ChescoWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Some valley spots in the county made it down into the teens this morning. Today should be a great late fall day with temperatures just a little below normal for the last day of November. Saturday and Sunday look to be the only above normal temps over at least the next week. However, with the exception of Saturday (looks dry) during the day there could be showers almost anytime from Friday night through Sunday evening. Cold and dry weather returns by Monday. Records for today: High 72 (1933) / Low 9 (1976) / Rain 2.51" (2020) / Snow 6.0" (1967) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 23 was my low. Henry Kissinger’s was 1,456,893,235,964,248 Kelvin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 At least the fantasy GFS is back to giving us snow around 12/13Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Breakfast nooner 28 and partly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 I see everyone's favorite S&S put out their winter forecast .Dude's out of jail, is he?Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Dude's out of jail, is he? Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk My guess they are calling for 100" for you and the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 My guess they are calling for 100" for you and the LSV. For the season or for each individual storm? The only way I see 100" here is if the storm bombs out over Cape May and the LSV floods or if the lake remains at 60 degrees all season, doesn't freeze, and we get wave after wave of polar air firing the cannons and we lose everything from Bradford to Lockport forever. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Icon and Gfs say we got a chance next week at 1st measurable snow. Edit: Missed Jns2183 post re Gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Dude's out of jail, is he?Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using TapatalkDid he go to jail for massive contractor fraud?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Did he go to jail for massive contractor fraud?Sent from my SM-G970U using TapatalkHonestly I don't know. I stopped giving a shit about that dude after hijacking their pennlive Q&A years ago. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Low probability next week (obviously) but I believe this should kick off tracking season in earnest. Feels good to be back. Can’t be as bad as last year, right? RIGHT?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Honestly I don't know. I stopped giving a shit about that dude after hijacking their pennlive Q&A years ago. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using TapatalkYou need to post screenshots of that hijackSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 28 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Icon and Gfs say we got a chance next week at 1st measurable snow. Edit: Missed Jns2183 post re Gfs. Let's do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Nooner 40 Partly Cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 For 5 year averages we need 29.4" not to fall below the 1997-2002 record of 18.6" so I'm betting on over 30"Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 You need to post screenshots of that hijackSent from my SM-G970U using TapatalkIt was on Facebook, which I kicked to the curb years ago. If you dig around the PennLive FB, assuming it still exists, you may find it. https://www.pennlive.com/midstate/2014/02/ask_a_storm_chaser_join_us_for.htmlSent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Unable to currently share an image, but the 12z GFS gives just the lower third of PA it's first legit shot of a light accumulating snow next Wednesday evening, 12/6. Several moving parts, but things shift for the better at 500mb over the past 24 hours. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 30 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Unable to currently share an image, but the 12z GFS gives just the lower third of PA it's first legit shot of a light accumulating snow next Wednesday evening, 12/6. Several moving parts, but things shift for the better at 500mb over the past 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Tied up last few days but got to 21 this Am with late Nooners of 53. Quite the jump up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 10 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Not too impressed with this setup. 0.9" at Pittsburgh is below normal for that period, and 0.5" at Erie is WAY below normal. Outside of the mountains, I think the numbers shown in the Mid Atlantic are inflated and a lot of that isn't actually snow (or certainly not a 10:1 ratio). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: It was on Facebook, which I kicked to the curb years ago. If you dig around the PennLive FB, assuming it still exists, you may find it.https://www.pennlive.com/midstate/2014/02/ask_a_storm_chaser_join_us_for.html Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk i remember this. They kicked me off their FB page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Tied up last few days but got to 21 this Am with late Nooners of 53. Quite the jump up. Glad the hostage negotiations worked out with your wife and you’ve been freed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 23 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Thats a nice start! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Ethical question... Is it wrong for me to wish for snow upon snow and a record breaking winter in the hope that my wife gives up and joins me in Arizona? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Back from northwoods. Great time w/ friends/family. Nooner GFS shows a see saw wrt temps, but with many chances thrown in, maybe we can get something to pop (like Mitch just posted regarding mid next week), as verbatim vort pass is under us all the way, and while more of a progressive look, if timed right, it has a chance. As chatter of a warm start to Dec has been thrown around by some in other circles, its not a close the curtains look, but I hope next week can hold as ENS guidance has ridging of various proportions here in the east. Looks warmish and hope to be wrong for first 1/2 of Dec. if we can eek a score or 2 in, all the better. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 31 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Outside of the mountains, I think the numbers shown in the Mid Atlantic are inflated and a lot of that isn't actually snow (or certainly not a 10:1 ratio). Troll elsewhere. Verbatim this is PLENTY cold, and vort pass is south. Worst/warmest panels shown for possible event and next panels are better thermally while precip is still in area. Its juvenile when peeps like you get your rocks off on trolling, and add little to conversation. Noone is saying its happening, but verbatim, its got a chance as depicted. Show us what you see that says its not snow, or low ratio at best.....we'll wait. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Just now, pasnownut said: Troll elsewhere. Verbatim this is PLENTY cold, and vort pass is south. Worst/warmest panels shown for possible event and next panels are better thermally while precip is still in area. Its juvenile when peeps like you get your rocks off on trolling, and add little to conversation. Noone is saying its happening, but verbatim, its got a chance as depicted. Show us what you see that says its not snow, or low ratio at best.....we'll wait. How about we wait until December 9 and see what actually happens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: How about we wait until December 9 and see what actually happens? How about you go travel your dream? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 21 minutes ago, Voyager said: Ethical question... Is it wrong for me to wish for snow upon snow and a record breaking winter in the hope that my wife gives up and joins me in Arizona? So long as it includes DCA, BWI, and IAD...sure. FWIW, 12z Euro has a weaker, more progressively tilted trough for next Wednesday's storm. It's an issue south of Mason-Dixon, but north of Rt. 30 would still see something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 15 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: How about we wait until December 9 and see what actually happens? are you in central pa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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