Rtd208 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 The downward slide into winter begins. Post your Obs/Discussions here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 We're going into a super nino, there will be no downward slide into winter 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 1 hour ago, FPizz said: September 2014 in Allentown was .4F below normal if we want to build on this analog. Projecting through the first half of September it's going to be difficult to have a below normal month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 But of course 12z guidance rolls in saying not so sure on the hot September Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 Today's 12z Euro has Idalia making a second landfall in Boston next week 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 Blue skies, high in the 70's with low humidity and a nice breeze. I wouldn't mind a lot more days like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 69F/DP 51F...predicted low 53F. Very excited about the 90s next week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Media Delaware County Clear 62 humidity 49% dewpoint 43 pressure 30.01 setting up for a cool night. Air off doors and windows open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 3 hours ago, Birds~69 said: 69F/DP 51F...predicted low 53F. Very excited about the 90s next week... Like being excited about a root canal, lol. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 5 hours ago, KamuSnow said: Like being excited about a root canal, lol. I don't get worried this time of year because I know it will be short lived. 55F/DP 51F.....feels great, bright moon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 13 hours ago, JTA66 said: Today's 12z Euro has Idalia making a second landfall in Boston next week Franklin, Idalia, and Jose all circled the wagon in the Atlantic and brought zombie Gert back to life! After a low of 62 yesterday, I made it up to 77 for a high... but the news of the day has been the dps down in the low 50s, making for probably one of the nicest days of late. Finished the month of August with 3.78" of rain. So far my low this morning has been 58 and it's currently 59 with dp 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Great, got down to 48 this morning at the house. Slept like a baby. Need more of this early autumn weather . This 90+degree is only going to raise my utility bills and serves no other purpose this late in the summer season. However, with little to no precip, the leaves will also turn quickly this year but the colors should be real nice. No smoke, no fog. real nice morning Reminds me a lot of weather for the morning of 911. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 So we finished August with our 3rd below normal month in the last 4 months. The maximum temperature we recorded here in East Nantmeal during the month of August was only 83.1 degrees on the 15th. This is the lowest maximum temp for the month of August ever recorded in Chester County. The old low max record was the 84 degree max from August 1927! Here in Chester County we finished the summer months of June through August as the 13th coldest summer (70.3) since records began 130 years ago. If we look at the 4 warm months of May thru August we finished as the 8th coldest (67.3) 4-month spring/summer stretch since 1894. See the table below for both rankings. Rain wise the June-August period was the 27th wettest summer with 17.13" of rain. I will be sure to post the stats for the other long running NWS COOP Chester County sites across the county later today. As cool as it has been this summer...we are about to finally get a taste of summer now that we are starting the first month of autumn. We should see widespread 90+ temps from Monday through Wednesday before we cool down to closer to normal levels by next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Long range says 90's done by this time next week, and Summer over. Fantasycast has a hurricane (Margo?) crawling up to OBX betwen the 15th-17th. Could not ask for more beautiful weather now though. 75 and sunny! Enjoy it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Fantasycast has a hurricane crawling up to OBX betwen the 15th-17th. TD-12 (potential "Katia" if it gets named) is up and running with the 11 am update. It might not survive the trip across the Atlantic though. Currently sunny with lots of blue sky and 73 with dp a nice 52. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 39 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: TD-12 (potential "Katia" if it gets named) is up and running with the 11 am update. It might not survive the trip across the Atlantic though. Currently sunny with lots of blue sky and 73 with dp a nice 52. Yeah. Like I said it's Fantasyland so... