canderson Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 72 and quite windy at 12:46. Gusts into mid to upper 20s. Wasn’t expecting any wind today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2023 Author Share Posted September 14, 2023 36 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It is really sunny out today! Hopefully the Ray's stop shining after sundown tonight. Would not be at all surprised to be in 2nd place come Monday morning - the Orioles have been playing ridiculous baseball...until the past week they were running 2 games behind Atlanta. Think about that for a minute...a team that went 52-110 in 2021 was playing at a level that NO one would have seen coming. The team was on pace to win 105 games. Objectively...and this is I think an honest, fair assessment...if you study our 25 man roster and match up against Atlanta, there is a HUGE gap right now. The Orioles, good as they are, talented as they are, have been playing out of their minds. The fact that they've played out of their minds for 135-140 games has been crazy. The O's longest losing streak this year is 4 games. That's absurd. The '83 World Champion team lost 7 games in a row twice that season! This team has been long overdue for a slump, and it's likely coming at what many would say is the worst time. (going into what likely will be the series that decides the division) The fact that they scored 2 runs total in the past 2 games against a really bad St. Louis team is troubling. I'd actually argue that I'd rather them slump now, perhaps at the cost of not winning the division, and get themselves right prior to the playoffs is better than playing .750 ball like they have been the past month. A slump was overdue an imminent...get it out of their system now and try to build some momentum thereafter. How many times across all sports do teams cruise into the playoffs only to lay an egg? The Tampa Bay Lightning did just a couple of years ago. It happens a lot...last year the Phillies upended the Braves due in part because the Fightin's got hot at just the right time. I'm trying not to sweat these next 4 games. This season has been a blast. It's also been a surprise...the Orioles weren't really supposed to be in this spot until next year or even 2025. They've exceeded every expectation. That reality keeps me grounded as the season winds down. Shoot, most of the upper echelon talent is still at Norfolk and Bowie! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Would not be at all surprised to be in 2nd place come Monday morning - the Orioles have been playing ridiculous baseball...until the past week they were running 2 games behind Atlanta. Think about that for a minute...a team that went 52-110 in 2021 was playing at a level that NO one would have seen coming. The team was on pace to win 105 games. Objectively...and this is I think an honest, fair assessment...if you study our 25 man roster and match up against Atlanta, there is a HUGE gap right now. The Orioles, good as they are, talented as they are, have been playing out of their minds. The fact that they've played out of their minds for 135-140 games has been crazy. The O's longest losing streak this year is 4 games. That's absurd. The '83 World Champion team lost 7 games in a row twice that season! This team has been long overdue for a slump, and it's likely coming at what many would say is the worst time. (going into what likely will be the series that decides the division) The fact that they scored 2 runs total in the past 2 games against a really bad St. Louis team is troubling. I'd actually argue that I'd rather them slump now, perhaps at the cost of not winning the division, and get themselves right prior to the playoffs is better than playing .750 ball like they have been the past month. A slump was overdue an imminent...get it out of their system now and try to build some momentum thereafter. How many times across all sports do teams cruise into the playoffs only to lay an egg? The Tampa Bay Lightning did just a couple of years ago. It happens a lot...last year the Phillies upended the Braves due in part because the Fightin's got hot at just the right time. I'm trying not to sweat these next 4 games. This season has been a blast. It's also been a surprise...the Orioles weren't really supposed to be in this spot until next year or even 2025. They've exceeded every expectation. That reality keeps me grounded as the season winds down. Shoot, most of the upper echelon talent is still at Norfolk and Bowie! I saw one MA poster suggest they would have breathing issues watching the games. But I agree you are playing with house money right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 Holy RGEM's Batman....from a dry period to a soaker in 6 hours of runs. This is just 3 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2023 Author Share Posted September 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I saw one MA poster suggest they would have breathing issues watching the games. But I agree you are playing with house money right now. I saw that too, and I can so relate! I used to get VERY worked up watching my teams, especially the Orioles. Not so much anymore. Having realistic expectations helps a lot. And yes, this season has already been a 100% win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2023 Author Share Posted September 14, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Holy RGEM's Batman....from a dry people to a soaker in 6 hours of runs. A lot of busted forecasts if that verifies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I saw that too, and I can so relate! I used to get VERY worked up watching my teams, especially the Orioles. Not so much anymore. Having realistic expectations helps a lot. And yes, this season has already been a 100% win. I get that way too but would probably not for this series....playoffs definitely. There were times I had to isolate myself because I narrated the whole thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I get that way too but would probably not for this series....playoffs definitely. There were times I had to isolate myself because I narrated the whole thing. Maybe the flood watch should have been saved for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Holy RGEM's Batman....from a dry people to a soaker in 6 hours of runs. As good as that looks, la-la land day 10 looks real nice too. EDIT: on the Gem....sorry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: As good as that looks, la-la land day 10 looks real nice too. EDIT: on the Gem....sorry For a moment I thought you were busting the EtaX back out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 37 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: A lot of busted forecasts if that verifies! GFS and Icon are rainers as well though not the flood watch variety. The LSV