Bubbler86 Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Enjoy! Great day to be there. I'm jealous! 53 here as well. Not much wind so shorts and t-shirt day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 I like the look of the 12z Canadian out at day 9. The system this run ends up passing off to our south, but I would take my chances with this look. Hopefully we get this type of chance several times this season. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I like the look of the 12z Canadian out at day 9. The system this run ends up passing off to our south, but I would take my chances with this look. Hopefully we get this type of chance several times this season. Cold air getting in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 56 at 1:30. Just came on from 2 hours out moving leaves around to the curb. You s think living in the city I would’ve have many - if I bagged these leaves I’d have 30+ bags. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 1 minute ago, canderson said: 56 at 1:30. Just came on from 2 hours out moving leaves around to the curb. You s think living in the city I would’ve have many - if I bagged these leaves I’d have 30+ bags. They all blew in from the 'Burbs. 56 here as well. Another above normal day in the books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 46 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I like the look of the 12z Canadian out at day 9. The system this run ends up passing off to our south, but I would take my chances with this look. Hopefully we get this type of chance several times this season. Gulf is open for business. That's how you win up there in PA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 Back from camping at Penn State and have .06” in the gauge. About what I was expecting. Looks like some more impressive totals on the way for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 19, 2023 Author Share Posted November 19, 2023 38 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Back from camping at Penn State and have .06” in the gauge. About what I was expecting. Looks like some more impressive totals on the way for Tuesday. I got skipped - seems like most got at least several hundredths but nothing measurable here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 Looks like CXY made 59/60...MDT 57/58 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 CTP has snow in my grid. The first of many “Little or no accumulation expected” forecasts this season. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 19, 2023 Author Share Posted November 19, 2023 Gorgeous weekend weather. High today was 58 in Maytown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 19, 2023 Share Posted November 19, 2023 18Z GFS is very interesting in the 300's. Before that a wet Nor'Easter next weekend and a few days in the 50's next week including Turkey Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 3 hours ago, canderson said: CTP has snow in my grid. The first of many “Little or no accumulation expected” forecasts this season. Way to feel confident. It’s November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 46 minutes ago, paweather said: Great looking pattern! Hopefully we get on the board by the first week of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z GFS is very interesting in the 300's. Before that a wet Nor'Easter next weekend and a few days in the 50's next week including Turkey Day. The pattern being advertised on the ensembles & towards the end of the Op runs for the last week of November into the first week of December should provide a window of opportunity for potential Winter weather in our region. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 We need consistent support for snowfall on the ensembles or we're just getting our chains jerked by the operationals imho. Ensembles have all had a run here and there that looked promising, then lost it. Just too early for anything legit unfortunately. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 If you're wondering why I don't see us getting much snow again this year this is why. Obviously there are still parts of the globe that are colder than average but this has been an unprecedented increase in global temps since June. I was really curious if this insane heat would survive until winter and well...looks like it still is. This only serves to reduce our chances of getting snow this winter. Not that we CAN'T get lots of snow this winter it's just all the extra heat really throws a wrench into our normal chances. I legitimately thought the insanely hot temps would have gone back down by now but it hasn't. Obviously things depend on local weather patterns and how storms and cold air align. My main point here is this type of global heat just reduces snow chances for many places. Maybe we'll luck out this year who knows. Oh and the most mindblowing part about this heat? Most of this heat hasn't had much of an impact from the El Nino yet. The lag period we'll eventually feel from the heat globally from El Nino won't happen until 2024 lol so it's only going to get hotter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 A cold 23 again this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Each of the 3 major global ensembles still have a favorable looking pattern for the last week of November into the first week of December. We could have some chances with these looks showing. It is also good to see a general agreement at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 18 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: A cold 23 again this morning. 35 here now though it got to 33 earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 10 hours ago, mitchnick said: We need consistent support for snowfall on the ensembles or we're just getting our chains jerked by the operationals imho. Ensembles have all had a run here and there that looked promising, then lost it. Just too early for anything legit unfortunately. The frustrating side of following ensembles for specific weather in my opinion. Good for verification of Op's and large-scale atmospheric forecasts but for slp's and day to day reality, they can jump around just like the op's since they are essentially a group of op's (sometimes lower resolution) running the same data but with slight deviations to try and capture all the different possibilities. For specific details, I think one has to look at each member of an ensemble and see if the LR forecasts are similar as just looking at the resulting average map does not give us any idea of how much variability there was among the members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Winter cold and snow canceled forever is great news. No more frostbutt for this fellow. https://youtu.be/pj705DvCSxg?si=zswHR8M3DAMuuO9B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 18 hours ago, canderson said: 56 at 1:30. Just came on from 2 hours out moving leaves around to the curb. You s think living in the city I would’ve have many - if I bagged these leaves I’d have 30+ bags. 18 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: They all blew in from the 'Burbs. 56 here as well. Another above normal day in the books. just so happens i don't have any leaves thanks bro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Each of the 3 major global ensembles still have a favorable looking pattern for the last week of November into the first week of December. We could have some chances with these looks showing. It is also good to see a general agreement at this range. Its a nice look for late Autumn. Happy to see it, now can it give us some love? Coldish looks to be pretty much a lock for that period. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 29 was my low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 20, 2023 Author Share Posted November 20, 2023 A frosty 31 in Maytown this morning. Leaving for Florida next Friday, December 1st through the 11th. 8 previous trips to Florida during the first week of December resulted in measurable snow in Maytown during 6 of those 8 years... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 It’s Texas Tech week as Texas completes its final Big 12 tour. Looking to go 11-1. I love this gif that was from the 2019 game. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Today will be almost 10 degrees colder in spots compared to yesterday. A nice sunny fall day before rain moves in tomorrow morning. There is a chance some higher spots in NW Chesco could see a few flakes of snow or some ice pellets if the precipitation moves in fast enough in the AM. Either way it looks like between 1.5" to 2.0" of rain are possible tomorrow with chilly temps remaining in the low to mid 40's across the county. Below normal temps and dry weather look likely for the rest of the holiday week. Records for today: High 75 (1985) / Low 16 (1951) / Rain 1.80 (1952) / Snow 0.8" (1937) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Low of 28 here. A nice much-needed inch-plus drenching in store for most of the forum tomorrow. National high of 90 at Rio Grande Village, TX and 3 at Mount Washington, NH. MDT running 1.1 AN for the month; should be able to peck away at that over the next ten days. Happy T-giving week, all. Get those turkeys thawing! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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