Brian5671 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 34 minutes ago, Dark Star said: Cirrus here as well. Is this normal: The cirrus spinning clockwise on the westernside while everything else is moving in a counterclockwise direction? outflow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannoliman42 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Cool view from my office today. You can see where the cirrus clouds from Lee end. Pretty much has stayed this way all day. Cloudy to the east, blue skies to the west. Impressive cutoff. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Dark Star said: Cirrus here as well. Is this normal: The cirrus spinning clockwise on the westernside while everything else is moving in a counterclockwise direction? I thought that’s pretty typical having an anticyclonic flow above TC’s, especially well developed ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 14 minutes ago, HailMan06 said: I thought that’s pretty typical having an anticyclonic flow above TC’s, especially well developed ones. It’s because of outflow and southerly flow overall ahead of the hurricane at the upper levels. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 i would think the upper level anticyclone is a function of the lower level convection and the dissipation of said convection as the storm transitions to a structure driven by baroclinic processes might likewise dissipate said anticyclone however i also have no idea what i’m talking about and i’m legally barred from operating metal food utensils by the state of new jersey so maybe that is an incorrect assumption 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 75 looks to be the high here for the day. Just a wonderful day, although ragweed/hayfever seems high. Do think tomorrow may not be as cloudy as forecast with Lee curret view and motion. We will see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 first day here since probably June that we did not crack 70 for the high and it was not raining.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Now this is what September should be like 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Feeling fall like here in the Berkshires, topped out at 65 for a high today. Currently 56F as of 7PM, 63 back home in HPN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Hit 70 here. Now 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Gorgeous hurricane sunset here at KHVN. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Fall vibes in White Plains today, who's got a prediction on the first day with a high under 60 in the metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Nantucket webcam for anyone interested. https://masswebcams.com/nantucket-webcam/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 15, 2023 Share Posted September 15, 2023 Sumer feel departing is bittersweet. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 After a chilly start, temperatures rose into the upper 60s and lower 70s across much of the region. Tomorrow will then be fair and continued cool. Much of the region will likely see temperatures top out in the lower to middle 70s. In the medium and longer range, a warmer than normal pattern could develop in eastern North America. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around September 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.38°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -16.99 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.613 today. On September 12 the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 1.721 (RMM). The September 11-adjusted amplitude was 2.188 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 80% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 71.5° (2.3° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 . 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 too west for a great sunset tbh grats to those who cashed in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 9/15 PHL: 77 ACY: 76 New Bnswck: 75 TTN: 75 EWR: 74 BLM: 72 ISP: 71 JFK: 71 TEB: 70 NYC: 69 LGA: 69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 1 hour ago, lee59 said: Nantucket webcam for anyone interested. https://masswebcams.com/nantucket-webcam/ Yarmouth Canada https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/webcams/yarmouth_canada_6185217 https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/week/yarmouth_canada_6185217 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 Waves were huge at Robert Moses, easily 10 ft. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Waves were huge at Robert Moses, easily 10 ft. My pics are from field 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: My pics are from field 2 I was over at field 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 2 hours ago, lee59 said: Nantucket webcam for anyone interested. https://masswebcams.com/nantucket-webcam/ Radar reminds me of our Juno 2015 and how far the heavy rain will back into Cape Cod. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 Pretty cool how the early season nor’easter now forecast for Monday was missed by earlier model runs. So wet and cool pattern to start the new week. We’ll take anything that resembles an actual fall pattern. Eastern sections should be favored. So if this was the winter, better snows east with western areas missing out. New run now has our first nor’easter of fall on Monday Old run just a frontal passage 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: Pretty cool how the early season nor’easter now forecast for Monday was missed by earlier model runs. So wet and cool pattern to start the new week. We’ll take anything that resembles an actual fall pattern. Eastern sections should be favored. So if this was the winter, better snows east with western areas missing out. New run now has our first nor’easter of fall on Monday Old run just a frontal passage Still lots of uncertainty and Euro loves to have these lows too close to the coast and wound up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Still lots of uncertainty and Euro loves to have these lows too close to the coast and wound up The Euro is probably too far west like it was with Lee. But all the other models focus the heaviest rains over eastern sections. So my guess is that western sections may end up saying what nor’easter while coastal sections to the east cash in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 Pattern looks pretty ripe for some homebrew tropical development with onshore flow pattern and big sprawling high east of New England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 69degs.(62/77) or +1. Reached 70 here yesterday at 5pm. Today: 70-75, wind nw.-breezy, scattered clouds, 61 tomorrow AM. 60*(63%RH) here at 7am. 61* at 9am. 64* at 10am. 67* at 11am. 70* at Noon. 73* at 2pm. Reached 79* at 5pm. 72* at 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 50 minutes ago, bluewave said: The Euro is probably too far west like it was with Lee. But all the other models focus the heaviest rains over eastern sections. So my guess is that western sections may end up saying what nor’easter while coastal sections to the east cash in. Agree. Euro probably to far west but was the first to see it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 16, 2023 Share Posted September 16, 2023 Nice chill in the air this morning with the clouds from Lee. Feels like early October 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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