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Hurricane Lee--Glorified Nor'Easter or Legit Tropical? Near Miss or Direct Hit?


WxWatcher007
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The NAM evolution is something. Through 72 hours, it’s still a bit south, but the key is that there’s virtually no phasing with the ejecting shortwave. Result is slower movement and solid warm core retention. Not only is it not getting pulled northeast as fast, but it still looks like a formidable cane. 

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  On 9/13/2023 at 1:58 AM, Quincy said:

Even if this thing stays east and skirts Maine, that’s an ugly look for the coast from the Cape, right up to Maine. The guidance I’m looking at retains a fairly robust wind core on the west side. Pretty remarkable for this latitude. 

Using the SREF as a sample because I like the tighter graphic, but even the EPS mean wind field is fairly symmetrical and largely intact on the west side. 

53-D0-B105-8836-4-C9-F-A4-D4-3751-FD9-D3

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ARW7 would make a lot of us sickos happy...and put us in the dark for a while.

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  On 9/13/2023 at 2:53 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m going to vomit if this ends up screwing my bros wedding. So much money flushed 

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I wouldn’t get to worried just yet obviously. I mean you told all of us quite a few times, that this isn’t SNE’s Storm…so I mean there’s that to hang the hat on. 

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  On 9/13/2023 at 2:55 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

While that would suck, it would be the least of your problems. 

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  On 9/13/2023 at 2:58 AM, dryslot said:

He should worry more about home at that point.

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Just had the sumps serviced and 1 replaced. I should be okay there. Wind would be what it is, nothing we haven’t seen before.

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  On 9/13/2023 at 2:50 AM, Quincy said:

NAM wind gusts, FWIW

F0-B9352-C-7932-4-DAA-93-CE-85-B702-DE46

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Probably will have a decent gradient in ENE... more stable air as you move inland?  Also SNE and up the Maine coastal plain are generally SE of of higher terrain... so the NE to NW wind flow can go from a bit inverted, to full on mixing as soon as that flow downslopes.

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