August Discobs 2023

[EastCoast NPZ]

Picked up .01" in that whopper of a split/skip.  Add that to the .10" DOA storm from Friday night, that brings Aug to .51".  With no chance again until Thursday - at the earliest, this truly is looking worse than July.

June - 2.25"

July - 1.41"

Aug - .51"

[coolio]

Someone done goofed at the SPC. There was not a Severe T'storm warning for this afternoon. Wha happened?

Picked up 1.43" in about 45 mins.

[Eskimo Joe]

10 minutes ago, 87storms said:

We have a Richmond/Raleigh climate now, so that wouldn’t surprise me.

[WinterFire]

9 hours ago, yoda said:

Looks like upper 90s to 100 degrees returns next week per morning AFD from LWX 

For the end of the week into next weekend, the pattern turns hotter
and dry. A very strong 600 dm upper-level ridge takes shape over the
Midwest and Great Lakes regions during this time. It actually
appears as though the air mass will be much drier with this bout of
heat with the Bermuda High not in place this go around as a cold
front pushes through on Friday. Friday and Saturday will be closer
to climo, with upper 80s to low 90s expected. However, by Sunday
into early next week, expect temperatures to climb into the upper
90s.

FWIW, that was pretty quickly removed in the next update. The big heat looks to stay focused in the Midwest, as it has been. But the cool-down the long range GFS wants to bring us…

 

 

 

 

…is definitely not going to happen, but fun to look at

[Herb@MAWS]

First minor rain+thunder cell gave 0.33" IMBY/Columbia. No complaints here. 

[SnowtoRain]

0.50" not severe

[GramaxRefugee]

0.60" from  a rather mild T- storm 

[BlizzardNole]

Hardly anything here and now tonight is looking dry.  Oh well sprinklers running tomorrow morning on schedule

[87storms]

Looks like around 0.15" fell from the earlier round here.  Radar doesn't look too inspiring, but it's an airmass that's capable of a popup cell, so we'll see.

[WEATHER53]

3 hours ago, WinterFire said:

FWIW, that was pretty quickly removed in the next update. The big heat looks to stay focused in the Midwest, as it has been. But the cool-down the long range GFS wants to bring us…

 

 

 

 

…is definitely not going to happen, but fun to look at

More than one trying to bring high heat for last 1/3 of August but that generally only happens in summers that have already featured impressive heat streaks and very hot temps

That's not this year. 

 

[ThePhotoGuy]

Some distant thunder with the earlier storm. No wind. Rain total: 0.11.

Beautiful sunset though!

[87storms]

Looks like around 0.15" fell from the earlier round here.  Radar doesn't look too inspiring, but it's an airmass that's capable of a popup cell, so we'll see.

Extremely brief, random imby pop up cell in progress. The forces against rain here are real lol.

[Jrlg1181]

6 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Picked up .01" in that whopper of a split/skip.  Add that to the .10" DOA storm from Friday night, that brings Aug to .51".  With no chance again until Thursday - at the earliest, this truly is looking worse than July.

June - 2.25"

July - 1.41"

Aug - .51"

Guess we are in a futility competition this month ,  up to 0.51 myself for the month , 2.73 for July ... Only late June is saving my gauge from being on pace for only about 20 or so  inches for the year..  As it stands at the middle of August I am on pace for 27.45

[BlizzardNole]

I've  never seen a rainfall disparity as extreme as this year.  The same places get it over and over while others are dry as a bone.  Some spots got more rain in an hour yesterday than you two got in the last two months.  The drought is a little less severe here than your locations but I got nothing out of yesterday/last night from the high chance and heavy rain wording, again.  Now there is no chance for any rain for a very long time to come

[mattie g]

Nearest CoCoRaHs recorded 2.26" from yesterday's storm here in Burke. Definitely makes sense.

[pazzo83]

84/77 at DCA at 11am.  Gross.

[87storms]

6 hours ago, BlizzardNole said:

I've  never seen a rainfall disparity as extreme as this year.  The same places get it over and over while others are dry as a bone.  Some spots got more rain in an hour yesterday than you two got in the last two months.  The drought is a little less severe here than your locations but I got nothing out of yesterday/last night from the high chance and heavy rain wording, again.  Now there is no chance for any rain for a very long time to come

My amateur take is that it's been a combo of the jet stream being too far north (just look at the track of the low pressure centers which typically end up into the GL/Northeast) and an unfavorable Atlantic (lack of a sustained Bermuda High setup...instead we get precip scraps from storms heading way north followed by a NW flow for several days).  I'm mostly generalizing, but assuming the general pattern stays the same I think it'll take the jet sagging south as we get into cool season for the downsloping desert areas to perform better and/or some kind of tropical remnants.

[Eskimo Joe]

Both Euro and GFS pumping rhe Midwest ridge. Hard to believe we escape without a burp or two of heat.

[Jrlg1181]

Once again radar is showing rain here but nothing is falling , this isn't winter - dealing with dry air its just not meant to be right now I reckon.. I'm sure this line will intensify to my east shortly... 

[BlizzardNole]

LOL not again.  If I had a buck every time I'm under a FF watch I could put it towards all the watering I'm doing

[EastCoast NPZ]

2 hours ago, 87storms said:

My amateur take is that it's been a combo of the jet stream being too far north (just look at the track of the low pressure centers which typically end up into the GL/Northeast) and an unfavorable Atlantic (lack of a sustained Bermuda High setup...instead we get precip scraps from storms heading way north followed by a NW flow for several days).  I'm mostly generalizing, but assuming the general pattern stays the same I think it'll take the jet sagging south as we get into cool season for the downsloping desert areas to perform better and/or some kind of tropical remnants.

What is maddening is that the pattern works fine 40 miles east and beyond.  An area that technically also downslopes. 

[Jrlg1181]

42 minutes ago, Jrlg1181 said:

Once again radar is showing rain here but nothing is falling , this isn't winter - dealing with dry air its just not meant to be right now I reckon.. I'm sure this line will intensify to my east shortly... 

Picked up 0.02 , monthly total up to 0.53 - much heavier rain about a half mile to my northeast along rt 340, descent amount of water in the roadside drainage ditches there...

[EastCoast NPZ]

13 minutes ago, Jrlg1181 said:

Picked up 0.02 , monthly total up to 0.53 - much heavier rain about a half mile to my northeast along rt 340, descent amount of water in the roadside drainage ditches there...

Your area sounds eerily similar to mine.   We are brothers in drought.

[Jrlg1181]

Meanwhile about 15 minutes to my east along i64 headed to work in charlottesville as expected its a blinding downpour easily a inch plus...same places over and over..

[Jrlg1181]

Just now, Jrlg1181 said:

Meanwhile about 15 minutes to my east along i64 headed to work in charlottesville as expected its a blinding downpour easily a inch plus...same places over and over..

 

[BlizzardNole]

Now my zone has a FF watch and a severe TS watch in effect.  Hilarious  

Edit:  just walked around the yard a bit and it is hard as rock.  I need to give up some of the plants I like next year and go with more drought tolerant stuff. 

Blazing sun and 88

[EastCoast NPZ]

1 hour ago, Jrlg1181 said:

 

I haven't seen rain even close to that intensity even once this year.

[Rhino16]

This summer is the summer of rain ruining the event for the next day. 
T: 89° Dp: 75°

[Kay]

little cell for our friends at LWX

overcsst and outflow breezes this aft now some blue sky

[NoVaWx]

Decent downpour moving through