Hurricane Lee--Glorified Nor'Easter or Legit Tropical? Near Miss or Direct Hit?

[FXWX]

Very impressive 900 mb wind field at 12z Saturday; euro...

 

[Quincy]

Food for thought

 

[WxWatcher007]

16 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Or last minute west ticks

Models underestimating the ridge ?

These tend to shuffle east up here near landfall. I don’t discount that. 

Doesn’t matter if this continues going west the next few days though. 

[ineedsnow]

ICON  should be west.... out to 54 

[ineedsnow]

actually ends up about the same maybe a little east

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

actually ends up about the same maybe a little east

Slight east 

[Cuteirishgirl25]

 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Slight east 

I'm more interested to see what the GFS does.. if it's east I'm guessing EURO and NAM might be off.. if it heads west I'll be excited and Chatham it is this weekend

[MJO812]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I'm more interested to see what the GFS does.. if it's east I'm guessing EURO and NAM might be off.. if it heads west I'll be excited and Chatham it is this weekend

Love Chatham

I went there for my honeymoon

[dryslot]

Thru hr 27, 0z GFS is a bit slower then the 18z run.

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Thru hr 27, 0z GFS is a bit slower then the 18z run.

Tick sw with Lee

[ineedsnow]

Seems like it will be west of 18z not sure by how much yet though

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Seems like it will be west of 18z not sure by how much yet though

It could be a few tics west, The front has lifted out faster then 18z.

[Quincy]

At 54hr, noticeably farther SW

[MJO812]

Gfs is alot further SW through 54

[dryslot]

0z GFS looks to be heading towards the 18z Euro

[MJO812]

Cmc continues the theme of being more sw.

[MJO812]

More ridging up top on the gfs

 

[dryslot]

Its on..........

 

[Newman]

That was a huge shift SW on the GFS, will be super interesting to see the ensemble members

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

0z GFS looks to be heading towards the 18z Euro

Oh boy…getting interesting for everybody now. 

[Newman]

[MJO812]

[ineedsnow]

[dryslot]

0z GFS LF near BGR

[Quincy]

At least a 100 mile correction west. 93hr is just about to make landfall near Bar Harbor. 

[ineedsnow]

and just stalls... if we can get this to make landfall on the cape there might be some insane flooding and wind damage pretty far west

[Sn0waddict]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh boy…getting interesting for everybody now. 

Definitely a lot more interesting for eastern New England.

[Quincy]

Just now, Sn0waddict said:

Definitely a lot more interesting for eastern New England.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh boy…getting interesting for everybody now. 

Still NBD WOR.