dryslot Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Case in point: January 2023. It was the mildest of 25 Januarys here, 1.7° above the previous "winner", 2006. It also was 3rd snowiest, only 0.1" shy of 30" and 10" AN. 39 this morning, 1st sub-40 of the season. (Median date for 1st frost was last Tuesday. 50/50 chance of being our 3rd September w/o a frost.) Just going by the end of today's 12z GFS run, Taking it verbatim, I think we would hold off until around the 8th of Oct as there is a cold air mass that was heading SE out of Canada in that time frame into here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 hour ago, cardinalland said: 2021 was wild. peak leaf was mid-november in new haven Only 2 autumns have reached October w/o a frost, 2011 (Oct 6) and 2021 (Oct 24!!!). No wonder the leaf change was tardy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 31 minutes ago, tunafish said: They will take the headstone by morning!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Uninstalling today too. Also, lean under QPF this weekend north of the pike. Sure it’ll be cloudy, but HP to north doing work. Yep, I'm not expecting much NH border north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 GFS wins again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Winners win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 How much for Philly? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Why are we using the GFS for this ? 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS wins again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 hour ago, MaineJayhawk said: Just a tired joke that has run its course. Yawn Do you mean like saying Stein??...Yawn 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Poor pony. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 I’m trolling a little bit, but the euro keeps slicing and dicing QPF north of the pike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 I have to work in Central Park tomorrow for a detail from 730 to 12am Sunday . All overtime. Should be fun in the rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 It is depressing looking at the entirety of GFS runs and knowing there is no big CAPE on the horizon and not for another like 9 months. Now I know why bears hibernate during the winter. 1 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Recon is a little more impressive than I thought it’d be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Wettie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’m trolling a little bit, but the euro keeps slicing and dicing QPF north of the pike. I am planning on a cloudy weekend with intermittent showers up here in the NW corner of MA. Definitely not a washout by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’m trolling a little bit, but the euro keeps slicing and dicing QPF north of the pike. It will keep slicing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’m trolling a little bit, but the euro keeps slicing and dicing QPF north of the pike. It was also about 8 mb too weak with initialization of O this morning... My thinking is that a stronger 0 will consolidate the moisture ... well, basically just change the synoptic landscape. The idea of ejecting the isentrop lift plume really is/was a residual warm front but the identity of that is in question when it is attached to a developing TC. The other models are weaker with that lead stuff and they are also deeper with the O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Foliage looks like ass this year. Especially the maples. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 17 minutes ago, kdxken said: Foliage looks like ass this year. Especially the maples. There's an unusual amount of blight/Septoria that's in the canopy of a lot of species, not just Maples... My lilacs wilted brown and downed by early August. Now, they are budding again and even put out a feeble bouquet or two. Never saw an autumn bloom from this species lilac - some do but not this one. It almost reminds me of the 2nd green up in 2011 November post the Octo snow. It's as though the organism is trying to eke out a growth cycle before the sun's really gone I was reading that there is an unusual plague of it because of historically high DPs this summer. So, a lot of trees are going straight to brown. It's probably still present. Even our "dry" days up until just this recency have been like 64 dps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Euro is 1-2” of rain south of the pike. Heck of a way to run a nice weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Foliage looks like ass this year. Especially the maples. Brown-edged sugar maple leaves (from anthracnose, probably enabled by June's endless rain) are looking ratty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 2 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: They will take the headstone by morning!! The meme boomer speaks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Foliage looks like ass this year. Especially the maples. yeah, foliage cancel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 2 hours ago, kdxken said: Foliage looks like ass this year. Especially the maples. Tried to warn em . They said everything on track and stellar season 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Tried to warn em . They said everything on track and stellar season Boy, you're always right about everything....amazingSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Huh lol. Guess it ain’t even gonna kick east in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Gfs is even drier. Keeps trending… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 5 hours ago, mreaves said: Dendrite posted maps for the last 10 years or so a few pages back. It has varied from year to year. Definitely agree. Up here I’d say on average peak is around the first week of October but it does vary a lot - and the duration also varies quite a bit. Sometimes it seems to last forever and sometimes it seems like the next day is gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22, 2023 Share Posted September 22, 2023 Things you’d never dream about seeing until you’re out grilling and look over at Canadian neighbor.. shop vac ing acorns off lawn. 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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