Hurricane Lee--Glorified Nor'Easter or Legit Tropical? Near Miss or Direct Hit?

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, mreaves said:

I know you aren't serious but my boss lives in Montpelier and had her house trashed in the flooding back in July.  She has flood insurance but it has been a nightmare to deal with, they won't pay for anything above 30" off the floor and just the fact that she had insurance has made her ineligible for forms of assistance.  It's been a nightmare.

 

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I know but I've heard that often from people who seek anomalous weather events but the data indicates homeowners tend to fight for months, even years, with insurance companies to cover their losses and a good percentage never get back what they lost. That's the issue I have with weenies wanting damage. They'll marvel at it for a few hours and then suffer for years afterwards. That doesn't seem like a situation I ever want to get into.  

Nobody including myself wants to see others deal with that. But from an Awe perspective, it's what drives us to be Mets and hobbyists. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

55 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Fuck it, that's what insurance is for.

I mean I posted it earlier in the other thread but a guy I work with had his home damaged by a fallen tree during a t storm this summer and the insurance wants to give him like 5% of what it’s going to cost to fix it.

Insurance is great in theory, never in practice.

When I was younger I was 100% on board with crazy weather, now, eh.

[weatherwiz]

Whether people want them to happen or not is irrelevant because if it's going to happen it's going to happen...plain and simple. But for those who work in the field or follow this stuff for a passion, all you want to is prepare folks the best you can and stress life is more important than anything else.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 

Nobody including myself wants to see others deal with that. But from an Awe perspective, it's what drives us to be Mets and hobbyists. 

That's what youtube and twitter is for lol. I don't need to hide in the bathroom with a mattress over my head to be awed. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I mean I posted it earlier in the other thread but a guy I work with had his home damaged by a fallen tree during a t storm this summer and the insurance wants to give him like 5% of what it’s going to cost to fix it.

Insurance is great in theory, never in practice.

It's a scam. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It's a scam. 

Right, just like the above story. Only 30” off the floor is covered, as if that is practical at all. 

[mreaves]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 

Nobody including myself wants to see others deal with that. But from an Awe perspective, it's what drives us to be Mets and hobbyists. 

 

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I mean I posted it earlier in the other thread but a guy I work with had his home damaged by a fallen tree during a t storm this summer and the insurance wants to give him like 5% of what it’s going to cost to fix it.

Insurance is great in theory, never in practice.

When I was younger I was 100% on board with crazy weather, now, eh.

 

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It's a scam. 

That's more what I meant.  I like watching the power of storms too.  I just can't believe the crap that people have to go through when they have claims.  It's crazy.

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That's what youtube and twitter is for lol. I don't need to hide in the bathroom with a mattress over my head to be awed. 

I get it, but it gets me going. I am sure others as well. I didn't get into this field for partly sunny and 75F.

[mreaves]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Right, just like the above story. Only 30” off the floor is covered, as if that is practical at all. 

And then you see stories with talking about the low number of people with flood insurance.  What's the point if it isn't going to help you?

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I get it, but it gets me going. I am sure others as well. I didn't get into this field for partly sunny and 75F.

This!

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, mreaves said:

And then you see stories with talking about the low number of people with flood insurance.  What's the point if it isn't going to help you?

As far as external water flooding goes, thankfully I'll never have to deal with that as long as I'm in this house. 

[Cyclone-68]

As far as the storm goes maybe the right side of it would be “preferable” at least in regard to avoiding more flooding rain potential? Assuming it weakens as it’s likely to do 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I get it, but it gets me going. I am sure others as well. I didn't get into this field for partly sunny and 75F.

I can appreciate everything but snow from afar. 

[tamarack]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I can appreciate everything but snow from afar. 

Well said.  Where I live has tiny earthquakes, small (or no) tornados, modest tropical storms and (occasional) big snowstorms.  My preferred mix, though any extra snow is appreciated.

[ineedsnow]

EPS out to 60 but there are some super low members.. i see a few in the low 920's

[DavisStraight]

That's a lot of rain on the plains in Maine on the GFS.

[kdxken]

6 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Well said.  Where I live has tiny earthquakes, small (or no) tornados, modest tropical storms and (occasional) big snowstorms.  My preferred mix, though any extra snow is appreciated.

While you're here do you mind a forest question? I have lots of small pines that are beginning to get brown spots like this. Is this normal behavior for the fall.

[Damage In Tolland]

https://x.com/eweather13/status/1701309853778452641?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[Sn0waddict]

A few interesting ones here

 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Sn0waddict said:

A few interesting ones here

 

its 5 days out anything can and will change.. 

[CoastalWx]

Usually I role with tropical models over globals so that’s interesting lol. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

A few interesting ones here

 

I was just looking at this and did a comparison with 12z, That a slight west track on the 18z mean and a few members more on the western envelope.

 

[NW_of_GYX]

15 minutes ago, kdxken said:

While you're here do you mind a forest question? I have lots of small pines that are beginning to get brown spots like this. Is this normal behavior for the fall.

needle cast 

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, NW_of_GYX said:

needle cast 

That's what I was afraid of. Thank you .

[Damage In Tolland]

The HAFS which nailed Idalia looks menacing! 
https://x.com/hurricaneaddict/status/1701304335513084078?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[ROOSTA]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Fuck it, that's what insurance is for.

Insurance Co. SUCK!
I was in the hospital for an extended stay, triple bypass. I had a leak in the bedroom bath, came back to mold everywhere. I contracted ServPro (i would never recommend) Claim adjuster came out and approved claim. I could go on...8 months later, 35k lighter. Insurance paid dime to dollar. I considered a lawyer...
Next time I will get 100% cost of repair!   

LEE TRACK:  40/70 or bust.

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The HAFS which nailed Idalia looks menacing! 
https://x.com/hurricaneaddict/status/1701304335513084078?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

That’s at 850mb though. Looking at sim radar and 10m the wind field is large but weakening. A more westward heading though if that continued would probably get decent wind inland. Just not sure we get a deep westward bend. 

[mreaves]

46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

As far as external water flooding goes, thankfully I'll never have to deal with that as long as I'm in this house. 

I have always thought that about my place too but seeing water come up through the floor drain in July made me pretty nervous.

[dryslot]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The HAFS which nailed Idalia looks menacing! 
https://x.com/hurricaneaddict/status/1701304335513084078?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Some Haf not's in there too.

[Ginx snewx]

There's gonna be some EM'S and forecasters shitting their pants when Lee makes that NW jog as seen on the Euro,sometimes once moving hard to move back and degree deviation brings the core onshore to CC