Hurricane Lee--Glorified Nor'Easter or Legit Tropical? Near Miss or Direct Hit?

[mreaves]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We were never ‘ahead’ in soccer but yea we’re falling back in basketball to an extent. 
 

He was probably referring to women's team.  Rough World Cup for them.

[Spaizzo]

Kinda breezy down here in Milford CT FWIW


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[WxWatcher007]

22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We were never ‘ahead’ in soccer but yea we’re falling back in basketball to an extent. 
 

 

16 minutes ago, mreaves said:

He was probably referring to women's team.  Rough World Cup for them.

Yup, USWNT

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, mreaves said:

He was probably referring to women's team.  Rough World Cup for them.

That’s because that dingbat with the pink hair was more concerned with showing her disdain for the USA, than doing her job.

[dryslot]

Nam has 0" rain here lol

[bairn]

She saw limited minutes. The team and USA soccer has bigger issues, especially regarding a lack of strong talent development at the younger ages. Kind of like Lee in that it was once king of the hill, but never regained its strength. Men’s team can’t get above “depression” stage…

[Typhoon Tip]

Not up to speed on what/if any other's have commented on but Lee looks very extra-tropical on Sat already...

In fact, I commented on the busted open core last night - I'm will to suspect that the conversion had already begun as of latter yesterday (speculation pending phase analysis - )

 

[weatherwiz]

8 AM advisory indicated hurricane force winds extended outwards of up to 105 miles from the center and TS force winds 310 miles. Be curious to see if there is any additional expansion although it's probably likely there will be some. This is a damn impressive field. 

[tunafish]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

8 AM advisory indicated hurricane force winds extended outwards of up to 105 miles from the center and TS force winds 310 miles. Be curious to see if there is any additional expansion although it's probably likely there will be some. This is a damn impressive field. 

How's the bufkit looking for PWM?

[NotSureWeather]

24 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Nam has 0" rain here lol

Looks like .05” here. Should probably go check the drains.

[CoastalWx]

Breezy here too. Probably 20-25. 

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, tunafish said:

How's the bufkit looking for PWM?

Still showing some pretty solid gusts. Actually, I think the 6z GFS may be the strongest in terms of gust potential (just slightly). Showing a few hours with winds at the top of the mixed layer 57-59 knots. 

[NotSureWeather]

Definitely just got a pretty good gust. Wind has slowly increased since early this morning.

[Snugharbor]

Very breezy near Pt. Judith down here. Wonder if Lee is blowing itself out/speeding up ahead of schedule (wouldn't be the first time).

Also VERY cool and dry, like someone just flipped the switch to hardcore Fall. 

[tunafish]

looks like some 8 footers already rolling in.  

 

[FXWX]

55 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

8 AM advisory indicated hurricane force winds extended outwards of up to 105 miles from the center and TS force winds 310 miles. Be curious to see if there is any additional expansion although it's probably likely there will be some. This is a damn impressive field. 

The problem with how that is stated in this and all advisories for that matter, is that there is a tendency by some folks to think that means TS winds will occur 310 miles inland when in reality that only implies over the open ocean.  Once the landmass interaction occurs that number collapses.  I know you fully understand this but I saw someone, non-met, talking about how the wind radii would bring the winds to Albany NY based on the advisory info. The majority of folks know better, but it does crack me up somebody actually uses the wind radii and extend it west or northward over the landmass.  It is interesting to see gradient already doing it's dirty work...

 

 

 

[weatherwiz]

7 minutes ago, FXWX said:

The problem with how that is stated in this and all advisories for that matter, is that there is a tendency by some folks to think that means TS winds will occur 310 miles inland when in reality that only implies over the open ocean.  Once the landmass interaction occurs that number collapses.  I know you fully understand this but I saw someone, non-met, talking about how the wind radii would bring the winds to Albany NY based on the advisory info. The majority of folks know better, but it does crack me up somebody actually uses the wind radii and extend it west or northward over the landmass.  It is interesting to see gradient already doing it's dirty work...

 

 

 

 

Yes, excellent point and glad you mentioned this because that is extremely important to understand. 

[eekuasepinniW]

The edge of the cloud deck is over powderfreak but I can still see the blue sky from here.  I find that pretty cool.

[dryslot]

Lot of friction once the wind encounters landmass so that drives the numbers down.

[Sn0waddict]

Windy day on block island. But the sun is out so it’s kind of nice lol

[Go Kart Mozart]

30 minute power failure in downtown Westport, CT, this morning from the Post Road to the train station.  Coincidence?  I think not.

[mreaves]

4 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

30 minute power failure in downtown Westport, CT, this morning from the Post Road to the train station.  Coincidence?  I think not.

 ?

[Layman]

1 hour ago, FXWX said:

The problem with how that is stated in this and all advisories for that matter, is that there is a tendency by some folks to think that means TS winds will occur 310 miles inland when in reality that only implies over the open ocean.  Once the landmass interaction occurs that number collapses.  I know you fully understand this but I saw someone, non-met, talking about how the wind radii would bring the winds to Albany NY based on the advisory info. The majority of folks know better, but it does crack me up somebody actually uses the wind radii and extend it west or northward over the landmass.  It is interesting to see gradient already doing it's dirty work...

 

 

 

 

Non-meteorologist here (1st post as well...):  is there a formula or other standard to define or predict the reduction in wind speed upon encountering land?

For example, if there are sustained 60mph winds at the coastline, are there high-confidence ways to predict/forecast winds 1 mile, 2 miles, 5 and 10 miles inland?

Where I'm physically situated, and from comments I've seen over the years from others, it seems that forecast gusts rarely reach the speeds predicted in the weather apps.  

[NW_of_GYX]

 

Lee is massive no doubt. Still think winds underperform at my longitude and inland location though. Cool to see Sebago Lake light up on some of the higher res models though. GYX commented on the potential for winds south and east shores of the Lake. 

[wxeyeNH]

1 hour ago, eekuasepinniW said:

The edge of the cloud deck is over powderfreak but I can still see the blue sky from here.  I find that pretty cool.

There should be a wide area fantastic sunset over many parts of New England tonight.  

[butterfish55]

Just got home to find this damage
#wewillrebuild

[Childude645]

Beautiful day on the vineyard, partly cloudy this am but breezy and sunny for a few hours today. Cloud cover is rolling in but haven’t felt any gusts over 30 yet today


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[SJonesWX]

13 minutes ago, butterfish55 said:

Just got home to find this damage
#wewillrebuild

thoughts & prayers to you and your loved ones during these trying times.

[Damage In Tolland]

https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1702740203469734286?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[Great Snow 1717]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1702740203469734286?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

How is the JMA looking???