Modfan2 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, kdxken said: Thankfully I've avoided the rain at the woodyard. 0.09 since the beginning of September. Let's keep it going... Same here, surprisingly only .002 yesterday with heavy rain just to me west and south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 64.9° overcast and dropping with occasional drizzle. Much cooler feel and the chickens appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 70/69 and rising. Peas soup fog . Summer humid COC Ks loving it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Hours and hours of lightning and thunder last evening/ night and all the rain and storms missed here. .08 on the day. Today looks stormy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: This is what you want. Here’s just 9/1-9/9. There were a couple of real dewy Seps back in the boomer years. Thanks for the clarification. You got a link for that graph/data? While this week won't rival the dews of yore in 59 and 73. It's still been a pretty historical first week of dews in September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 minute ago, BrianW said: Thanks for the clarification. You got a link for that graph/data? Right on the bottom it gives you the app chart number. Just search that in the plotter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 From donsuntherland1 in the NYC forum. The ECMWF weeklies had forecast temperatures to average above to much above normal across the region for the September 4-11 period. That forecast is verifying with the ongoing heatwave. September has increasingly become an extension of summer in parts of the Northeast. Since 2000, almost half of all years (48%) have had a monthly mean temperature of 70° or above in New York City. Prior to 2000, just 20% of Septembers had mean temperatures of 70° or above. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around August 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.32°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -19.67 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.527 today. On September 7 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 2.665 (RMM). The September 6-djusted amplitude was 2.560 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 71.6° (2.4° above normal). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Weak front near BOS to just south of Kevin. That probably helps focus any storms. 73/71 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Lots of clouds today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 13 minutes ago, BrianW said: From Wdrag in the NYC forum. The ECMWF weeklies had forecast temperatures to average above to much above normal across the region for the September 4-11 period. That forecast is verifying with the ongoing heatwave. September has increasingly become an extension of summer in parts of the Northeast. Since 2000, almost half of all years (48%) have had a monthly mean temperature of 70° or above in New York City. Prior to 2000, just 20% of Septembers had mean temperatures of 70° or above. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around August 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.32°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -19.67 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.527 today. On September 7 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 2.665 (RMM). The September 6-djusted amplitude was 2.560 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 71.6° (2.4° above normal). Melting all of that arctic sea ice and permafrost has an effect. It takes a lot of heat to fully melt snow and ice…we see it up here in the spring when we’re waiting to warm up. It doesn’t efficiently warm until you thaw and dry out. Now we see that line in the arctic expanding northward during the summers. The summer cP airmasses become warmer and it’s more difficult to drive them southward. Tippy’s Hadley cell expanding northward doesn’t help either. It just results in more of a lag in cool season climo. CON’s avg first freeze in the 51-80 normals was 9/22. In the current 91-20 normals it is 10/3. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weak front near BOS to just south of Kevin. That probably helps focus any storms. 73/71 here. https://x.com/growingwisdom/status/1700843930529480834?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 63/60 Looks like we got some light rain of just under a couple tenths last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: https://x.com/growingwisdom/status/1700843930529480834?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Stein saying some areas will Stein. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 hour ago, Modfan2 said: Same here, surprisingly only .002 yesterday with heavy rain just to me west and south Yesterday first rain of the month .36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Stein saying some areas will Stein. Looks like all higher elevations around here that get the rain; any sort of enhancement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Looks like all higher elevations around here that get the rain; any sort of enhancement? I don’t see a terrain deal. Just typical stuff where some areas get inches, others get little to none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: first rain of the month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 14 hours ago, dendrite said: Beautiful sunny day. High of 80F. Not a drop. was at an outdoor wedding yesterday. nice day and all, but I was sweating for 5 hours straight. only 1/2” rain so far this month, which is right on cue as I overseeded the lawn last weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Lots of clouds today Not much sun over the next few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 This area has been like a rain forest this summer. Everything stayed so lush. This past week was mostly rain free until Friday but still only a half an inch More to come 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: This area has been like a rain forest this summer. Everything stayed so lush. This past week was mostly rain free until Friday but still only a half an inch More to come Same here. Grass has been dark green all summer with shrooms sprouting in the shady areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Well for sure we’ll turn the ac off when we depart for Italy next week. Will we need heat upon our return the evening of 10/6? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Here comes the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 64° RA trending toward the raw side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Yesterday first rain of the month .36 Oh, I have had 10x that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Radar is lit up for southern CT. Short lived stein will be over for all soon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Radar is lit up for southern CT. Short lived stein will be over for all soon. The first wave died like a shot quail before it reached me, we'll see what the next brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Man .. congrats same areas as yesterday. Thought would be farther north . Sunny and steamy here last 2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Pouring. Plenty apparently in the pipeline for later today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Good rains here-nothing severe though some rolling thunder.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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