September 2023

[psv88]

22 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

I feel like islip is wrong. Reached 90 imby today it was HOT.


.

 

20 minutes ago, lee59 said:

Islip does look a little out of place.

Farmingdale hit 90…so no way islip only hits 84…

[SACRUS]

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Tropical threat by mid September?

Models are consistent 

 

18Z GFS has NC then up the cost.  340 hours to go.  

 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Farmingdale hit 90…so no way islip only hits 84…

Yea I agree. They gotta be off.


.

[nycwinter]

a week from today summer for all intents and purposes will be over..

[hudsonvalley21]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

18Z GFS has NC then up the cost.  340 hours to go.  

 

Subject to change of course 

[SnoSki14]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

18Z GFS has NC then up the cost.  340 hours to go.  

 

It wouldn't be surprising to see the summer heat end in a nearby major cane strike. 

[TWCCraig]

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

ISP has been too cool all summer

 

2 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Yea I agree. They gotta be off.


.

ISP, and places south & east were in a sea breeze most of the day. Most stations out east barely made it out of the low 80's. My high was only 86 before the sea breeze. The stations are not off at all lol

FOK was only 81

[SRRTA22]

Perfect summer night right now

[psv88]

2 hours ago, TWCCraig said:

 

ISP, and places south & east were in a sea breeze most of the day. Most stations out east barely made it out of the low 80's. My high was only 86 before the sea breeze. The stations are not off at all lol

FOK was only 81

Islip has been low all summer. Sure the east end always is cooler for the most part…but isp is not on the water and is not comparable at all to FOK. It is more comparable to FRG and shouldn’t be a full 6 degrees cooler. when JFK and FRG both hit 90 and isp at 84, somethings off

[CIK62]

The next 8 days are averaging   83degs.(76/90) or +11.

Reached 92 here yesterday at 6pm.  H.I. was 96.

Today:   89-92, wind w., scattered clouds,  76 tomorrow AM.

77*(81%RH) here at 7am{was 76 earlier}.    78* at 9am, brief drizzle earlier.     80* at 10:30am.      81*-83* from 11am-1pm.      84* at 2pm.      85* at 3pm.     86* at 4pm.      88* at 4:30pm.     90* at 5pm.   Reached 91* at 5:30pm---H.I. of 100!     82* at 8pm.

[SACRUS]

 

[Allsnow]

Rain to start the morning here.  I wonder if this keeps temps down.

[Allsnow]

9 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

It wouldn't be surprising to see the summer heat end in a nearby major cane strike. 

I think a nearby major cane strike is surprising in any environment 

[SACRUS]

 

78 / 67 partly cloudy, head an early morning shower pass through and more showers into NENJ / NYC / LI.  Partly cloudy and more humid with noticeably more clouds than Fri-Sun.  Near to low / mid 90s for highs. Heat continues through Thu (9/7) with Wed (9/6) and Thu the hottest days with 850 MB temps forecast >18c to near 20c.  Storms and showers arrive and pending on leading clouds Thu upper 90s.  Fri (9/8) - Sat (9/9) showers and clouds with some heavier rains possible as the trough is slow to push front through with ridging off shore. Clears out by Sun (9/1O_ and the week of 9/11 looks dry and near normal about 10 - 15 degrees cooler than this current week.

 

By mid month heights are rising and its warming up, overall warmer look with a tropical risk in the 9/16 - 9-/17 period. 

 

[SACRUS]

  

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 95 (2018)
NYC: 97 (1929)
LGA: 93 (2018)


Lows:

EWR" 52 (1997)
NYC: 47 (1883)
LGA: 54 (1997)

Historical:

1766: A hurricane made landfall at modern-day Galveston, Texas. The following is from David Roth of the Weather Prediction Center. “A mission, named San Augustine de Ahumado was located in what is nowadays known as Chambers County. This mission was destroyed and subsequently abandoned. A seven-foot storm surge put the area under water. A richly-laden treasure fleet of 5 galleons en route from Vera Cruz to Havana was driven ashore and had to wait many weeks for assistance to come. La Caraqueña wrecked on Galveston Island while El Nuevo de Constante sank along the western Louisiana coast. Fortunately, much of the treasure and people aboard were saved.”

1939 - A thunderstorm deluged Washington D.C. with 4.4 inches of rain in two hours. September of that year was very dry across much of the nation, and Washington D.C. received more rain in that two hour period than most other places in the country that entire month. (David Ludlum)

 

1970 - The greatest natural disaster of record for Arizona occurred. Unprecedented rains caused rivers in central Arizona to rise five to ten feet per hour, sweeping cars and buildings as far as 30 to 40 miles downstream. Flooding claimed the lives of 23 persons, mainly campers, and caused millions of dollars damage. Water crested 36 feet above normal near Sunflower AZ. Workman's Creek was deluged with 11.40 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a state record. Moisture from Pacific Tropical Storm Norma led to the severe flooding. (4th-6th) (The Weather Channel)

1986 - An unusually strong dust devil moved across the Flagstaff Pulliam Airport. The dust devil blew open the doors of the National Weather Service office scattering papers and bringing down a ceiling-mounted light fixture. (Storm Data)