dodging drips leaving the Cracker Barrel after Sunday lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 Frost Advisory URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 105 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023 PAZ004>006-010-011-151200- /O.NEW.KCTP.FR.Y.0011.230915T0600Z-230915T1200Z/ Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron- Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, Ridgway, and Emporium 105 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Areas of frost with temperatures as low as 35 degrees. * WHERE...Warren, McKean, Potter, Elk and Cameron Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill uncovered sensitive outdoor vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants and vegetation from the cold. Potted plants should be brought inside. && $$ MS/JB3/BG/CE For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://weather.gov/ctp 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Frost Advisory URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 105 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023 PAZ004>006-010-011-151200- /O.NEW.KCTP.FR.Y.0011.230915T0600Z-230915T1200Z/ Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron- Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, Ridgway, and Emporium 105 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Areas of frost with temperatures as low as 35 degrees. * WHERE...Warren, McKean, Potter, Elk and Cameron Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill uncovered sensitive outdoor vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants and vegetation from the cold. Potted plants should be brought inside. && $$ MS/JB3/BG/CE For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://weather.gov/ctp And so it begins. #WinterIsComing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 How many of these COC days can we string together. Absolutely beautiful.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 26 minutes ago, Superstorm said: How many of these COC days can we string together. Absolutely beautiful. . Let's break the string right here for those of us that need liquid refreshment. Maybe some will have to move their Sunday plans indoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2023 Author Share Posted September 14, 2023 49 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Let's break the string right here for those of us that need liquid refreshment. Maybe some will have to move their Sunday plans indoors. CTP threw in a 30% chance of showers for Sunday night now...(my area) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Beautiful night. Finally feels like September Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 46 this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 15, 2023 Author Share Posted September 15, 2023 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: 46 this AM. 52 here - absolutely gorgeous morning! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 52 here - absolutely gorgeous morning! I am getting a new roof today so the weather turned out perfect. Meso's still giving us a soaking on Sun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Low of 47 here, wasn't expecting to go quite that low. Had the windows open all night and house was at 59 this morning. Glorious, although the wife and kids don't think so ha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 51 for a low imby but 47 at the York Airport. Sunday still looking encouraging but hard to get too excited this year 48 hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 31 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am getting a new roof today so the weather turned out perfect. Meso's still giving us a soaking on Sun. A neighbor got a new roof in the last 6 months. Wow, prices are crazy. Another neighbor just got a metal roof. Wonder how much they run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 My next roof I just want to hire a road crew to pour concrete on top. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 15, 2023 Author Share Posted September 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Low of 47 here, wasn't expecting to go quite that low. Had the windows open all night and house was at 59 this morning. Glorious, although the wife and kids don't think so ha. 59 in the house, you say? That's the way a house should be! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 53 minutes ago, mitchnick said: A neighbor got a new roof in the last 6 months. Wow, prices are crazy. Another neighbor just got a metal roof. Wonder how much they run. Yea, it is beyond ridiculous. 15K for 2400 SQ feet of shingles/roof. The kicker is that it does nothing for the value of your house. It is 15K that is gone basically. I would never get a metal roof because it also does little to nothing for the value of your house so IMO its only real value is longevity so instead of 25 years you get 50 years. But it costs more than twice as much. Would have been 60K instead of 15K. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 39 minutes ago, canderson said: My next roof I just want to hire a road crew to pour concrete on top. It really is all about the underlayment. The shingles are nothing for then cover the underlayment and for aesthetic value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 15, 2023 Author Share Posted September 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: I am getting a new roof today so the weather turned out perfect. Meso's still giving us a soaking on Sun. When Covid hit in 2020 and sent me home to work, we decided to replace our roof, windows, re-paved and sealed the driveway, got a new furnace, and most importantly...upgraded our central AC unit to the Carrier Turbo Blast 10000! Enjoy your new roof! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 15, 2023 Author Share Posted September 15, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, it is beyond ridiculous. 15K for 2400 SQ feet of shingles/roof. The kicker is that it does nothing for the value of your house. It is 15K that is gone basically. I would never get a metal roof because it also does little to nothing for the value of your house so IMO its only real value is longevity so instead of 25 years you get 50 years. But it costs more than twice as much. Would have been 60K instead of 15K. Holy moly! I think I paid half of that 3 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Holy moly! I think I paid half of that 3 years ago. How many sq feet of roof do you have? 2400 sq feet is a lot. Our house is very long and is a Hip roof. It is often not related to your house size (at least not directly). But shingle prices are up. I have not asked them for a weather forecast yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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