HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 47 minutes ago, FXWX said: I guarantee we don’t get anything close to those QPF totals or distribution come January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 18 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I guarantee we don’t get anything close to those QPF totals or distribution come January. Lol…you’re probably right. But, maybe this year things change some? Can’t do much worse than last winter for a large swath of the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Looks norlun-esque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 49 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS sucked in the last event So, One in how many? How far do we go back to determine Euro vs GFS as king? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 46 minutes ago, powderfreak said: SNE taking the shitty-day baton from NNE with this recent run. The moisture gradient lifted NW during peak summer, and has been slinking SE lately as these more usual autumn highs build in from the north. Maybe by winter it bottoms out in the mid-Atlantic? With time, Gravity wins out............lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 And there goes Saturday. Not to mention Friday and maybe a piece of Sunday. " Uncertainty with Friday, through best chance for rain would be along the south coast of New England. Rain continues on Saturday and perhaps into early Sunday for portions of the region. This is highly dependent on how far north a low tracks" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Seems like guidance is overall trending wetter. Gfs op looks like an outlier now. Even its ensembles are wetter. But is it a quarter inch of rain or 4” lol. Best chance looks to be NYC to SE MA for heavier stuff. Basically srn SNE. Euro is definitely more north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Wetties wetties everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 So ensembles decided that fall is indeed coming now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Absolute crusher in winter especially ORH Berks. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Absolute crusher in winter especially ORH Berks. We pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 And there goes Saturday. Not to mention Friday and maybe a piece of Sunday. "Uncertainty withFriday, through best chance for rain would be along the southcoast of New England. Rain continues on Saturday and perhapsinto early Sunday for portions of the region. This is highlydependent on how far north a low tracks"You guys down there are getting shafted.Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: You guys down there are getting shafted. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk In and up as Kevin says. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 That cold shot showing up for 3 runs now would get Killington open on the north ridge in October for the first time since 2018 IF they wanted it...at the very least, lots of mountains testing their guns and turning things white. Then again, 24 hours ago temps were looking like late May so it's all a dream right now. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 1 hour ago, kdxken said: And there goes Saturday. Not to mention Friday and maybe a piece of Sunday. " Uncertainty with Friday, through best chance for rain would be along the south coast of New England. Rain continues on Saturday and perhaps into early Sunday for portions of the region. This is highly dependent on how far north a low tracks" What was funny….was last week at this time, we thought that whatever was going to happen with last weekend’s washout, that gorgeous weather was coming for at least an extended period of time after that…or so we were told. As we know now, that is not going to happen. 2 nice days, and then the rain returns for a multi day stretch. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: So ensembles decided that fall is indeed coming now? Wait…where’s the 80’s for 7-10 days we heard about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Wait…where’s the 80’s for 7-10 days we heard about. All of next week is 75-80 + 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Wait…where’s the 80’s for 7-10 days we heard about. Torch next week. Ends probably around Columbus Day. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 EPS finally caved colder in 11-15 day. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Fall has been here. A warm period doesn’t change that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 11 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Purple sun over Atlantic Canada today from dense wildfire smoke aloft. Didn't Prince write a song about that? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Can just envision the yellow jackets next week getting rejuvenated and frisky . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: All of next week is 75-80 + Ahh ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Didn't Prince write a song about that? Lmao…that was purple rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Fall has been here. A warm period doesn’t change that. For sure. Very common to be mild first week/ half of October anyway…we take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 All the Mesos and ensembles are slowly shifting that heavy axis of rain north and east. Yesterday it was as E PA and NJ.. last night NYC.. now it’s NyC on north and east. All moving towards Euro idea in some capacity 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Looks like it’s gunna b a flooder here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: So ensembles decided that fall is indeed coming now? Beyond D10 ( or so ...) there's was a mode switch overnight. The previous mass fields were orienting like there was no new signal beyond the warm up next week - it was more like fading to an echo but still there. That would lean toward a warm reload mid month... etc. Now, the overnight ensemble means of all three (eps/gefs/geps) took on semblance of western heights and JB trough axis. Nothing very amplified but a wholesale change nonetheless. Do with it what we will until there's established consistency - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks like it’s gunna b a flooder here Congrats! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Go GFS go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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