RedSky Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 In the it looks good on paper category: Tuesday Night A slight chance of rain after 11pm, mixing with snow after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 20%. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 1 hour ago, JTA66 said: You must be new here. Yeah, why talk about actual weather when we can talk abbout wenie runs...! lol 1 hour ago, JTA66 said: Exactly, how did that winter work out? It doesn't really matter, it's probably just the GFS doing GFS things. And as others have said, it's such a small sample size (Oct/Nov snows preceding ratter winters) may simply be "noise". I did like the look of last night's Euro -- looks like a frontal passage changing to wet flakes. That's very November 1995-ish. And I am intrigued by Chuck's call for a neutral NOA. On the surface, that doesn't sound promising. But one possible interpretation is the NOA diddy-bopping back and forth between positive & negative. And our best storm chances occur during phase changes. Whether those storms are wet or white, tbd. It does have Ralph's attention, afterall three runs is a trend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 4 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said: Let's talk about frost before we talk about jumping in snow banks-- Its all about signs and indications. Best chance for first frost for me is Wednesday, Nov. 1. I know we had a ratter of a winter last year but have we gotten so desperate we track frost now? We have a Super Nino....go big or go home. Best shot at a big storm here since 2016 imo. If this fall longwave pattern is any indication of what's to come, we are going to be active early and often. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I know we had a ratter of a winter last year but have we gotten so desperate we track frost now? We have a Super Nino....go big or go home. Best shot at a big storm here since 2016 imo. If this fall longwave pattern is any indication of what's to come, we are going to be active early and often. It is about as good a look we can get in November this far out. It will be interesting to see how it works out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 30, 2023 Author Share Posted October 30, 2023 Picked up more rain than I thought I would over the last couple of day. Picked up 0.48" of rain so far today. Two day total so far 1.04" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 39 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: It is about as good a look we can get in November this far out. It will be interesting to see how it works out. If we can eek out some minor accums by Dec 5 I would be ecstatic. Seems possible this year unless the pattern completely flips on us. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If we can eek out some minor accums by Dec 5 I would be ecstatic. Seems possible this year unless the pattern completely flips on us. One of my favorite storms was an SECS early december storm... Dec 6th 2005. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 Trick not treat for those snow chances in the long range? Looking more normal first half of November now. * Not counting the chance of an errant flake in the wee hours of tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 7 hours ago, RedSky said: Trick not treat for those snow chances in the long range? Looking more normal first half of November now. * Not counting the chance of an errant flake in the wee hours of tomorrow morning Stayin up for it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 just talked to relatives in Milwaukee- getting pounded with snow this afternoon and evening - a few inches pretty crappy Halloween. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 1 hour ago, KamuSnow said: Stayin up for it? My bad wisdom tooth is telling me I have no choice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 1 hour ago, Albedoman said: just talked to relatives in Milwaukee- getting pounded with snow this afternoon and evening - a few inches pretty crappy Halloween. Hey that's a great Halloween Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: My bad wisdom tooth is telling me I have no choice expect a bunch of mangled flakes around 4-5 am maybe a dusting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 52 minutes ago, RedSky said: My bad wisdom tooth is telling me I have no choice Good luck with the tooth (might be time to medicate), and hope you see some flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 6 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Good luck with the tooth (might be time to medicate), and hope you see some flakes. Too warm at 42F and radar isn't doing anything, the tooth however has some white stuff oozing out so there's that No pain at all funny enough it must be on a long fuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 October finished as the 29th warmest October with an average temperature of 56.3. The warmest October with now 130 years of observations was way back in 1900 at 61.3 degrees the coldest was the 47.1 degrees back in 1925. It was also the 32nd driest October with just 1.91" of rain falling. The all-time dry October was back in 1924 when a scant 0.05" of rain fell. The wettest October was just 11 years ago when 9.12" fell in 2012 with the impact of Hurricane Sandy across the area. We saw some reported snow flurries not to far west of Chester County this morning and today will be a cold day for the 1st day of November with temps struggling to escape the mid-40's in the higher elevations and remaining in the upper 40's in lower spots. We will see our 1st widespread freeze tonight. I