Hurricane Idalia

[Eskimo Joe]

 

 

[Eskimo Joe]

 

[WxWatcher007]

I’m ok. Very bad signal. Absolutely extraordinary eyewall in Perry. Extensive tree damage and significant roof damage throughout the area. Not just uprooted, snapped in half. Incredible lightning as well. It was insane.

Will post more when I can. 

 

 

 

[lilj4425]

Wow. Great pics. Snapped those trees like toothpicks. Glad to see you’re okay. I‘m surprised you have any cell service.

[Eskimo Joe]

Some video starting to come out of Perry, FL

 

 

 

[Eskimo Joe]

 

 

[GaWx]

 Some good news. Compared to the 5AM NHC forecast, it has weakened quite a bit more quickly than forecasted then. The 5AM had Idalia still with winds of 100 mph as of 2PM. But as of 1PM, winds were already down to 80.

 The 11AM had adjusted for this quicker weakening because it was already down to 90 then. This updated forecast had it weakening from 90 at 11AM to 75 at 8PM. But with it already down to 80 at 1PM, it appears that it is weakening even more quickly than the 11AM NHC forecast.

Edit: down to 75 at 2PM vs the 11AM still having 75 at 8PM

 

[MattPetrulli]

Curious to see how close this can get to Savannah, as it looks like the main circulation itself may go right over the city.

[NorthHillsWx]

Perry looked like a meat grinder this morning 

https://x.com/icyclone/status/1696922050454028731?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

[Stormsfury]

16 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 Some good news. Compared to the 5AM NHC forecast, it has weakened quite a bit more quickly than forecasted then. The 5AM had Idalia still with winds of 100 mph as of 2PM. But as of 1PM, winds were already down to 80.

 The 11AM had adjusted for this quicker weakening because it was already down to 90 then. This updated forecast had it weakening from 90 at 11AM to 75 at 8PM. But with it already down to 80 at 1PM, it appears that it is weakening even more quickly than the 11AM NHC forecast.

 

The ERC just before landfall had a hand in a quicker spin down than first anticipated, and not the feared to be rapidly deepening thru landfall scenario. 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

21 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said:

Curious to see how close this can get to Savannah, as it looks like the main circulation itself may go right over the city.

Gonna go right over the my old stomping grounds of Paris Island.

[GaWx]

1 hour ago, MattPetrulli said:

Curious to see how close this can get to Savannah, as it looks like the main circulation itself may go right over the city.

 Hopefully not. It appears that the center may be tracking inland of Savannah a decent amount, which would keep winds down somewhat vs how high they might have otherwise been. Combined with the quicker weakening vs NHC forecasts that I just posted about, that combination would be good news to keep winds down from how high it earlier appeared winds might get. I earlier thought outages would be widespread along with numerous trees down throughout the area. That may still end up being the case as winds are picking up and will get strong by late afternoon. But perhaps it won't be as bad as earlier feared.

[MattPetrulli]

See you guys here on page 60 of the thread next week

[marsman]

Heard from my family in Valdosta - text only, FaceTime and voice calls aren't going through. Homes are destroyed.

[Stormsfury]

47 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 Hopefully not. It appears that the center may be tracking inland of Savannah a decent amount, which would keep winds down somewhat vs how high they might have otherwise been. Combined with the quicker weakening vs NHC forecasts that I just posted about, that combination would be good news to keep winds down from how high it earlier appeared winds might get. I earlier thought outages would be widespread along with numerous trees down throughout the area. That may still end up being the case as winds are picking up and will get strong by late afternoon. But perhaps it won't be as bad as earlier feared.

At 2 PM strongest winds I saw came from St Simon's, GA.. S 33 gust to 59!

[accountingdawg2012]

1 minute ago, Stormsfury said:

At 2 PM strongest winds I saw came from St Simon's, GA.. S 33 gust to 59!

Almost 25% of the island appears to be without power. There's about 15K that live there and outages are already over 3200.

[djtwayne]

27 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said:

See you guys here on page 60 of the thread next week

I saw this trend too, it looks like she goes out into the Atlantic, gets herself back together and comes back for more

[WEATHER53]

The sweeping out to sea cold front is still inNW PA.  Could this allow for a more north and west move before abruptly turning east?

[Stormsfury]

29 minutes ago, accountingdawg2012 said:

Almost 25% of the island appears to be without power. There's about 15K that live there and outages are already over 3200.

That's crazy... 3pm St Simon's GA S 26 gusts to 66!

Regional Weather Roundup
National Weather Service Charleston SC
300 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2023

NOTE: "fair" indicates few or no clouds below 12,000 feet with no
significant weather and/or obstructions to visibility.

Not all stations are quality controlled. Use data with caution,
especially dewpoint observations.

SCZ027-030-031-034>040-042>050-302000-
...Southeast South Carolina...

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
N Charleston   LGT RAIN  78  76  93 E23G29    29.58F FOG
Waterfront Prk   N/A     79  77  94 E17       29.46F
Mount Pleasant HVY RAIN  79  79 100 E10G21    29.61F VSB<1/4
Johns Island   CLOUDY    81  81 100 SE17G25   29.58F FOG     HX  91
Pinopolis        N/A     77  75  94 E8G15       N/A
Moncks Corner  HVY RAIN  75  73  94 E8        29.64F
Summerville    HVY RAIN  77  75  94 NE9       29.59F FOG
Beaufort MCAS  CLOUDY    82  80  94 SE13G25   29.48F HX  94
Beaufort Arpt    N/A     81  77  89 SE14G26   29.49F
Hilton Head Is NOT AVBL
Walterboro     RAIN      75  75 100 E16G31    29.56F
Allendale      LGT RAIN  75  75 100 E8G18     29.53F FOG

...Southern Midlands and Pee Dee...

