SchaumburgStormer Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 She’s a beaut Clark 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Appearing highly likely that winds are roughly 130mph at the surface in the east quad of the eyewall. Seen a few spikes in excess of 140mph, so it’s plausible Idalia is now a Category 4. Velocities are spiking as the core is tightening up. Frictional-induced RI looks to be occurring. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Most 0z models including HAFS had Idalia leveling off right about now until landfall. Let see what she does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Certainly looks like she's still strengthening. Big flare ups and hot towers forming in her western quadrant right now. Looks like the western eye wall is about to become well formed as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Satellite would make you think it's still rapidly strengthening but pressures seem to be more steady according to recon. I'm surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Such an interesting appearance. Extrapolated pressure down to 941.5mb on that pass. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Brand new dropsonde says 944 mb with 29 kt wind, so 941-942 mb. I mentioned a little while ago that some dry air got wrapped into the outer core. One thing that did was eliminate the competition from outer core bands, so all the energy is going into the inner eyewall. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Such an interesting appearance. Extrapolated pressure down to 941.5mb on that pass. Well retract my last statement. Lol. That makes more sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Such an interesting appearance. Extrapolated pressure down to 941.5mb on that pass. Yeah, down 4mb in last 90 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I've heard people arguing about whether there's dry air of if it's just the radar, anyone got a clear answer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: I've heard people arguing about whether there's dry air of if it's just the radar, anyone got a clear answer? Radar, no indication of dry air 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Radar imagery now is more textbook of a potent ring around the eye wall characteristic of the higher end majors. Should expect to see influence from the entrance region of the jet as it nears the coastline along with some frictional effects to tighten this small core even further 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Looks like recon is going to do one more pass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just look at the deep ring of convection around the center. Very impressive. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, Nibor said: Looks like recon is going to do one more pass? They've only been in the air for a few hours and they are very close to home, so I would think they'll stay in the storm for several more passes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 After holding steady most of the evening, the pressure here has dropped about 4mb in the last hour. Not very breezy. I'm in Perry, FL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Just look at the deep ring of convection around the center. Very impressive. Wow….textbook and classic feature of high-end canes. Idalia still has a high ceiling for intensity through landfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Looks like latest recon pass has 123kt FL wind and SFMR of 116kt. Idalia is most definitely a Category 4, 130mph cane. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Look at that core! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Yeah this is a classic textbook example of a hurricane that featured steep pressure falls and winds lagged, took several hours to catch up. Unfortunately, the timing is not great as winds are catching up as Idalia sets up for a landfall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 SUMMARY OF 400 AM EDT...0800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.9N 84.1W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM WSW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...27 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES Up to 125 mph. Not quite a Cat 4 yet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, WxSynopsisDavid said: Category 4 130mph with 3am update 4am advisory says 125mph but splitting hairs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 They'll probs go Cat 4 at 5 am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 4 minutes ago, LovintheWhiteFluff said: 4am advisory says 125mph but splitting hairs. I deleted the post, I was reading too fast. I need some sleep lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: I deleted the post, I was reading too fast. I need some sleep lol. You should have kept it on the back burner for the 5 am update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I don’t think I’m staying awake for that lol. Reason I got antsy and cross eyed, with the quickness I fired that post out. Really hoping Idalia would be a Cat 4, now the suspense and intrigue is killing me. Curious to see just how much more Idalia can go. With this jet streak setting up shop, it could supply one last rapid intensification phase on landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 A little pocket of 31.5-32.5C water temps. Basically 90 degree water temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 New burst of lightning in the eyewall as more convection fires 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 940.1mb extrapolated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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