Eskimo Joe Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 13 minutes ago, mob1 said: Landfall location and angle of approach look pretty bad for Cedar Key. They were told to leave and bucked the advice. Oh well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 4 minutes ago, mob1 said: Strongest velocities look to be just east of Perry. That’s a an issue with the radar beam angle I think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wendy Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is going to be one of the worst canes in history for Georgia IMO...perhaps the worst. If there are any surprises it'll be the extent of devastation in Georgia 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Family is reporting flooding in Valdosta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Michael crushed parts of SW GA. It won’t be as intense as that, but the path of this and the slower weakening will help extend the damages 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: If there are any surprises it'll be the extent of devastation in Georgia Big concern for next few hours is does Valdosta get into the NW side of the core/remains of the eyewall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 48 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is going to be one of the worst canes in history for Georgia IMO...perhaps the worst. It likely will be THE worst in recorded history for Valdosta and nearby areas in a SW to NE corridor. Whereas it won't be the worst on record closer to the GA coast for wind, rain, or surge, it could very well end up being one of the worst on record there for winds for a storm coming up over land from the Gulf. That's why I'm concerned about what's to come here, especially ~3PM through 10PM. At a minimum, I expect to lose power for an extended period. I'm concerned about large branches and possibly whole trees coming down. Edit: I'm also concerned about isolated tornadoes from the outer feeder bands as they come ashore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, wendy said: Interesting. I wonder where they were. Maybe those high end velocities didn’t mix down efficiently bc radar showed 130+ mph in the NE eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Still very vigorous convention in NW eyewall on IR and Radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Perry, FL ASOS gusted to M82 mph. Looks like it might be having power issues. Not sending consistent METARs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 13 minutes ago, wendy said: Look at all of those palm fronds on the road! Pretty lame winds for the eyewall of a Cat 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Whats left of the eye is headed right for the Valdosta GA area. Bad situation for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 NDBC advised a couple of the C-MAN stations had the anemometers fail as Idalia made landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I was thinking some of the surge forecast was gonna be a little off, but with high tide still coming up and a constant onshore flow, I can see at least someone verifying 10-12+. My guess would be Horseshoe Beach . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 AWOS station KFPY Bucell Junction reported a gust of 85 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Look at all of those palm fronds on the road! Pretty lame winds for the eyewall of a Cat 3 They were too far SE, and driving like grandma to get to the eye. Then they got there and were like "we are in the eye"!! Yeah, where nothing interesting is happening. Perry was the place to be- raked by the intact NW eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Everything good in Valdosta? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 TWC has a live camera in Perry. Looks like the end of days there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Everything good in Valdosta? I have family in NW Valdosta, they're reporting flooding and some road closures. They still have power, but are in a newer development and not really in a rural area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: Charley could be a similar analog (though that storm was slightly stronger) as to what this wind damage corridor will look like. Extreme wind damage to very little just a few miles away I think Orlando would disagree with that, unless you're talking homes demolished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicious1990 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Yikes. Catastrophic looking surge in horseshoe beach.Surge 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Wind reports seem very underwhelming for a high end cat 3 landfall. I guess part of that could be less populated area it's hitting. I haven't seen anything sustained hurricane wind reports or any gusts of major hurricane force. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Madison FL is next in line for the northern eyewall, but it looks like velocity scans are weakening a bit (obviously expected as it moves inland). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Wind reports seem very underwhelming for a high end cat 3 landfall. I guess part of that could be less populated area it's hitting. I haven't seen anything sustained hurricane wind reports or any gusts of major hurricane force. I think less populated and confined to a small area. Very small core with Idalia. Not to mention rather meh eastern half. Strong winds confined to tight area on western side. No obs available on the immediate coast where landfall took place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/freddy.mckinney.html 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 16 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Wind reports seem very underwhelming for a high end cat 3 landfall. I guess part of that could be less populated area it's hitting. I haven't seen anything sustained hurricane wind reports or any gusts of major hurricane force. If not there, Perry has gotten close. CNN has been showing major live oak tree damage, including whole trees being knocked down. Some of these huge trees are likely at least several hundred years old. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wendy Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/freddy.mckinney.html Someone found some winds. Pretty impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Madison, Fl getting crushed right now in northern eye wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Wind reports seem very underwhelming for a high end cat 3 landfall. I guess part of that could be less populated area it's hitting. I haven't seen anything sustained hurricane wind reports or any gusts of major hurricane force. Entirely due to a tiny core of winds (roughly 15 miles diameter of maximum winds with the eroding inner eyewall) and it hitting a WMA instead of a town. Inland gusts rarely reach MH strength even in the worst storms. IDA in particular was able to generate gusts to MH strength well inland but that’s bc the topography of that area is basically an inland sea especially with surge. I have no doubt MH+ winds occurred in a small area near the coast where this thing came ashore. I think we’ll see gusts to 100+ as it starts impacting a few more populated areas and the wind field expands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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