Jns2183 Posted November 14, 2023 Share Posted November 14, 2023 IPT: 41" MDT: 22" LNS: 31" THV: 478"That's just cope, haha. Might as well bet $100 every Sunday against your favorite team to not feel badSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted November 14, 2023 Share Posted November 14, 2023 Not shocking. Our lawyers here at work are starting to contract with some sort of AI apparatus that specializes in legal research. This stuff is coming for everyone and everything, for better or worse.Whose going to get the lucrative job of face of AI when it goes wrong. We all need a person to hangSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 14, 2023 Share Posted November 14, 2023 18z GFS says hello for Turkey Day Eve! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 14, 2023 Share Posted November 14, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: 18z GFS says hello for Turkey Day Eve! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 14, 2023 Share Posted November 14, 2023 I wouldn’t mind shoveling snow before I shovel down my Thanksgiving feast! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted November 14, 2023 Share Posted November 14, 2023 Haha, I'm so happy with my raising the possibility of a thanksgiving storm a month ago merely by asking how long it's been. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 14, 2023 Share Posted November 14, 2023 18z GFS is definitely good for a quick coating of snow for most areas. Hope this holds. At least we're inside 200 hours now. If we see this persisting come Sunday evening, then we're definitely looking at something. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 14, 2023 Share Posted November 14, 2023 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Gefs likes it too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 Made it to 57 here today. MDT topped out at 58 and ended the day 1/2 degree BN, CXY 2.5 degrees AN with a warmer low of 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 34 this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 34 this AM. 22.8 here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 So far this November I only have .03 rainfall. It's been a dry month so far. NWS is calling for 1/4-1/2 on Friday at my location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 14 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: 22.8 here! 11 degrees colder than MDT! Down to 33 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 29 when I left the house. 80 on the train car. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 23 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 11 degrees colder than MDT! Compare my average month temp to MDT for November. State College, PA Weather Forecast Office Climate Weather.gov > State College, PA > Climate NOWData Observed Weather Climate Prediction and Variability Local Data/Records Climate Resources 1. Choose a Product 2. Choose a Location Daily Climate Report (CLI) Preliminary Monthly Climate Data (CF6) Record Event Report (RER) Monthly Weather Summary (CLM) Routine Temperature/Precip (RTP) Seasonal Climate Report (CLS) Annual Climate Report (CLA) Storm Event Database (NCEI) Harrisburg, PAWilliamsport, PAAltoona, PABradford, PAJohnstown, PA Products viewable from this page have been issued within the last 7 days This data is preliminary, for access to the complete period of record of finalized data for this site and more, visit NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) Climate Data Online (CDO). Only the current month's data is available at this time. Click for access to archived data. 000 CXUS51 KCTP 150900 CF6MDT PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) STATION: HARRISBURG PA MONTH: NOVEMBER YEAR: 2023 LATITUDE: 40 11 N LONGITUDE: 76 46 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 48 36 42 -8 23 0 T 0.0 0 13.3 25 310 M M 4 36 290 2 51 32 42 -8 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.7 14 190 M M 1 17 200 3 62 31 47 -2 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.3 15 180 M M 1 21 180 4 62 36 49 0 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 1.3 6 150 M M 6 8 50 5 67 45 56 8 9 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.6 16 330 M M 4 20 320 6 62 39 51 3 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.7 12 180 M M 5 17 170 7 75 47 61 13 4 0 0.00 0.0 0 7.4 24 270 M M 5 32 310 8 57 41 49 2 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.0 13 350 M M 3 16 350 9 63 43 53 6 12 0 T 0.0 0 5.7 18 320 M M 7 24 320 10 54 38 46 -1 19 0 T 0.0 0 8.0 23 210 M M 6 29 220 11 56 36 46 0 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.9 12 310 M M 4 1 15 300 12 50 32 41 -5 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.5 12 290 M M 3 20 280 13 55 28 42 -4 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.3 13 220 M M 1 8 19 240 14 58 32 45 0 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 6.0 17 330 M M 1 28 320 ================================================================================ SM 820 516 240 0 T 0.0 76.7 M 51 ================================================================================ AV 58.6 36.9 5.5 FASTST M M 4 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> 25 310 36 290 ================================================================================ NOTES: # LAST OF SEVERAL OCCURRENCES COLUMN 17 PEAK WIND IN M.P.H. PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2 STATION: HARRISBURG PA MONTH: NOVEMBER YEAR: 2023 LATITUDE: 40 11 N LONGITUDE: 76 46 W [TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16 AVERAGE MONTHLY: 47.7 TOTAL FOR MONTH: T 1 = FOG OR MIST DPTR FM NORMAL: 0.1 DPTR FM NORMAL: -1.37 2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY HIGHEST: 75 ON 7 GRTST 24HR T ON 1- 1 TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS LOWEST: 28 ON 13 3 = THUNDER SNOW, ICE PELLETS, HAIL 4 = ICE PELLETS TOTAL MONTH: 0.0 INCH 5 = HAIL GRTST 24HR 0.0 6 = FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE GRTST DEPTH: 0 7 = DUSTSTORM OR SANDSTORM: VSBY 1/2 MILE OR LESS 8 = SMOKE OR HAZE [NO. OF DAYS WITH] [WEATHER - DAYS WITH] 9 = BLOWING SNOW X = TORNADO MAX 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.01 INCH OR MORE: 0 MAX 90 OR ABOVE: 0 0.10 INCH OR MORE: 0 MIN 32 OR BELOW: 5 0.50 INCH OR MORE: 0 MIN 0 OR BELOW: 0 1.00 INCH OR MORE: 0 [HDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 240 CLEAR (SCALE 0-3) 6 DPTR FM NORMAL -4 PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7) 8 TOTAL FM JUL 1 493 CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10) 0 DPTR FM NORMAL -100 [CDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 0 DPTR FM NORMAL 0 [PRESSURE DATA] TOTAL FM JAN 1 1178 HIGHEST SLP M ON M DPTR FM NORMAL 6 LOWEST SLP 29.71 ON 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 Thanksgiving Day brrrr: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Thanksgiving Day brrrr: That cold shot is on the surface maps but not until after Thanksgiving. Highs in the 50's on Turkey day on the 6Z Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 59 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Compare my average month temp to MDT for November. State College, PA Weather Forecast Office Climate Weather.gov > State College, PA > Climate NOWData Observed Weather Climate Prediction and Variability Local Data/Records Climate Resources 1. Choose a Product 2. Choose a Location Daily Climate Report (CLI) Preliminary Monthly Climate Data (CF6) Record Event Report (RER) Monthly Weather Summary (CLM) Routine Temperature/Precip (RTP) Seasonal Climate Report (CLS) Annual Climate Report (CLA) Storm Event Database (NCEI) Harrisburg, PAWilliamsport, PAAltoona, PABradford, PAJohnstown, PA Products viewable from this page have been issued within the last 7 days This data is preliminary, for access to the complete period of record of finalized data for this site and more, visit NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) Climate Data Online (CDO). Only the current month's data is available at this time. Click for access to archived data. 000 CXUS51 KCTP 150900 CF6MDT PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) STATION: HARRISBURG PA MONTH: NOVEMBER YEAR: 2023 LATITUDE: 40 11 N LONGITUDE: 76 46 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 48 36 42 -8 23 0 T 0.0 0 13.3 25 310 M M 4 36 290 2 51 32 42 -8 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.7 14 190 M M 1 17 200 3 62 31 47 -2 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.3 15 180 M M 1 21 180 4 62 36 49 0 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 1.3 6 150 M M 6 8 50 5 67 45 56 8 9 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.6 16 330 M M 4 20 320 6 62 39 51 3 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.7 12 180 M M 5 17 170 7 75 47 61 13 4 0 0.00 0.0 0 7.4 24 270 M M 5 32 310 8 57 41 49 2 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.0 13 350 M M 3 16 350 9 63 43 53 6 12 0 T 0.0 0 5.7 18 320 M M 7 24 320 10 54 38 46 -1 19 0 T 0.0 0 8.0 23 210 M M 6 29 220 11 56 36 46 0 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.9 12 310 M M 4 1 15 300 12 50 32 41 -5 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.5 12 290 M M 3 20 280 13 55 28 42 -4 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.3 13 220 M M 1 8 19 240 14 58 32 45 0 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 6.0 17 330 M M 1 28 320 ================================================================================ SM 820 516 240 0 T 0.0 76.7 M 51 ================================================================================ AV 58.6 36.9 5.5 FASTST M M 4 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> 25 310 36 290 ================================================================================ NOTES: # LAST OF SEVERAL OCCURRENCES COLUMN 17 PEAK WIND IN M.P.H. PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2 STATION: HARRISBURG PA MONTH: NOVEMBER YEAR: 2023 LATITUDE: 40 11 N LONGITUDE: 76 46 W [TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16 AVERAGE MONTHLY: 47.7 TOTAL FOR MONTH: T 1 = FOG OR MIST DPTR FM NORMAL: 0.1 DPTR FM NORMAL: -1.37 2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY HIGHEST: 75 ON 7 GRTST 24HR T ON 1- 1 TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS LOWEST: 28 ON 13 3 = THUNDER SNOW, ICE PELLETS, HAIL 4 = ICE PELLETS TOTAL MONTH: 0.0 INCH 5 = HAIL GRTST 24HR 0.0 6 = FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE GRTST DEPTH: 0 7 = DUSTSTORM OR SANDSTORM: VSBY 1/2 MILE OR LESS 8 = SMOKE OR HAZE [NO. OF DAYS WITH] [WEATHER - DAYS WITH] 9 = BLOWING SNOW X = TORNADO MAX 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.01 INCH OR MORE: 0 MAX 90 OR ABOVE: 0 0.10 INCH OR MORE: 0 MIN 32 OR BELOW: 5 0.50 INCH OR MORE: 0 MIN 0 OR BELOW: 0 1.00 INCH OR MORE: 0 [HDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 240 CLEAR (SCALE 0-3) 6 DPTR FM NORMAL -4 PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7) 8 TOTAL FM JUL 1 493 CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10) 0 DPTR FM NORMAL -100 [CDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 0 DPTR FM NORMAL 0 [PRESSURE DATA] TOTAL FM JAN 1 1178 HIGHEST SLP M ON M DPTR FM NORMAL 6 LOWEST SLP 29.71 ON 7 I know you are colder because you are in a valley (my above freezing temp this AM continues to question how much elevation means around here.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: That cold shot is on the surface maps but not until after Thanksgiving. Highs in the 50's on Turkey day on the 6Z Op. Not me low 30's and flurries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 15, 2023 Author Share Posted November 15, 2023 27 this morning in Maytown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 It made it down to the mid-20's in many of the valley locations here in the county. Relative elevation makes a difference around here - as in East Nantmeal we could do no better than 30.2 degrees for the low. Temps will remain slightly below normal today before rising to well above normal by tomorrow and Friday with highs in the low 60's. Colder weather will set in during the weekend and it appears the remainder of November and into December will feature below normal temperatures. We do have some rain chances by Friday night but amounts look very light. Records for today: 78 (1993) / Low 16 (1905) / Rain 2.18" (1914) / Snow 9.5" (1906). That snowstorm in 1906 was the largest November storm in Chester County history. Some other area totals with that storm included Hamburg in Berks County with 6.1" and West Chester recorded 5.8" of early season snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That cold shot is on the surface maps but not until after Thanksgiving. Highs in the 50's on Turkey day on the 6Z Op. JB was going out on the limb yesterday saying the models were wrong. He expects a big storm along the east coast prior to Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 13 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: JB was going out on the limb yesterday saying the models were wrong. He expects a big storm along the east coast prior to Thanksgiving. The ULL map on all 3 main MR models is pretty transitory around here. Quick rainer Wed for us. EC winds a low in the GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: The ULL maps on all 3 main MR models is pretty transitory around here. Quick rainer Wed for us. EC winds a low in the GL. So he's probably wrong...again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 10 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: So he's probably wrong...again! There is a bulge in the southeast (yes, funny) on Wed/Thur but it flattens out on all 3 globals. The Paweather post Turkey Day cold bullies it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 1 hour ago, paweather said: Thanksgiving Day brrrr: Really liking next weeks weather (and beyond). Going to be nice to hear chatter about flakes flying and getting into the holiday season. Saw 3 folks with christmas stuff out and lit last evening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Really liking next weeks weather (and beyond). Going to be nice to hear chatter about flakes flying and getting into the holiday season. Saw 3 folks with christmas stuff out and lit last evening. Yep looks like it keeps reloading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 23 minutes ago, paweather said: Yep looks like it keeps reloading. Ens guidance supports the reload and is not too dissimilar to the Ops on the 500MB loops (generally speaking). Thats the continuity we need. NAO/AO/PNA are all workable in that timeframe and dont go against what the models are showing, and supportive of the slight ridge/trough regime being advertised on globals. Good signs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 15, 2023 Author Share Posted November 15, 2023 MU's thoughts on the upcoming pattern and snow chances: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU's thoughts on the upcoming pattern and snow chances: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php Ouch for near term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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