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Hurricane Idalia


hlcater
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5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Entirely due to a tiny core of winds (roughly 15 miles diameter of maximum winds with the eroding inner eyewall) and it hitting a WMA instead of a town. Inland gusts rarely reach MH strength even in the worst storms. IDA in particular was able to generate gusts to MH strength well inland but that’s bc the topography of that area is basically an inland sea especially with surge. I have no doubt MH+ winds occurred in a small area near the coast where this thing came ashore. I think we’ll see gusts to 100+ as it starts impacting a few more populated areas and the wind field expands 

That and the strongest winds were probably missed by any real obs on the right side of the eye which is going with the motion of the storm. When a storm is moving this fast that makes a big difference. Perry actually ended up barely to the west of it.

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3 minutes ago, eyewall said:

That and the strongest winds were probably missed by any real obs on the right side of the eye which is going with the motion of the storm. When a storm is moving this fast that makes a big difference. Perry actually ended up barely to the west of it.

Valdosta looks to be a test to see what these winds are like in a more concentrated population center. 

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Hurricane Idalia Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102023
900 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE OCCURING ALONG THE COAST OF THE 
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND DAMAGING WINDS SPREADING INLAND OVER 
NORTHERN FLORIDA...
...900 AM POSITION UPDATE...

NOAA radar data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are 
now near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated 
minimum pressure based on surface observations is 957 mb (28.26 
inches). 

An automated weather station at Perry Airport recently reported a 
sustained wind of 62 mph (100 km/h) with a gust to 85 mph (137 
km/h) within the past hour.

A Florida Coastal Monitoring Program tower located near Perry,
Florida, recently reported a wind gust of 81 mph (130 km/h). 

A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge at Cedar Key, Florida, 
recently reported a water level of 6.8 feet above mean higher high 
water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area
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1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is going to be one of the worst canes in history for Georgia IMO...perhaps the worst.

Michael crushed extreme SW GA. Both of my parents' families are from Seminole County, and they got 110+ MPH winds out of Michael, with corresponding damage.

Also, even though it's not a hurricane, it would take A LOT to overtake the damage caused by TS Alberto in 1994. That one made landfall at Destin, tracked across AL and GA and parked in north GA for days, causing catastrophic flooding downstream in SW GA.

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Just now, jpljr77 said:

Michael crushed extreme SW GA. Both of my parents' families are from Seminole County, and they got 110+ MPH winds out of Michael, with corresponding damage.

Also, even though it's not a hurricane, it would take A LOT to overtake the damage caused by TS Alberto in 1994. That one made landfall at Destin, tracked across AL and GA and parked in north GA for days, causing catastrophic flooding downstream in SW GA.

Yes, I thought of that one when I typed that. I should have specified wind.

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Hurricane Idalia Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102023
1000 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

...DAMAGING WINDS SPREADING INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA...
...1000 AM POSITION UPDATE...

NOAA radar data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are 
now near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated 
minimum pressure based on surface observations is 964 mb (28.47 
inches). 

A sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) with a wind gust to 63 mph 
(102 km/h) was recently reported at the airport in Valdosta, 
Georgia.

An unofficial automated observing site at Madison High School in 
Madison, Florida, reported a wind gust to 67 mph (108 km/h). 


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 83.3W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM ENE OF MADISON FLORIDA
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM S OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES
 
$$
Forecaster Brown/Stevenson

 

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