stormy Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Orphilia has been unusual because it has been a hybrid system. Sub tropical evolved to tropical. Sub tropical systems can often have a widespread wind-field more removed from the center compared to a pure tropical system. Associated rainfall can also be farther removed from the center of a sub tropical system than a pure tropical system. Both of these sub tropical characteristics have been quite obvious with Orphilia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 ~0.75” so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 DCA gusted to 30 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 24 minutes ago, mattie g said: But we don’t have 2” of rain yet, so you’re supposed to meh this thing. meh !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coolio Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Wishcasting is strong today. 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 11 minutes ago, coolio said: Wishcasting is strong today. Winter is approaching. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Wind so far (graph) and sea state. Photo has my anemometer in it on the pier. Tide is around 1' datum (0.5' MLW). 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 0.93” from the first round, drizzly during the lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Winds picking up. Heaviest rain so far today. Temp 63.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Around .5" here. I was hoping the higher ratios out here would help our totals more. Oh well, not mad one bit with a rainy 55F late September day! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Looks like quite the deluge coming later today and tonight. Maybe not so much for my MBY but for areas a bit further east and along 95 should probably be some FF concerns potentially later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Heavy rain in DC right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 1 hour ago, coolio said: Wishcasting is strong today. Cool story, bruv. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Nice steady rain and the treetops are swaying, but not much wind at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Back into a lull. Not much excitement so far but sometimes just need a good steady rain and cool breeze to force you to be little lazy. It’s def good eatin weather too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 1096 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 222 PM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023 Areas affected...northern North Carolina, central/eastern Virginia, southern Maryland, southern Delaware, and the District of Columbia Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid 231822Z - 240030Z Summary...Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Ophelia continues to promote considerable flash flood potential across the discussion area this afternoon. Discussion...The center of Ophelia continues to move northward across eastern North Carolina and was located near the NC/VA border southwest of Norfolk. Bands of heavy precipitation have continued to produce areas of 1+ inch/hr rain rates over multiple hours both near the center (near Roanoke Rapids) and also west-through-southwest of the center near Raleigh metro. The bulk of flash flood potential has been located with this activity. Meanwhile, scattered convection has progressed fairly quickly across the DelMarVa that has managed to produce spots of 0.5-0.75 inch/hr rain rates while wetting soils downstream of Ophelia. The overall flash flood scenario with Ophelia continues and remains separated into these two separate regimes: 1) with concentrated/banded convection near the center and just west of the storm and 2) with banded convection forming in a slightly more buoyant airmass northeastward toward the DelMarVa. So far, the more concentrated flash flood threat has evolved over North Carolina (with at least one report of closed roadways near Greenville). Prolonged heavy rainfall in these areas have resulted in 2-7 inches storm total precipitation and wet soils supporting efficient runoff. Flash flooding remains likely in this scenario, and the better risk should continue to spread northward toward the I-95 corridor in eastern Virginia (including Richmond Metro) through 00Z. Farther to the northeast (from far southeastern Virginia northeastward to the DelMarVa), lighter rain rates have generally materialized despite notable banding of convection. Rain has generally remained fairly progressive, although the presence of strong low-level convergence and buoyancy in these areas may still promote isolated flash flood potential especially if convective bands stall and manage to produce higher rain rates through 00Z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 About 0.7” at home. Just been drizzling here in deep creek for several hours with local PWSs around 0.25”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 coordinated with the the above-mentioned MPD by ThePhotoGuy... Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 217 PM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016-504-506-VAZ053>057-527-240915- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0012.230924T0000Z-230924T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Including the cities of Washington, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Columbia, Ellicott City, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair 217 PM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Flash flooding in urban areas caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...District of Columbia. Portions of Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Prince Georges and Southern Baltimore. Portions of Virginia, including the following areas, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Fairfax, King George, Spotsylvania and Stafford. * WHEN...From 8 PM EDT this evening through Sunday morning. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - As the center of Tropical Storm Ophelia moves north along or near the Interstate 95 corridor, it will produce an area of enhanced rainfall. This is expected to result in 2 to 3 inches of rain, with high end amounts of 4 inches possible. This heavy rainfall will occur in a 1 to 2 hour period, and could result in flash flooding within the urban I-95 corridor. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ KR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 28 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Nice steady rain and the treetops are swaying, but not much wind at the surface. What do you have sequoias? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 58 out with .73”. The younger Miss J went with a friend to the Frederick Fair. Midway was shut down but they enjoy all the exhibits and animals anyways. Still came home with two fish they won. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Kids-sized bowling ball 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 We’re going to see Walker Hayes tonight at the Frederick Fair….I’ve been hoping they cancel but no such luck. I’ve really enjoyed today’s weather - breezy with some good gusts and bouts of mod/heavy rain. Good weather to put up fall decor inside today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: We’re going to see Walker Hayes tonight at the Frederick Fair….I’ve been hoping they cancel but no such luck. I’ve really enjoyed today’s weather - breezy with some good gusts and bouts of mod/heavy rain. Good weather to put up fall decor inside today. 100% agree. Except our 26 year old son visiting from Austin is all, "Hey, let's go downtown and visit some museums and bars!!" And my wife and I are all, "DUDE, have you LOOKED OUTSIDE??" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 That pinwheel in central VA is gonna baste some communities with a good amount of rain. It's spinnin' like a buzzsaw and loaded with torrential tropical rain. Someone is gonna get demolished. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 19 minutes ago, Jebman said: Someone is gonna get demolished. I mean, it'll be like an hour of moderate rain yeah, but demolished? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 20 minutes ago, Its a Breeze said: I mean, it'll be like an hour of moderate rain yeah, but demolished? Okay, probably not demolished, but you'll get rained on pretty good. It should be a drought buster. That buzzsaw to your south, it is developing additional showers ahead of it. You guys have a lot of rain to get thru today into tonight! Meanwhile in other news, where I am at it is 99/70 with a heat index of 106 lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 35 minutes ago, Jebman said: That pinwheel in central VA is gonna baste some communities with a good amount of rain. It's spinnin' like a buzzsaw and loaded with torrential tropical rain. Someone is gonna get demolished. Leaving Cville in the company truck for a quick trip to our Richmond center like every Saturday. . Guess I will get to see what that pinwheel core is all about... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 5 minutes ago, Jrlg1181 said: Leaving Cville in the company truck for a quick trip to our Richmond center like every Saturday. . Guess I will get to see what that pinwheel core is all about... Have a lot of fun and stay safe. By the way, could you all please send us an inch of your rain please? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Thunder in southern Howard County! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 I'm in Annopoils right now. It's pouring and and wind is ripping. Looks like a tropical storm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now