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Georgetown     HVY RAIN  73  73 100 E3        29.68F VSB 1/4
Kingstree      LGT RAIN  77  73  88 E6        29.70F
Orangeburg     RAIN      75  75 100 NE13G22   29.62F FOG
Barnwell       HVY RAIN  75  75 100 NE21G26   29.58F VSB 3/4
Aiken          HVY RAIN  74  72  94 NE21G30   29.66F FOG
Manning        LGT RAIN  73  73 100 MISG      29.68F
Columbia       RAIN      77  76  96 NE12G20   29.68F FOG
Sumter         HVY RAIN  77  76  95 NE12      29.69F VSB 1
Florence       RAIN      81  78  91 NE12      29.72F FOG
Myrtle Beach   LGT RAIN  78  78 100 VRB7      29.72F
N Myrtle Beach LGT RAIN  77  75  93 E6        29.73F

$$

GAZ063-065-086>088-099>101-113>116-118-119-134>141-150-302000-
...Southeast Georgia...

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Savannah Arpt  LGT RAIN  81  77  88 SE28G40   29.37F FOG
Hunter AAF     LGT RAIN  81  66  59 SE22G38   29.36F
Fort Stewart   CLOUDY    81  77  89 SE29G36   29.22F
Statesboro     HVY RAIN  76  73  93 NE12G18   29.42F
Sylvania       RAIN      76  76  98 NE9G17    29.47F
Claxton        HVY RAIN  80  78  95 E20G31    29.32F VSB 1/2
Millen         RAIN      74  73  95 N13G22    29.53F FOG
Metter         HVY RAIN N/A N/A N/A NE16G24   29.36F VSB 1
Reidsville     HVY RAIN  77 N/A N/A N15G26    29.27F VSB 3/4

...CSRA, Central and far Southeast Georgia...

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Thomson        RAIN      74  72  92 NE17      29.65F FOG
Augusta-Bush   HVY RAIN  73  72  96 NE21G29   29.59F VSB 1
Augusta-Daniel HVY RAIN  74  72  93 NE13G23   29.64F VSB 1
Swainsboro     HVY RAIN N/A N/A N/A N15G29    29.48F
Vidalia        HVY RAIN  73  73 100 N16G30    29.37F
Eastman        RAIN      72  72 100 N17G25    29.49F
Hazlehurst     HVY RAIN  73  72  95 N28G41    29.26F
Alma           LGT RAIN  78  77  96 N15G28    29.11F
Waycross       CLOUDY    79  79 100 W23G33    29.13R
Jesup          NOT AVBL
Baxley         HVY RAIN N/A N/A N/A NE17G25   29.14F
Brunswick      NOT AVBL
Saint Simons   CLOUDY    86  76  71 S26G66    29.32F HX  96

[Stormsfury]

Tornado in Goose Creek from a band.  Happened on St James Ave near US52.  This is less than a mile from where I'm at.

https://widgets.burst.com/fd2cb8d6

 

[nwohweather]

Tornado in Goose Creek from a band.  Happened on St James Ave near US52.  This is less than a mile from where I'm at.
https://widgets.burst.com/fd2cb8d6
 

Looks like it’s been a rough day for my old stomping grounds

[gtg947h]

Downgraded to a tropical storm now (1700 EDT advisory)

[GaWx]

15 minutes ago, gtg947h said:

Downgraded to a tropical storm now (1700 EDT advisory)

 Good to see although not surprising based on earlier trends. But right when downgrade occurred and after blinking on and off many times, I lost power (~20 min ago).

 I had a gust in the low 40s ~2 hours ago and a similar one recently, but nothing too bad so far. And it is moving more quickly than forecasted. As of 5PM NHC update, it was already due W of SAV (40 miles W) at 32.2N, 81.7W. That's nearly 3 hours ahead of what the 11AM NHC had as it had it due W of SAV not til 8PM (32.4N, 81.1W).

[StantonParkHoya]

Man this place died off after landfall

[GaWx]

20 minutes ago, gtg947h said:

Downgraded to a tropical storm now (1700 EDT advisory)

 So, the downgrade is 9 hours ahead of what the 5AM advisory had and 4+ hours ahead of what the 11AM advisory had.

[Normandy]

The only mildly interesting thing to watch is if Idalia gets off the coast earlier and / or unexpectedly depeens.  Other than that the main show ended and everyone is decompressing I’m sure.

[cptcatz]

10 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Man this place died off after landfall

 

6 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said:

Not much to talk about 

Head back to the 2023 thread, got another MDR system coming in the models. 

[the_other_guy]

14 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Man this place died off after landfall

Because the catastrophic storm that shut down the whole west coast of Florida was a relatively small, fast mover that hit rural swampland. I imagine GA and SC get it worse

[Stormsfury]

28 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

Looks like it’s been a rough day for my old stomping grounds

Been off and on rapidly moving heavy bands, wasn't aware a spin up occurred just a mile away until it was all over the news.  It was tornado warned though.  

Quite an interesting day, despite not much wind so far but that'll change within the couple hours or so

[eaglesin2011]

I be willing to bet it turns back into a hurricane at some point even if short lived… once it gets off the coast.. 

20 minutes ago, Normandy said:

The only mildly interesting thing to watch is if Idalia gets off the coast earlier and / or unexpectedly depeens.  Other than that the main show ended and everyone is decompressing I’m sure.