SACRUS Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 The squeeze from the advancing trough / front and ex phillippe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: 68 / 67 with rain to the north , west and east. Cooler times Sun (10/8) - Thu (10/12) before turning more humid wet next weekend. Amazing (and annoying) that the timing keeps working out for rain on saturdays. Yet again it appears that we're gonna have a mostly dry week but then rain on saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 Cloudy windy 62. .05" rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 More rain on the Euro for next weekend 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: More rain on the Euro for next weekend Welcome to El Niño, more to come. Hopefully we can line up a millet A and some colD enough air this winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: More rain on the Euro for next weekend i hope it happens... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 2 hours ago, nycwinter said: i hope it happens... Gfs is coming on board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 Fall is finally arriving. Can really feel those lower dews/temps. And I'm biting on next weekend's storm. Timing stinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 Down to 51 here after the front. Maybe .25” today thankfully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 38 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Fall is finally arriving. Can really feel those lower dews/temps. And I'm biting on next weekend's storm. Timing stinks May as well start the thread now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Haven’t been able to use the boat on the weekend since Labor Day. Horrific ending to the season 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Following this evening's frontal passage, the coolest air mass so far this season will overspread the region. Tomorrow and Monday will be brisk and cool days. Temperatures will remain below 60° in parts of the region even as sunshine prevails. Temperatures will slowly warm afterward. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.5°C for the week centered around September 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.90°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.58°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -5.16 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.511 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 58% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.7° (0.8° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Records: 10/7 Highs: EWR: 88 (1944) NYC: 88 (1944) LGA: 85 (1944) Lows: EWR: 38 (1958) NYC: 39 (1999) LGA: 40 (1954) Historical: 1970 - Widespread flooding took place across Puerto Rico. Rainfall amounts for the day ranged up to seventeen inches at Aibonito. A slow moving tropical depression was responsible for six days of torrential rains across the island. Totals in the Eastern Interior Division averaged thirty inches, with 38.4 inches at Jayuya. Flooding claimed eighteen lives, and resulted in 62 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1981 - Seattle, WA, received four inches of rain in 24 hours, a record for the city. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - It was another hot day in the southwestern U.S. Tucson, AZ, hit 101 degrees for the second day in a row to again equal their record for the month of October. Phoenix AZ reported a record high of 103 degrees, and Blythe CA and Yuma AZ tied for honors as the hot spot in the nation with afternoon highs of 108 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Morning fog in the central U.S. reduced the visibility to near zero at some locations. Morning lows of 28 degrees at Rockford IL and 24 degrees at Waterloo IA were records for the date. Afternoon highs of 92 degrees at Hollywood FL and Miami FL were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms in central Texas drenched San Antonio with 3.10 inches of rain in six hours causing local flooding in northeastern sections of the city. Temperatures dipped below the freezing mark from the Northern Rockies to the Upper Mississippi Valley. (The National Weather Summary) 2016: Hurricane Matthew was off the northeast coast of Florida. Matthew brought intense rainfall to the Carolinas on the 8th and 9th. 2018: Only 8 hours after becoming a depression, the National Hurricane Center upgraded the system to Tropical Storm Michael. Tropical storm force winds and torrential downpours were affecting portions of the coastal east-central Yucatan Peninsula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Ugh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Gearing up for winter. Reminder, it's bad when the primary hangs on too long. @MJO812 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Man this front really cleared out the humidity and moisture. 48 currently with some wind still kicking up. Crystal clear skies. Had some very heavy bursts of downpours today, could barely see the road for a few minutes. Just under an inch total. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Down to 52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 finally i can wear the hoodie along with a jacket over it again i feel whole now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 58degs.(53/63) or -1. Reached 69 here yesterday at Noon. Today: 61-63, wind w., scattered clouds, 49 tomorrow AM. 50*(80%RH) here at 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Hope the Euro is wrong for next weekend. It dumps on NYC again. Other models are much drier though. Looks like a miller B type coastal storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 7 hours ago, Rjay said: Gearing up for winter. Reminder, it's bad when the primary hangs on too long. @MJO812 Better than last winter LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 12 hours ago, psv88 said: Haven’t been able to use the boat on the weekend since Labor Day. Horrific ending to the season Just said the same thing. Awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 53 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 16 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Welcome to El Niño, more to come. Hopefully we can line up a millet A and some colD enough air this winter. I don’t care what AccuWeather says, I like the storm track and I like the below normal temperatures going into fall. Warm El Niños start with warm falls. I like our chances this winter based on what Im seeing thru mid Oct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 october 1997 had a warm start with a below average finish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 97-98 was terrible for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 16 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 97-98 was terrible for snow The forcing is completely different as well as the strength of the Nino. I do not forsee a 97/98 outcome 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 18 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The forcing is completely different as well as the strength of the Nino. I do not forsee a 97/98 outcome Correct…hopefully. Also had little tropical activity vs our continuous loop of offshore interactions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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