WxWatcher007 Posted September 13, 2023 Author Share Posted September 13, 2023 Definitely will see watches for the Cape and Maine at some point today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Just to give an idea on the massive size of the wind field. Also, notice the increased winds along the coast thanks to the tightening gradient between the high and Lee 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 36 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Just to give an idea on the massive size of the wind field. Also, notice the increased winds along the coast thanks to the tightening gradient between the high and Lee Yep, 30 mph sustained winds at Hatteras and 10-15 foot waves. 2 to 4 feet of Coastal flooding as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Some 12Z run landfalls: -Arpege: NB very late 9/16 980 mb -ICON: NB early 9/17 975 mb -GFS: NB early 9/17 976 mb -CMC: SW NS early 9/17 981 mb -UKMET: SW NS late 9/16 966 mb -JMA: Cape Cod 8PM 9/16 963 mb -Euro: NB hour 90 early 9/17 974 mb -KMA: E corner ME 5PM on 9/16 962 mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 1 hour ago, olafminesaw said: Yep, 30 mph sustained winds at Hatteras and 10-15 foot waves. 2 to 4 feet of Coastal flooding as well. 550 miles away. Pretty wild 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Mmm. Cinnamon rolls 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 12z Euro trending a bit east. Enough to matter for Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Yup, 12z Euro is East. Looks like the GFS and hurricane models now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 12Z Euro landfall NB hour 90 early 9/17 974 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 953mb on first pass by hurricane hunters, AF309, up a tick from last NHC report. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 38 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said: 953mb on first pass by hurricane hunters, AF309, up a tick from last NHC report. This is the best that the IR presentation has looked in days. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=13L&product=ir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 952 was 1st or 2nd pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 8 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: 952 was 1st or 2nd pass 952 was second pass. 953 was first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoobydoo1 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Moving to Brewster Mass in Cape Cod this weekend.....screen shot below was from 9-5. The yellow line is me driving into the storm this Saturday Crazy seeing the deviations since then. Sorry for the banter....carry on. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Eps still has a west lean and there's 2 clusters imo . Annoying storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Tropical storm watches and hurricane watches up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 25 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: Eps still has a west lean and there's 2 clusters imo . Annoying storm Has there been any info regarding the Euro AI learning models? They were consistently showing a landfall in SE New England. On a side note from what I was reading on twitter yesterday models have consistently underestimated the ridge out in the Atlantic either over this summer or maybe multiple summers, I figured AI was maybe correcting that bias but idk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Has there been any info regarding the Euro AI learning models? They were consistently showing a landfall in SE New England. On a side note from what I was reading on twitter yesterday models have consistently underestimated the ridge out in the Atlantic either over this summer or maybe multiple summers, I figured AI was maybe correcting that bias but idk Never even heard of it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 29 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: Never even heard of it lol All good lol, I think it was mostly just weenies posting on twitter to generate hype or fear or whatever since it was the only thing showing a direct landfall. It’s called PANGU or something like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 32 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: All good lol, I think it was mostly just weenies posting on twitter to generate hype or fear or whatever since it was the only thing showing a direct landfall. It’s called PANGU or something like that It's likely legit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 14 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: It's likely legit What is likely legit? That the storm is going to hit cape cod? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: What is likely legit? That the storm is going to hit cape cod? It's trending away from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 10 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: What is likely legit? That the storm is going to hit cape cod? No the model thing he's talking about! Come on now keep up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Gefs looks to have a west lean now also... it's its at all west its every so slightly overall though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 A NOAA, and AF flight are both in Lee right now. We should be getting fresh data soon. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 951 was lowest pressure from the eye drop. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 2 hours ago, Intensewind002 said: Has there been any info regarding the Euro AI learning models? They were consistently showing a landfall in SE New England. On a side note from what I was reading on twitter yesterday models have consistently underestimated the ridge out in the Atlantic either over this summer or maybe multiple summers, I figured AI was maybe correcting that bias but idk Here’s the latest (Pangu): 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 13, 2023 Share Posted September 13, 2023 Water vapor loop. Looks like Lee has some dry air entrained, and the eye has opened up. Lee no longer a major hurricane, it is a CAT 2 with 105mph top measured winds. Pressure still around that 950-952mb mark, but it is spreading out getting larger, causing less of a pressure gradient, and winds dropping a bit. Still very dangerous. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 Nam looks west so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now