Lee banter thread

[Santa Claus]

185 mph

890 millibars

i'm betting it all on this one

[Windspeed]

185 mph
890 millibars
i'm betting it all on this one

890s mb east or northeast of the Antilles would be a record. Actually, anything below 910mb (Dorian) would be a record outside of the GOM or Caribbean, so definitely, Good Luck!

[Santa Claus]

5 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

890s mb east or northeast of the Antilles would be a record. Actually, anything below 910mb (Dorian) would be a record outside of the GOM or Caribbean, so definitely, Good Luck!

if there's one thing i got it's luck 

[forkyfork]

34 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

185 mph

890 millibars

i'm betting it all on this one

seaside heights wild mouse carried into central park

[Tezeta]

150mph east of cedar key

[Santa Clause]

817 straight up the fucking Potomac 

[Santa Claus]

holding onto a door floating down 287 when i get a text from forky complaining about what the beach erosion will do to the sand plovers

[CoralRed]

3 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

185 mph

890 millibars

i'm betting it all on this one

You really think so? Seriously, what are the chances?

[Santa Claus]

25 minutes ago, CoralRed said:

You really think so? Seriously, what are the chances?

this is a certainty i saw it in a vision

[LovintheWhiteFluff]

1 hour ago, Will - Rutgers said:

this is a certainty i saw it in a vision

Stop eating at the RU food trucks. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

I’ll go with 915 165mph while passing PR longitude. 

[George BM]

145kts, 914mb peak.

[SolidIcewx]

Should create a website called WeatherBets. Get your over/under based off storms

[BristowWx]

Cantore is "worried" about a path between the B high and trough for it to push NW toward OBX...happen to just catch that few minutes ago...based on Euro...so he's saying there is a chance...slim one

[GaWx]

1 minute ago, SolidIcewx said:

Should create a website called WeatherBets. Get your over/under based off storms

Not the same, but you can bet on weather via weather futures and options:

https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/weather/files/weather-futures-and-options-fact-card.pdf

[Santa Clause]

11 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

holding onto a door floating down 287 when i get a text from forky complaining about what the beach erosion will do to the sand plovers

[NJwx85]

Peak intensity in about 5-6 days at 915mb and 145kts. Landfall in about 13 days near OBX as a cat 3. Storm accelerates ENE and is eventually absorbed by the trough.

[Santa Claus]

56 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said:

i don’t give a fuck about that little guy

[andyhb]

Potential Northeast storms are so annoying to track, most notably due to the constant influx of unnecessary 1938 comparisons that are bound to arise.

[LovintheWhiteFluff]

Should have handed this idiot an anemometer and asked him to get some data on Lee. 

 

[rclab]

7 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

i don’t give a fuck about that little guy

Good evening Will. You probably would have had less of a reaction if you had substituted ‘aerial copulation’ for the F word. Now the little ones relatives are all riled up. Stay well and forky may not forgive you fo awhile. As always ….

 

[KPITSnow]

2 hours ago, andyhb said:

Potential Northeast storms are so annoying to track, most notably due to the constant influx of unnecessary 1938 comparisons that are bound to arise.

And people like Metfan who got pretty wrecked in sandy wish casting a cat 4 into Long Island 

[StantonParkHoya]

10 hours ago, BristowWx said:

Cantore is "worried" about a path between the B high and trough for it to push NW toward OBX...happen to just catch that few minutes ago...based on Euro...so he's saying there is a chance...slim one

Which means there’s no chance

[Floydbuster]

I didn't mean to trigger anyone the other day with my post about climate change alarmists. 

In 2005, 2007, and 2008, I had the privilege of speaking to the late great Dr. William Gray from Colorado State University. He empathized that hurricanes are controlled by things such as the thermohaline circulation, which has an impact on the AMO and hurricane activity. He was adamant about climate change not playing any role, or at least not enough of a role for us to take our eye off using funds towards tools to forecast hurricanes instead of combating climate change.

I guess I've spent the last 15 years trying to take Dr. Gray's advice to heart, given that he was the gold-standard as the lead hurricane forecaster for decades. (If you spoke to Einstein about theoretical physics, would you take his word or the word of someone on Twitter who likely has some kind of agenda?) So I get frustrated when I see people using every developing hurricane as a weapon for any kind of "I told you so" agenda with regards to climate change. Once you hear the facts from someone like Dr. William Gray, I find it difficult for anyone to convince me otherwise. 

[Santa Claus]

once i hear shit i’m comfortable with i just kinda roll with it

[Torch Tiger]

4 hours ago, andyhb said:

Potential Northeast storms are so annoying to track, most notably due to the constant influx of unnecessary 1938 comparisons that are bound to arise.

much rather Donna so many many more can share in the damage swath

[cardinalland]

54 minutes ago, Floydbuster said:

I didn't mean to trigger anyone the other day with my post about climate change alarmists. 

In 2005, 2007, and 2008, I had the privilege of speaking to the late great Dr. William Gray from Colorado State University. He empathized that hurricanes are controlled by things such as the thermohaline circulation, which has an impact on the AMO and hurricane activity. He was adamant about climate change not playing any role, or at least not enough of a role for us to take our eye off using funds towards tools to forecast hurricanes instead of combating climate change.

I guess I've spent the last 15 years trying to take Dr. Gray's advice to heart, given that he was the gold-standard as the lead hurricane forecaster for decades. (If you spoke to Einstein about theoretical physics, would you take his word or the word of someone on Twitter who likely has some kind of agenda?) So I get frustrated when I see people using every developing hurricane as a weapon for any kind of "I told you so" agenda with regards to climate change. Once you hear the facts from someone like Dr. William Gray, I find it difficult for anyone to convince me otherwise. 

einstein was wrong about quantum randomness

 

but i wish i would’ve gotten the chance to speak with him as well

[Santa Claus]

2 hours ago, rclab said:

Good evening Will. You probably would have had less of a reaction if you had substituted ‘aerial copulation’ for the F word. Now the little ones relatives are all riled up. Stay well and forky may not forgive you fo awhile. As always ….

 

it’s a chicken mcnugget standing on two popsicle sticks it’s begging for some buffalo sauce

[Santa Claus]

140 tomorrow

[SRRTA22]

3 hours ago, KPITSnow said:

And people like Metfan who got pretty wrecked in sandy wish casting a cat 4 into Long Island 

A cat 4 into long island? Nah let's get this baby to track up the NY harbor 

All jokes aside, as someone who can't chase hurricanes, I'd love to experience a cat 3-4 up here in my lifetime. I don't wish it but I won't deny my excitement should it happen