Bubbler86 Posted October 6, 2023 Share Posted October 6, 2023 39 minutes ago, canderson said: Will this cover southern PA? I am not sure. LWX's mesh does cover southern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 6, 2023 Share Posted October 6, 2023 HRRR is advertising a good bit of tomorrow is rainy....through mid day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 6, 2023 Share Posted October 6, 2023 It’s currently raining. Edit: it’s now pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 Moderate rain and .27" in the hopper. Ends a 9-10 dry stretch. 62 degrees. In what I hope is not a sign of a demon from last year, MDT is already AN on the high for the day posting a 70 midnight high. @mitchnick your call gains some traction with the 0Z Global Op's showing more of a southern presence to the system late next week. Would turn what could be an 80 degree day here to one where the mid upper 70's are just down the road from us and we are right on the line...close call. All 3 show something similar but the Euro depict was one that really showed the "line". May be a surprise 70 on Tue though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 Almost 3/4 of rain this morning. Thanks to @Mount Joy SnowmanI moved my gauge in a more open area and now I got accurate measurements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Moderate rain and .27" in the hopper. Ends a 9-10 dry stretch. 62 degrees. In what I hope is not a sign of a demon from last year, MDT is already AN on the high for the day posting a 70 midnight high. @mitchnick your call gains some traction with the 0Z Global Op's showing more of a southern presence to the system late next week. Would turn what could be an 80 degree day here to one where the mid upper 70's are just down the road from us and we are right on the line...close call. All 3 show something similar but the Euro depict was one that really showed the "line". May be a surprise 70 on Tue though? I went purely on the ensemble means with my thoughts and didn't look at any of the members. With the ensembles just averaging things out, some members could have shown that scenario and others the warmer one with an average in the upper 60's. I will say that all 3 ensembles seem bent on averaging on the cooler side down the road, typical for strong Niño Octobers. In fact, the 6z operational GFS has a serious cold shot at the end of the run fwiw. So I guess I would roll the dice at this point and go with 60's max. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 39 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I went purely on the ensemble means with my thoughts and didn't look at any of the members. With the ensembles just averaging things out, some members could have shown that scenario and others the warmer one with an average in the upper 60's. I will say that all 3 ensembles seem bent on averaging on the cooler side down the road, typical for strong Niño Octobers. In fact, the 6z operational GFS has a serious cold shot at the end of the run fwiw. So I guess I would roll the dice at this point and go with 60's max. Yea, I recall you saying that. I was not just reading op's myself as opposed to forecasting we have a low moving to our west. If it transfers early or minors out to a SE low, my predict will be gone. But, I am still going with 2-3 days out of the next 7 being 70 or over at Hanover and MDT. I do hope that even if we get another warm shot next week, we are easing into full-time fall sooner rather than later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 22 minutes ago, Porsche said: Almost 3/4 of rain this morning. Thanks to @Mount Joy SnowmanI moved my gauge in a more open area and now I got accurate measurements. Here to help haha. Love the dedication to the craft! I’m a little over a half inch here thus far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 I guess the front arrived cause winds just cranked up to 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 It’s nice to have Fall weather back this week! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 0.79” of rain in the bucket.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 Forget what I said earlier, I just went out and checked the manual gauge and I’m actually approaching .9”. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 We have picked up 0.17" of rain so far here in East Nantmeal with the first line of showers. The 2nd line of additional rain with the main cold front should pass through from west to east and be through the county during the noon hour. Temps will fall the rest of the day with temps down into the 50's by 1pm and the 40's by 9pm this evening. Clearing skies later today. Chillier than normal weather should continue for most of the next week with our next chances of rain toward Thursday evening. Go Phillies! Records for today: High 90 (1941) / Low 27 (1923) / Rain 1.48" (1965) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 .2" so far w/-rn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 Passing through Hanover. A soaker. Car therm has 61, Probably 59-61 as it can be off a degree or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 58 and mod rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Passing through Hanover. A soaker. Car therm has 61, Probably 59-61 as it can be off a degree or so. Don't forget to duck if you hear gunfire. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 Just now, mitchnick said: Don't forget to duck if you hear gunfire. I am enjoying a Mexican Fiesta right now. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am enjoying a Mexican Fiesta right now. Lol. Enjoy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 17 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Th 17 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Enjoy! The traffic in front of Starlight is ridiculous. 40 car backup past Rural King. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 I hope the boomer schooner catches fire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 High here was 66 overnight. Currently 57 with borderline heavy rain. The kids are sick so hoping I can settle in for a nice day of college football watching. Always more relaxing when your team has the week off haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The traffic in front of Starlight is ridiculous. 40 car backup past Rural King. Oh, the Starlight is worth the wait! Spoken like an old kogger. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 .3" total qpf. Another underperformer. Hopefully, the overperformers start showing up in December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 7, 2023 Author Share Posted October 7, 2023 1.02" of rain fell here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 .15” since midnight, .45” total. Sun is out now and it’s 61. And I hate football. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: .3" total qpf. Another underperformer. Hopefully, the overperformers start showing up in December. We ended up around .38. Highest totals seem to be near and east of the susky in South LSV. Still under 20" for the year here at 19.85ish. On track for the driest year ever using HGR numbers. Got up to 66 which is a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: 1.02" of rain fell here. 1.2” is the final tally out here to your east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 52 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We ended up around .38. Highest totals seem to be near and east of the susky in South LSV. Still under 20" for the year here at 19.85ish. On track for the driest year ever using HGR numbers. Got up to 66 which is a surprise. 61.9 is current and our max. You've had more sun, which may explain it. I wouldn't mind seeing this Euro day 10 map show up on a regular basis this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 7, 2023 Share Posted October 7, 2023 What. A. Game. Sorry @canderson but wow. Heartbreaker for the Horns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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