Modfan2 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like where guidance has it 36 hrs ago. Does this track a little closer to Jacksonville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Western wall looks like a beast 8am update should be a landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Lightning here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I think we have landfall I agree. The center of the eye looks to be onshore now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 LIghtning in the northern eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I think we have landfall Yep, would expect an update from TPC very soon. Inland wind damage in a narrow swath is going to be severe. I guess we just witnessed history. First ever major in recorded history to enter Appalachee Bay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Strikes just south of Perry FL. Going to get rough very soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 7 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Does this track a little closer to Jacksonville? Will be in SE GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I figured it would end up east of where yesterday's guidance had it when I published. Just wish I had stuck with 125mph and not bumped to 135mph. I overshot intensity a bit. Was thinking more in the NW part of the county. Definitely had that jog east in guidance. Good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Strikes just south of Perry FL. Going to get rough very soon Such an odd radar presentation. Completely open on southeast side. That western and northwestern side is a beast. Perry going to take a hard hit over the next 2 hours. Hope the poster from Perry can stay with us for details as long as power / cell towers hold up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, MANDA said: Such an odd radar presentation. Completely open on southeast side. That western and northwestern side is a beast. Perry going to take a hard hit over the next 2 hours. Look at Tampa radar. I’m not sure it was open on SE side 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Keaton Beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: Look at Tampa radar. I’m not sure it was open on SE side Sorry, you are right. Not as much as Tallahassee suggested anyway. Not as open but still much less impressive than western semicircle. It has pretty much been that way at least off and on for the last 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Landfall location and angle of approach look pretty bad for Cedar Key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 This is going to be one of the worst canes in history for Georgia IMO...perhaps the worst. 1 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Perry in the center of the NW eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, mob1 said: Landfall location and angle of approach look pretty bad for Cedar Key. Water levels are over 10' there now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Radar returns of 60.5 dBZ showing up near Perry!!!! Wow that’s high for a TC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Water levels are over 10' there now 6.21’ confirmed by Jim Cantore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is going to be one of the worst canes in history for Georgia IMO...perhaps the worst. I agree, going to be bad. For sure in the top 5, especially for inland locations. Fast, or at least brisk forward motion over rather flat/marshy terrain at landfall will blunt dramatic reduction in the wind field for a while and it will tend to spread out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Radar returns of 60.5 dBZ showing up near Perry!!!! Wow that’s high for a TC Big blowup in convection in the NW eyewall as well. Impressive convection as the storm moves inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 23 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Does this track a little closer to Jacksonville? It jogged east and the models are showing an east jog this morning. Will pass closer to Jax than thought yesterday. Power has been flickering this morning already in Avondale. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 6 hours ago, GaWx said: -0Z CMC as expected in correction mode shifted vs the 12Z to the right significantly (~50 miles) to far NW Taylor County -0Z ICON vs 18Z shifted very slightly left (~5 miles) to SE Taylor County -0Z GFS vs 18Z shifted left 15 miles into far NW Taylor County -0Z UKMET about same as 18Z in south central Taylor County -0Z Euro vs 12Z shifted 20 miles right to C Taylor County *Edited to add Euro With a Keaton Beach landfall (south central Taylor County), the winners from the 0Z runs are the UKMET and ICON (just about perfect). The Euro was ~10 miles too far left/NW. The GFS and CMC were ~30 miles too far left/NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Radar from Moody AFB Georgia. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Live video from Perry is pretty intense. Big live oaks breaking and snapping. Strengthening of the eye wall there also 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Strongest velocities look to be just east of Perry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, mob1 said: Strongest velocities look to be just east of Perry. And they’re intense, 125-130mph it looks like. Valdosta looks to catch a piece of this NW eye wall on the current trajectory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, SolidIcewx said: Live video from Perry is pretty intense. Big live oaks breaking and snapping. Strengthening of the eye wall there also Link by chance to take a look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, DDweatherman said: Link by chance to take a look? Watched Reynolds Wolf from TWC. Right as a big gust was blowing through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now