrrr has rain in the morning too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 48 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Records all around, those who laughed at 80s earlier this week, lol Edit: We laughed at you getting hysterical over 4 days of warm weather. Also, 77.2 in Westchester. Still havent hit 80 in this stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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