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New England Met Autumn 2023 Banter


bristolri_wx
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man.. we about to get smoked here at the central coast

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
909 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024

PZZ565-041315-
/O.EXP.KMTR.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-240204T0500Z/
/O.UPG.KMTR.SR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240205T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMTR.HF.W.0001.240204T1100Z-240205T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMTR.GL.W.0010.240204T0509Z-240204T1100Z/
Coastal Waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas
California out to 10 nm-
909 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST SUNDAY...
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM PST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, southeast winds 35 to 45 kt with
  gusts up to 65 kt and seas 10 to 14 ft. For the Hurricane Force
  Wind Warning, southeast winds 40 to 50 kt with gusts up to 75
  kt and seas 19 to 24 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras
  Blancas California out to 10 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 3 AM PST Sunday. For the
  Hurricane Force Wind Warning, from 3 AM to 4 PM PST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Extremely strong winds will cause hazardous seas which
  will likely capsize or damage vessels and severely reduce
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for extreme conditions.

&&

$$
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Let`s talk wind. ESE-SE winds are slowly increasing with gusts of
30-40 mph already showing up. Those are only a preview of what is
to come. Confidence continues to increase that this system could
be a major wind storm for portions of the Bay Area and Central
Coast with lots of downed trees and many power outages. Hi-res
deterministic models are spitting out some astounding wind speeds
over the Santa Lucia Range and Mountains of San Benito County with
gusts of 80-90 mph with a few pockets of 90+ mph! While this is
more on the extreme side ensemble guidance isn`t too far behind.
NBM probability even shows a 15-25% chc of exceeding 95 mph.
While that is the upper end there`s a solid probability >75 mph
of over 90% covering a much larger area. Simply put, this could be
a dangerous situation if it verifies. Additionally, it will be
windy on the waters too. Given the narrow focused low level jet 65
kts along the Big Sur Coast will be possible. Therefore, a first
ever Hurricane Force Wind Warning will be issued with the even
coastal waters forecast.
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For those who are scared by things in this realm, there are apparently ways to deal with that fear and anxiety:

Quote

Osnes, who teaches theatre and environmental studies at the University of Colorado of Boulder, is the creator of “The Butterfly Affect,” a guided, interactive performance that lets participants experience the metamorphosis of a butterfly — from egg, caterpillar, chrysalis, to butterfly.

https://www.cpr.org/2024/01/24/butterfly-affect-climate-change-anxiety/

 

 

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On 2/17/2024 at 12:29 PM, 512high said:

Just looking at my totals from last winter(22-23') wow, thought I had at least 50", wayyyy off my total was 40.5", so far sitting at 27.75", 9" for the month of Feb. 2023/ this month sitting at 1"

Mar. 4, 2023 6.5" then last storm March 15, 2023 9"

Outside of the one January storm, we’ve sucked. 6 years in a row below average. 

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@WhiteLawns@AstronomyEnjoyer

I stumbled across this in a recent article - seems like a comet may be very visible on or around the eclipse on April 8th.  You both have posted some interesting pictures and figured if you weren't already aware of this, it may be a good opportunity to try and capture it:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/12P/Pons–Brooks 

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19 minutes ago, Layman said:

@WhiteLawns@AstronomyEnjoyer

I stumbled across this in a recent article - seems like a comet may be very visible on or around the eclipse on April 8th.  You both have posted some interesting pictures and figured if you weren't already aware of this, it may be a good opportunity to try and capture it:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/12P/Pons–Brooks 

This wasn't on my radar, so thanks for the heads up! Comets offer a unique challenge in astrophotography in that their apparent motion with respect to the field of background stars is rather rapid. This makes it difficult to integrate imaging data that was taken over several minutes or even hours as the comet will have visibly "moved" in that time. Hard to stack images on top of one another when they are literally impossible to align!

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21 hours ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

This wasn't on my radar, so thanks for the heads up! Comets offer a unique challenge in astrophotography in that their apparent motion with respect to the field of background stars is rather rapid. This makes it difficult to integrate imaging data that was taken over several minutes or even hours as the comet will have visibly "moved" in that time. Hard to stack images on top of one another when they are literally impossible to align!

It looks like someone was able to grab a nice pic of it with their "backyard observatory".  Not sure exactly what that is or entails but I'm guessing I'm not the only person who doesn't have one :lol:

It's the 3rd item down on this page:  https://spaceweather.com/ 

Also curious if the X1.8 class solar flare yesterday mentioned on that page caused the massive cellular outage across the US...Interesting stuff.  

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