Kmlwx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Convection trying to wrap the center Great sat pic! Imagine if it had some more time to get going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I don't want to go to work this weekend. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Imagine the poor folks on this board who will be on the dry, east side of this storm... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 It’s trying to tuck under 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: That was at 925mb. The surface reading was at 58kt. The extrapolated pressure falls between passes is pretty good. No, 925mb on what I posted was 74kt. Surface at 1001mb was 66kt. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 hour ago, gymengineer said: TS Ophelia-60 mph 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 11 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: They've been playing that at my work 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 minute ago, alexderiemer said: They've been playing that at my work It fits! Great tune too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Updated forecast for here. Upped the wind from 35 and increased rainfall totals. Tonight Rain, with thunderstorms also possible after 5am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog after 8pm. Low around 58. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Saturday Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then rain between 11am and 2pm, then rain and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog. High near 68. Breezy, with a northeast wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Saturday Night Rain and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog. Low around 62. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Sunday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Would be cool to finish September with 10" total for rain 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Scraff said: OMG. I better load up the beer fridge!! 59 minutes ago, Random Chaos said: You might lose power. Better stock on ice chests instead. There's no other member on this board than @Scraff (well, @CAPE, too) when the power fails, and we NEED to empty out the beer fridge before it all gets warm...or, alternately, transfer it to the ice chests.... 22 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Convection trying to wrap the center That is a REAL pretty sat pic right there. So, for those who were here back then...does Ophelia fall just short of being as impactful as Isabel in 2003 in terms of rain or wind? Or not even close? I've seen a few historical charts that showed Isabel dropped 1"-3" in the metro area, but the winds (I think, or at least remember) definitely had in impact in the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 22, 2023 Author Share Posted September 22, 2023 11 minutes ago, Random Chaos said: No, 925mb on what I posted was 74kt. Surface at 1001mb was 66kt. My fault, I see it now. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 18z Nam significantly more east than 12z so far and heavier rain moving in here 12hrs out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 From 992 mb for the 2 pm advisory to 987/986 mb in about an hour and 15 minutes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 9 minutes ago, vastateofmind said: So, for those who were here back then...does Ophelia fall just short of being as impactful as Isabel in 2003 in terms of rain or wind? Or not even close? I've seen a few historical charts that showed Isabel dropped 1"-3" in the metro area, but the winds (I think, or at least remember) definitely had in impact in the area. It's definitely going to end up in the not even close category in terms of winds as Isabel had much stronger winds and much stronger winds over a wider area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Hope recon gets to sample that west side more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Nam much wetter than 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Heading to Norfolk at 6AM tomorrow morning. Should be there by 10 or so. I cruise out of Norfolk to Bermuda on Sunday. Probably gonna be a bumpy on the way out. Looking forward to it. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Nam much wetter than 12z. uncancel the storm cancel? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 25 minutes ago, vastateofmind said: There's no other member on this board than @Scraff (well, @CAPE, too) when the power fails, and we NEED to empty out the beer fridge before it all gets warm...or, alternately, transfer it to the ice chests.... That is a REAL pretty sat pic right there. So, for those who were here back then...does Ophelia fall just short of being as impactful as Isabel in 2003 in terms of rain or wind? Or not even close? I've seen a few historical charts that showed Isabel dropped 1"-3" in the metro area, but the winds (I think, or at least remember) definitely had in impact in the area. Isabel had 70-80 mph gusts across our region IIRC, I don’t see any models forecasting that around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Heading to Norfolk at 6AM tomorrow morning. Should be there by 10 or so. I cruise out of Norfolk to Bermuda on Sunday. Probably gonna be a bumpy on the way out. Looking forward to it. That's awesome enjoy the week ahead. Close to that area of Norfolk is expected to experience significant flooding during tomorrow's high tide after about 4:00 p.m...there will be some moderate flooding in the morning. Stay out of that area until you have to go on the cruise sunday. Safe travels that's not going to be easy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Ophelia is looking much better right now. LP is under the heaviest convection. Still some time for her to strengthen as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Just now, clskinsfan said: Ophelia is looking much better right now. LP is under the heaviest convection. Still some time for her to strengthen as well. At least 12 more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Just now, Stormpc said: That's awesome enjoy the week ahead. Close to that area of Norfolk is expected to experience significant flooding during tomorrow's high tide after about 4:00 p.m...there will be some moderate flooding in the morning. Stay out of that area until you have to go on the cruise sunday. Safe travels that's not going to be easy. Nah. I am going early on purpose to see it. I wasnt gonna leave until noon. But I moved up my plans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 22, 2023 Author Share Posted September 22, 2023 Really nice animation of the center starting to become covered by convection as it crosses the Gulf Stream. Definitely looking more tropical and likely continuing to intensify. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 35 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Would be cool to finish September with 10" total for rain Just missed here in July. 10 in Sept is definitely doable at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Nah. I am going early on purpose to see it. I wasnt gonna leave until noon. But I moved up my plans. Leave now!! I'm 50 Mi south of Norfolk and it's cranking already. Definitely becoming more tropical. My dew point this morning was 61 now it's up to 69. Get down here!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Just now, Stormpc said: Leave now!! I'm 50 Mi south of Norfolk and it's cranking already. Definitely becoming more tropical. My dew point this morning was 61 now it's up to 69. Get down here!! Waiting for some friends to fly into Dulles. Or I would have already been down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Getting an early sprinkle here with easterly winds off the ocean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now