SnoSki14 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Not really seeing that big autumnal front just yet. Probably won't happen til October. Nino Octobers are typically cooler than usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 55 minutes ago, psv88 said: Cloudy and thunder in distance but the rain keeps developing to my north and sliding to CT. Same pattern all week. Pouring at the boat and dry at home There’s an outflow boundary pushing east that’s firing storms behind it into Nassau now. We’ll see if it can make it over the border. Same here-Lloyd Harbor/Caumsett getting dumped on, nothing IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 33 minutes ago, SACRUS said: The Ridge also overforecast and rain further east this weekend. The weaker ridge to our east probably prevented Newark from getting a SW flow and 99-100° instead of the more onshore flow and underperforming highs there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: There’s an outflow boundary pushing east that’s firing storms behind it into Nassau now. We’ll see if it can make it over the border. Same here-Lloyd Harbor/Caumsett getting dumped on, nothing IMBY. Not seeing any movement east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 10, 2023 Author Share Posted September 10, 2023 About done here .87" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 The desertification of Suffolk County. My lightning notifications are going crazy, feels like the weather version of store locators that include Connecticut in the results as if it’s down the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 With ligtning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Looks like a chance it crosses into Suffolk . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Pouring 3 miles n and w of me again. Comical. Think we get something though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 13 minutes ago, psv88 said: Not seeing any movement east Pouring here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 20 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Not really seeing that big autumnal front just yet. Probably won't happen til October. Nino Octobers are typically cooler than usual At this point I'll take a front that will at least clear out the humidity! Getting a little tired of the warmth + humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 0.86 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 11 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Looks like a chance it crosses into Suffolk . Don’t think so. It looks like the backend will be north of the area before the band reaches our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Torrential downpour here at KHVN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 .53 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Don’t think so. It looks like the backend will be north of the area before the band reaches our area Brutal if it goes north before reaching Suffolk. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Just now, WestBabylonWeather said: Brutal if it goes north before reaching Suffolk. . Hopefully it doesn’t, but the radar and the slow eastward progression says otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 minute ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Brutal if it goes north before reaching Suffolk. . I’m missing the rain by 2 miles all week. Is what it is. As long as it doesn’t happen in the winter I’m ok with it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 10, 2023 Author Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 minute ago, psv88 said: I’m missing the rain by 2 miles all week. Is what it is. As long as it doesn’t happen in the winter I’m ok with it I'm sure you'll get plenty of rain this winter 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Continuing personal theme of Sept 7-14. Amounts as posted by NWS in the subforum seem to be missing 'isolated'big amounts 3-4.8" so far, as documented in state climate data or prior LSR's. This is becoming important in assessment. My concern is not only north of I78 in NJ/PA, se NYS but now CT, through Wednesday evening. Scranton area: There have been road washouts/bridges out/injuries/ and at least 1 fatality vicinity Scranton PA and while that is not in the NYC subforum, it does suggest isolated potential in the subforum... this afternoon-tonight, and Tuesday night-Wednesday. See attachments for documentation of FF ( tiny sampler), FFG which I think in our area if exceeds 2.5": in 6 hours, you'll get FF (NOT talking the general river flooding, but what I feel is the more dangerous isolated hillside/urban runoff/creek FF). and added the 12z/10 SPC HREF MAX rainfall potential which is not necessarily very reliable but suggests renewed heavy convection later today/tonight with potential for "isolated" max amounts 3-5", ne PA/ This is not a benign pattern, though many in our NYC subforum will only nickel and dime for the next day or two. and this is only with PW of near 1.75" through tonight and again Wednesday morning. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Walt your posts are fantastic. Glad to have you back. - Locally getting very heavy rains and rolling thunder.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 We did it. Downpour . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 7 minutes ago, wdrag said: Continuing personal theme of Sept 7-14. Amounts as posted by NWS in the subforum seem to be missing 'isolated'big amounts 3-4.8" so far, as documented in state climate data or prior LSR's. This is becoming important in assessment. My concern is not only north of I78 in NJ/PA, se NYS but now CT, through Wednesday evening. Scranton area: There have been road washouts/bridges out/injuries/ and at least 1 fatality vicinity Scranton PA and while that is not in the NYC subforum, it does suggest isolated potential in the subforum... this afternoon-tonight, and Tuesday night-Wednesday. See attachments for documentation of FF ( tiny sampler), FFG which I think in our area if exceeds 2.5": in 6 hours, you'll get FF (NOT talking the general river flooding, but what I feel is the more dangerous isolated hillside/urban runoff/creek FF). and added the 12z/10 SPC HREF MAX rainfall potential which is not necessarily very reliable but suggests renewed heavy convection later today/tonight with potential for "isolated" max amounts 3-5", ne PA/ This is not a benign pattern, though many in our NYC subforum will only nickel and dime for the next day or two. and this is only with PW of near 1.75" through tonight and again Wednesday morning. Walt, So far today I have picked up 0.89" of rain. 3 day total so far of 1.90" Have to see how much additional rain I pick up today and tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scootmandu Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 It has been pouring since 11 AM, with rates as high as 2.72/hr. But we keep getting lulls and then periods of intense rain and thunder. Currently at 1.11 inches. All the local forecasts totally missed the boat. All official rainfall forecast, even now, say about 35 total for the entire day. Areas to our east and southeast have not even had rain, here was are getting storms generating just southwest of us that then build while over us. There really should be some sort of flash flood advisory for parts of Northwestern Suffolk. We are on the North Shore, at LI Sound, several miles west of Sunken Meadow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Rmine. You got your rain . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1.37 here at KHVN in only 30 minutes with plenty of low lying street and parking lot flooding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: What Hurricane model you posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Light rain now. We did it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Storms firing now out to Rt 111. Hopefully they can keep firing east from the outflow boundary. Back here we had the one downpour and that was it. Some light rain from the other stuff over Nassau. At least I got something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Active tropics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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