expect some higher spots of Western Chester County to dip below freezing as early as the 10pm hour this evening. So local farmers and green thumbs should be sure to bring in any tender vegetation. This will effectively end the growing season here in the County at 206 days since our last freeze back on April 9th. This is the longest growing season since the 231 days back in 2017. Our temps should start to rebound toward the weekend with sunny skies and above normal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 46F/DP 31F (Super dry) Birds/Boys game this Sunday (4:25pm start) will be mostly under the lights with the Fall back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 Topped out at 49F today, currently 44F. Hoping for mass insect extinction overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 November is freaking boring. No hurricanes to track, no chances of thunderstorms, and snow is still weeks away. Looking at the long range GFS doesn’t even give us any fantasy storms. It’s just a brutal month for weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 4 hours ago, LVblizzard said: November is freaking boring. No hurricanes to track, no chances of thunderstorms, and snow is still weeks away. Looking at the long range GFS doesn’t even give us any fantasy storms. It’s just a brutal month for weenies. You can just make up stuff for December like they are doing in the MA forum. 32 degrees right on the line when I got in the truck this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 27F this morning. First freeze/frost which is a little later than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 25F, frosty out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Today was our first widespread freeze for all locations across Chester County. This ends the growing season at 207 days which is 9 days longer than our average season. Here in East Nantmeal we have reached a low so far of 28.7 this morning - we did not see readings that cold last year until the 28.2 on November 18th. Below normal temps both today and tomorrow before a nice warming trend begins over the weekend that brings us to above normal temps by mid-week before colder weather again toward next weekend. Next rain chances not till Monday night. Records for today: High 82 (1982) / Low 20 (1923) / Rain 1.72" (2018) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 I am still surprised that I ended up with a 4-day string of light precip that totaled 0.40" (had a sneaky 0.10" Tues. and 0.03" yesterday morning). The high yesterday never made it to 50 (was 49) after a low of 33 and this morning I bottomed out at 30.0 on the nose. I noticed that the winds never went completely calm here overnight. The dp was in the mid 20s once the CAA blew dry air in. Got the last of my tender subtropicals in but still have the potted fig out there to go dormant and drop its leaves before I bring that in. Am still resisting turning the heat on (have a portable to take the chill off where I am sitting at the moment) because once I do that, I have to get my humidifiers up and running. It's supposed to warm up by the weekend in any case. Currently mostly sunny and 38 with dp 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 2, 2023 Author Share Posted November 2, 2023 Overnight low of 32 here. Current temp 44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 53 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: I am still surprised that I ended up with a 4-day string of light precip that totaled 0.40" (had a sneaky 0.10" Tues. and 0.03" yesterday morning). The high yesterday never made it to 50 (was 49) after a low of 33 and this morning I bottomed out at 30.0 on the nose. I noticed that the winds never went completely calm here overnight. The dp was in the mid 20s once the CAA blew dry air in. Got the last of my tender subtropicals in but still have the potted fig out there to go dormant and drop its leaves before I bring that in. Am still resisting turning the heat on (have a portable to take the chill off where I am sitting at the moment) because once I do that, I have to get my humidifiers up and running. It's supposed to warm up by the weekend in any case. Currently mostly sunny and 38 with dp 29. My rule of thumb is no AC before Memorial Day and no heat before Halloween. I held out until Tuesday evening when the last of the little beggars knocked at the door. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 24F yellow jackets they gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 1 hour ago, RedSky said: 24F yellow jackets they gone Outside eating a sandwich and 30 seconds later a yellow jacket wants a bite, they not gone! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 3, 2023 Author Share Posted November 3, 2023 Overnight low of 30 here. Current temp 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 3, 2023 Share Posted November 3, 2023 Another frosty start across most of the County this morning. Temperatures look to remain slightly below normal over the weekend and into the start of the new work week. However we should stay above freezing for night time lows for the upcoming week. Colder air looks likely to return again by the middle of the month. Records for today: High 80 (2003) / Low 17 (1951) / Rain 1.24" (1910) and Snow 1.0" (1910) part of the 2nd largest early season snowstorm in Chester County history with another 5.6" falling on the 4th for a 6.6" total. The greatest early season snowfall in the county occurred just 12 years ago with the 9.0" of snow that fell on October 29, 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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