NorthHillsWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 35 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: Which ones are already at sustained TS conditions? I aint denying it, I am just wondering where to find these stations. Also I posted in another thread but thought I would post here aswell, but maybe the beginning workings of a core? Here it is KLTX Kinda intrigued by the curve look. However, from satellite it seems the circulation is displaced to the south of this, so I am unsure. Thoughts would be appreciated Onslow Bay outer buoy Wilmington Buoy Frying Pan Tower Diamond Shoals Cape Hatteras Buoy All have seen sustained winds 35-45 kts with some gusts over 55 kts For Land: Cape Lookout had a 52 MPH gust with 39 mph sustained wind 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 23 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Haven’t seen a land reporting station gusting over 30 yet You’re not looking. Cape lookout, piney island, Beaufort, then pretty much every pier from hatteras north has seen 40+ mph gusts 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Low Pressure Lunacy Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 I have been going to the Frying Pan Tower's Youtube channel this summer to see any waves that the hurricanes might have produced as they went by way off the coast and there was not much wave activity that I saw. Use to live in Hawaii and I miss the waves at Pipeline beach. But today with this storm being so close there are some waves 30 miles off the coast of Cape Fear and the ocean looks angry, so does the atmosphere. Really poor visibility looking across the ocean compared to the last month or so. The Belly Cam shows the bottom pipe frame of the structure near the water and it is usually lined with seagulls but today they are not there! Must be a real trip to ride out a storm in this tower. Link to the buoy that can be seen from the tower, wave heights are 12 feet. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41013 https://www.youtube.com/@FPTower 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Cape lookout (on land) sustained 40 kts Gusting 48 kts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 14 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Cape lookout (on land) sustained 40 kts Gusting 48 kts Higher winds should be pushing inland through the afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Wonder if folks up here in the Triangle need to prepare for downed trees and power outages. Not sure if it will be that bad up here or not. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Recon so far has found flight level winds of 62 knots, surface at 48 knots and extrapolated pressure of 991 mb or so. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 And we have Ophelia. 60 mph, 991 mb. This isn’t going to be far from hurricane intensity at landfall 6 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Ophelia has a rather unusual trajectory, moving NNW at landfall. I can't find any TSs or Hurricanes in the NOAA database along the NC coast that are close. Most move NE, with a number of outliers moving more W or WNW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Glad we finally got this recon pass so all the debs can shut it and crawl back into their miserable little holes 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lfunk11 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 24 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Ophelia has a rather unusual trajectory, moving NNW at landfall. I can't find any TSs or Hurricanes in the NOAA database along the NC coast that are close. Most move NE, with a number of outliers moving more W or WNW Isabel? more NW I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Per recon, this might be almost at hurricane strength 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scootmandu Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 3 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: You’re not looking. Cape lookout, piney island, Beaufort, then pretty much every pier from hatteras north has seen 40+ mph gusts I have been logging into Ambient weather, since I am one of the reporting stations and it is a great way to follow tropical systems through observing dozens of different stations in the regions being affected. t also see the reports on top current rain rate and wind gust from all the regions I select. Total rain, wind gusts and more in real time. Weather Underground also includes a barograph for their stations, and continuously recorded weather records for all of the reporting stations to follow barometric pressure, and to get the precise moments of storm passage over an area. Frisco, NC, in the Outer Banks, already had a gust to 55. It seems that virtually everyone on the outer banks has been getting gusts over 40. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 It wouldn’t surprise me to see hurricane warnings coming out shortly based on that pass. FL 75 kts, SFMR 60-62 kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 15 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: It wouldn’t surprise me to see hurricane warnings coming out shortly based on that pass. FL 75 kts, SFMR 60-62 kts And dropsonde with 66kt surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 minute ago, Random Chaos said: And dropsonde with 66kt surface. That’s enough for an upgrade. FL, SFMR, and dropsonde Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 I'm surprised they didn't go with subtropical. Looking at phase space diagrams there's is a pretty shallow warm core and doesn't have much symmetry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Just now, Amped said: I'm surprised they didn't go with subtropical. Looking at phase space diagrams there's is a pretty shallow warm core and doesn't have much symmetry. Yeah, doesn't look stacked at all (more evident on loop). Kinda neat though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Yeah, doesn't look stacked at all (more evident on loop). Kinda neat though! It’s definitely not purely tropical but man what a cool evolution to watch unfold especially in radar range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Onslow bay outer buoy (shared earlier) gusting to 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Nor’easter comma head 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Not sure why so little interest in this. Convection now wrapping over the CoC. Very interesting 12 hours in play. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: Nor’easter comma head Was* It’s transitioning as we write. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Just now, jbenedet said: Not sure why so little interest in this. Convection now wrapping over the CoC. Very interesting 12 hours in play. The Mid-Atlantic thread on this is moving quicker. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Nor’easter comma head Thanks for confirming how insufferable Gtown grads are 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Not sure why so little interest in this. Convection now wrapping over the CoC. Very interesting 12 hours in play. I was thinking the same thing. Some amazing tropical transitioning accruing. If this had started a few hundred miles further south we would have a beast of a hurricane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Looks like there’s a decent amount of lightning with the convection West of the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 21 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Not sure why so little interest in this. Convection now wrapping over the CoC. Very interesting 12 hours in play. Need that center to tuck a little west under that convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 25 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Not sure why so little interest in this. Convection now wrapping over the CoC. Very interesting 12 hours in play. Agreed. Has some time to strengthen some. And she is looking much more robust now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, shaggy said: Need that center to tuck a little west under that convection Looks like that is happening as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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