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Tropical Storm Ophelia


Rjay
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WPC FFG through 12Z Monday, and I think this has a decent chance of realization ne NJ, extreme se NYS, with a lower chance CT but these locations are where I think spot new 24 hours 4" can occur by 12z/Monday with slow moving upper low, and PW near 1.65", possibly permitting focused 2-3" of rain in 6 hours above mentioned areas.  Axis of max rainfall I suspect will be north of I78 next 24 hours so the 4-5" in Ocean County NJ as seen on this two day CoCoRaHs total will probably remain below 7" with max rainfall arced somewhere between 180-184. 

See Sept topic for what I think is a likely gale NJ coast late this week, the uncertainty...how far north...does it include the NYC subforum a little further south?

 

On the graphs: click for clarity. Thanks.

 

Screen Shot 2023-09-24 at 7.52.17 AM.png

Screen Shot 2023-09-24 at 7.49.47 AM.png

Screen Shot 2023-09-24 at 7.50.15 AM.png

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...Middlesex County...
East Brunswick Twp           2.21 in   0650 AM 09/24   COCORAHS
South River 0.3 WSW          2.07 in   0630 AM 09/24   COCORAHS
Highland Park                2.05 in   0730 AM 09/24   COCORAHS
Woodbridge 1 ESE             1.92 in   0700 AM 09/24   COCORAHS
Metuchen 0.5 E               1.85 in   0700 AM 09/24   COCORAHS
Edison Twp 1.9 N             1.57 in   0700 AM 09/24   COCORAHS
South Brunswick Twp 3.1 NW   1.57 in   0700 AM 09/24   COCORAHS
Middlesex 0.1 ENE            1.55 in   0800 AM 09/24   COCORAHS
Plainsboro Twp 1.8 ESE       1.54 in   0700 AM 09/24   COCORAHS


 

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1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said:

Rain amounts on the island have been all over the place it seems. 

Montauk point somehow got 0.79 so far as of this morning,  I have 0.40 roughly,  0.34 i think in islip.  But wear off that is in the 1 inch or more range.  

 

I’m at about an inch. Around Rt 112 got quite a bit more since they had the training band earlier this morning. 

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