WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I am guessing Idalia has peaks in terms of winds and pressure based on the outer wind max. Don't think the wind field expanding is necessarily a good thing as far as inland wind impacts though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Its definitely peaked from a pressure standpoint and likely wind too. At least based on satellite and radar presentation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Eye looks to be recovering from whatever that was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 And just like that it's closed off again lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Nw eyewall is wicked. So much lightning and intense precip returns. To the east not so much. Definitely agree that Idalia has likely peaked. Should either hold steady till landfall or maybe slightly weaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Eye looks worse on KTLH radar than on KVAX radar. I think we are getting some radar occlusion from that intense convection in the NW eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Frictional convergence helping it a bit. Seeing towers go up on IR too. Windfield is massively unimpressive I am surprised at the lack of tropical storm condition reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 On 8/30/2023 at 9:55 AM, MattPetrulli said: Frictional convergence helping it a bit. Seeing towers go up on IR too. Windfield is massively unimpressive I am surprised at the lack of tropical storm condition reports. Expand Probs cause of the moat SE of the eye, a lot of the tropical storm conditions will be behind the center Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Expected a lot more on land at least, especially since we're so close to the eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 ...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION THIS MORNING... ...6 AM POSITION UPDATE... Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Idalia has maximum sustained winds of 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum pressure indicated by Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 942 mb (27.82 inches). Within the past hour, a C-MAN station on Cedar Key measured sustained winds of 41 mph (66 km/h), with a gust to 47 mph (76 km/h), and a Weatherflow station at Apalachee Bay measured a sustained wind of 41 mph (66 km/h), with a gust to 51 mph (83 km/h). SUMMARY OF 600 AM EDT...1000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.3N 83.9W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WNW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SSE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...27 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 On 8/30/2023 at 9:55 AM, MattPetrulli said: Frictional convergence helping it a bit. Seeing towers go up on IR too. Windfield is massively unimpressive I am surprised at the lack of tropical storm condition reports. Expand This is not a large system. Strong winds will be confined to eyewall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 If I was chasing this I would definitely want to be on nw side for this one because of lack of precip on e to se side. Going to be harder to get those good hurricane winds aloft without precip to mix it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 On 8/30/2023 at 9:59 AM, MattPetrulli said: Expected a lot more on land at least, especially since we're so close to the eyewall. Expand Not many reporting stations in the landfall area though. Although even Perry is only gusting to 35 mph last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 The eastern eyewall is starting to look healthier again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 On 8/30/2023 at 10:01 AM, MattPetrulli said: ...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION THIS MORNING... ...6 AM POSITION UPDATE... Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Idalia has maximum sustained winds of 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum pressure indicated by Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 942 mb (27.82 inches). Within the past hour, a C-MAN station on Cedar Key measured sustained winds of 41 mph (66 km/h), with a gust to 47 mph (76 km/h), and a Weatherflow station at Apalachee Bay measured a sustained wind of 41 mph (66 km/h), with a gust to 51 mph (83 km/h). SUMMARY OF 600 AM EDT...1000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.3N 83.9W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WNW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SSE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...27 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES Expand Pressure coming up. Not surprising. Looks ragged on satellite. Curious if we will see it drop below cat 4 before landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Band setting up down south may do the dirty work with pushing in the surge and delivering TS-hurricane conditions outside of the inner eyewall. Setting up at a bad angle too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 On 8/30/2023 at 10:02 AM, dan11295 said: Not many reporting stations in the landfall area though. Although even Perry is only gusting to 35 mph last hour. Expand Not terribly windy here yet. Pressure falling steadily though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 On 8/30/2023 at 10:03 AM, StormChaser4Life said: Pressure coming up. Not surprising. Looks ragged on satellite. Curious if we will see it drop below cat 4 before landfall. Expand Landfall is 2-3hrs away. They'll keep it at 130mph until then. This is a higher end 3 if we're being honest and a relatively small system. Florida is fortunate it's hitting a remote location too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 On 8/30/2023 at 10:07 AM, SnoSki14 said: Landfall is 2-3hrs away. They'll keep it at 130mph until then. This is a higher end 3 if we're being honest and a relatively small system. Florida is fortunate it's hitting a remote location too. Expand It was def Cat 4 but like an hour and a half before they did the 5 am advisory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Given its forward speed and intense convective dynamics I do think inland impacts will be a lot worse than people expect all the way up to GA/SC It doesn't help that it's almost hugging the SE coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 excessive wind warning issued for horse shoe beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I am sure they operationally keep it a 4, since landfall is less than 2 hours away this point. Probably bring it down a bit at landfall in the TCR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Man this thing is really trying to take a right turn. Steinhatchee may still be in the game for an eye passage at this rate. Tallahassee could really be dodging a bullet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 The surge and flooding is going to be the real story of this storm for a larger area then the wind … Even when it gets up to SC https://waterdata.usgs.gov/fl/nwis/rt https://waterdata.usgs.gov/sc/nwis/rt https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8727520 https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/map/index.html?region=Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Se eyewall completely gone on radar again. Nw side still fierce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Definite weakening trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Watching several chasers live right now, situation continues to get worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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