1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a stationary front produced heavy rain across the Southern Atlantic Coast States. Up to eight inches was reported north of Charleston SC. Serious flooding was reported in Monks Corner SC. Seven cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Houlton ME dipped to 32 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - The western U.S. experienced another day of record heat. The afternoon high of 91 degrees at Stampede Pass WA established an all-time record for that location, and Los Angeles CA equalled their all-time record high with a reading of 110 degrees. A record high of 107 degrees at San Diego CA was their hottest reading in 25 years. Red Bluff CA was the hot spot in the nation with an afternoon reading of 118 degrees. (National Weather Summary)

1989 - Overnight thunderstorm rains of four and a half to seven inches drenched eastern Nebraska during the morning hours, pushing creeks out of their banks, and flooding fields, country roads and city streets. Totals ranged up to 6.97 inches south of Creston. It was also a soggy Labor Day for northern Florida. Jacksonville reported 6.82 inches of rain, and evening thunderstorms produced 2.75 inches of rain in one hour at Sandlewood. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 

2000: Houston and College Station, Texas recorded their hottest day on record when highs reached 109° and 112° respectively. Houston has tied their record on August 27th, 2011. Other daily record highs included: Wichita Falls, TX: 111°, Waco, TX: 111°, Dallas, (DFW), TX: 111°, Austin, (Bergstrom), TX: 110°, Austin (Camp Mabry), TX: 110°, Dallas, TX: 110°, Victoria, TX: 110°, San Antonio, TX: 109°, Shreveport, LA: 108°, Corpus Christi, TX: 107 °F. 

 

2011: The center of Tropical Storm Lee moved ashore around sunrise. However, it would be a while before Lee would weaken to a depression as it remained nearly stationary while the southern half of the circulation was over water where it could continue to derive additional energy from the warm ocean. Lee brought torrential rains to Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.

[uofmiami]

7 hours ago, psv88 said:

Islip has been low all summer. Sure the east end always is cooler for the most part…but isp is not on the water and is not comparable at all to FOK. It is more comparable to FRG and shouldn’t be a full 6 degrees cooler. when JFK and FRG both hit 90 and isp at 84, somethings off

Go check the METAR data and wind direction, says it all. ISP was S all day long yesterday, hence the temp difference.

[SACRUS]

 

Past Labor Days

EWR:

 

2010:  80 / 56 (0)
2011: 85 / 72 (0.2)
2012: 78 / 72 (0.08)
2013: 83 / 73 (0.14)
2014: 92 / 74 (0)
2015: 95 / 65 (0)
2016: 85 / 59 (0)
2017: 82 / 58 (0)
2018: 95 / 76 (0)
2019: 82 / 66 (0)
2020: 79 / 65 (0)
2021: 86 / 70 (0)
2022: 87 / 73 (0)
 

[Picard]

Rumbling around up here with some brief heavy rains.  The sky this morning is very picturesque with the early sun illuminating the storm clouds.  

[Stormlover74]

48 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Rain to start the morning here.  I wonder if this keeps temps down.

Looks like more on the way though it's dying out

 

[Allsnow]

14 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like more on the way though it's dying out

 

With plenty of clouds 

[winterwarlock]

Wtf where is this coming from

Has forecasting declined so much that we can't  forecast 12 hours in advance and after days of saying sun and low 90s its currently  raining

 

Epic fail no excuses

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, winterwarlock said:

Wtf where is this coming from

Has forecasting declined so much that we can't  forecast 12 hours in advance and after days of saying sun and low 90s its currently  raining

 

Epic fail no excuses

Haha. I was going to @ you because I knew this would get you upset. What happened to the beautiful hot holiday? 

[Allsnow]

More showers coming down from Sussex county haha 

[SACRUS]

2 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Wtf where is this coming from

Has forecasting declined so much that we can't  forecast 12 hours in advance and after days of saying sun and low 90s its currently  raining

 

Epic fail no excuses

 

Was clear on the 500MB forecast energy coming through.  Should be out in next 2 hours and back to the late summer heat.  Another one on the 500 riding the periphery of the ridge tomorrow , we'll see if it gets showers and storms to the surface.

 

 

 

 

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, SACRUS said:

 

Was clear on the 500MB forecast energy coming through.  Should be out in next 2 hours and back to the late summer heat.  Another one on the 500 riding the periphery of the ridge tomorrow , we'll see if it gets showers and storms to the surface.

 

 

 

 

Lots of clouds still yet to come through 

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Haha. I was going to @ you because I knew this would get you upset. What happened to the beautiful hot holiday? 

Good

[SACRUS]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Lots of clouds still yet to come through 

 

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Lots of clouds still yet to come through 

It'll definitely trim western area temps some-days are shorter now so the loss of 2-3 hrs of heating is much more significant than in Jun or July.

Hot here-not much in the way of cloudiness

[Wxoutlooksblog]

37 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Wtf where is this coming from

Has forecasting declined so much that we can't  forecast 12 hours in advance and after days of saying sun and low 90s its currently  raining

 

Epic fail no excuses

This front was on the GFS two days ago and on a few runs of the NAM 3KM. I noted it in my last post. It's going to be difficult for Central Park to hit 90 today and tomorrow, today because of cloud cover and showers/storms and tomorrow because of a light onshore breeze. This is not a heatwave for NYC in my opinion.

WX/PT