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Yeah. Like I said it's Fantasyland so... GFS was spinning up storms the past couple days in the GOM including one hitting TX near the end of the run. The 12z has yet another spun up out of the Caribbean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 48F low this morning hello fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 2, 2023 Author Share Posted September 2, 2023 Overnight low of 53 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 3, 2023 Share Posted September 3, 2023 Made it up to 81 for a high yesterday just before 3:30 pm, but in contrast, I was already at a mostly sunny 83 so far this morning by 10:30 am, after a low of 64. Had to give everything a good soaking this morning and it wasn't bad out despite the dp having crept up to 70. Will see how close we get to any records for sites in the CWA - Quote && .CLIMATE... Near record breaking heat is forecast for Monday thru Thursday. Records for our climate sites are listed below: Record High Temperatures Mon Sept 4 Tue Sept 5 Wed Sept 6 Thu Sept 7 Site Record/Year Record/Year Record/Year Record/Year Allentown (ABE) 94/1937 94/2018 96/1983 91/2016 AC Airport (ACY) 96/2018 93/1985 98/1983 94/1983 AC Marina (55N) 92/1985 94/1880 92/1985 92/1983 Georgetown (GED) 97/2008 93/2018 93/2018 94/1983 Mount Pocono (MPO) 88/1973 85/2018 88/2018 85/2015 Philadelphia (PHL) 93/2018 95/2018 95/2018 102/1881 Reading (RDG) 94/2008 93/2018 95/1943 97/1983 Trenton (TTN) 95/1929 95/1985 99/1983 94/1983 Wilmington (ILG) 95/2018 93/2018 98/1983 95/1983 && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NJ...High Risk for Rip Currents through Monday evening for NJZ014- 024>026. DE...High Risk for Rip Currents through Monday evening for DEZ004. MD...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Hoeflich/RCM NEAR TERM...Hoeflich SHORT TERM...RCM LONG TERM...RCM AVIATION...Hoeflich/RCM MARINE...Hoeflich/RCM CLIMATE...PHI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 3, 2023 Author Share Posted September 3, 2023 I think Mt.Holly might be a little low on todays forecasted highs in the upper 80's here. Thinking we make it into at least the low 90's. Current temp 86/DP 69/RH 58% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 3, 2023 Share Posted September 3, 2023 Top 20 Warmest Summer Months in Chester County (May through August) - no summers in this century and none at all with the exception of 1991 since 1955 that have cracked the Top 20! Top 20 Warmest May - August Summers Rank Year Avg Temp 1 1944 74.1 2 1943 73.9 3 1900 72.9 4 1911 72.4 5 1942 72.0 6 1918 71.8 7 1991 71.7 8 1898 71.5 9 1899 71.5 10 1959 71.4 11 1901 71.4 12 1906 71.4 13 1934 71.3 14 1955 71.2 15 1921 71.1 16 1941 71.0 17 1933 70.9 18 1922 70.9 19 1896 70.9 20 1908 70.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted September 3, 2023 Share Posted September 3, 2023 ...because they were all measured over 300 feet below you. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted September 3, 2023 Share Posted September 3, 2023 Here's pure West Chester data, note there are gaps particularly from 1992-1999, and unfortunately no data since 2017. These are the 10 warmest June - Augusts (met Summer). 1988 76.7 1987 76.3 2005 75.8 1968 75.6 1955 75.4 1959 75.2 1949 75.1 2010 75 2002 75 1952 75 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 3, 2023 Author Share Posted September 3, 2023 High for the day was 91 here. Current temp 90/DP 69/RH 50% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 Wasn't sure I would get there but I did eventually hit 90.0 just before 4:30 pm today, so that starts day 1 of the upcoming heatwave. It was actually "summery" but not oppressive at all, as the dps mixed out some, plus there was an active light breeze. It's currently clear and 82 with dp 68. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 Off to the warmest morning low (71.1) here in East Nantmeal since July 28th which should be a nice launching pad to see if we can surpass 90 degrees for the 1st time since June 30, 2021 here in EN. If not today better chances both Tuesday and Wednesday. Records for today High 94 (1964) / Low 44 (1987) / Rain 2.30" (1935) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 the potential hurricane on the 15-17 is showing a lot of potential to be devastating along the east coast , especially to Long Island/NJ with tidal/surge flooding and tons of wind damage Someone will have to start a new thread on this soon if the models continue in this direction. Flooding rains like Floyd is a dam good potential. This type of storm usually breaks the stagnant weather pattern we are in and ushers in some really cool fall air too. I do not wish for 6+ inch rains in 12 hours. The worst thing in the LV and eastern PA is that any winds over 50 mph gusts will bring down thousands of dead ash tree/limbs everywhere that have been sitting dead for years from the ash borer. The debris dams in the streams and falling on the roads damage will be incredible from these ash trees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 Only 89F yesterday, so my heatwave begins today. 81F/DP 70F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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