WaryWarren Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Hawkeye'd: From Boom to Bust, One Forumite's Struggle to See Interesting Weather 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 The Euro has latched onto the possible heavy rain swath through IL/IN Friday night/Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 jelly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 lake breeze only enough for upper 70s, losing some punch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Another afternoon above 90 here in Minneapolis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 21 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: lake breeze only enough for upper 70s, losing some punch I noticed the dewpoint up with the lake breeze here yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 68/60 late this afternoon with a light northerly breeze. An absolute beautiful day... Love August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 7 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: lake breeze only enough for upper 70s, losing some punch Lots of red and orange on this map. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 A band of 4-8 inches of rain has fallen overnight from far northeast Missouri to Burlington, IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 9 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Lots of red and orange on this map. I was going to ask how the Great Lakes could be that far above normal when it hasn’t even been a hot summer but then I looked closely and realized they’re using 1971-2000 as a base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 Some models have been dumping good rain on southern Wisconsin as the main low moves through. Now, however, the short-range models are trending so far south that northeast IA, southern WI, and northern IL get nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 Overcast and 70’s. Perfect weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 Looks like a good soaking on the way tomorrow night/Monday morning. 2-3" not off the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 All models have now shifted well south with the main low Sunday through Monday. I'm actually beginning to get excited for a potential much-needed heavy rain event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 Just some shwrs with a rumble of thunder possible my way. 0.1" is probably it for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said: All models have now shifted well south with the main low Sunday through Monday. I'm actually beginning to get excited for a potential much-needed heavy rain event. This was looking like a nice soaking rain for msp a few days ago. Oh well, enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 31 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: This was looking like a nice soaking rain for msp a few days ago. Oh well, enjoy. Maybe, maybe not. The NAM has shifted all the rain into western and southern Iowa, with nothing here at all. I pray that is overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 Not often do NWS offices like IWX mention Winter in their AFDs during the summer. .LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday) Issued at 324 PM EDT Sat Aug 5 2023 The forecast 500-mb chart for Monday looks out of place for early August; rather fall or winter-like. The crawling MCV turned surface low is finally absorbed by a stronger trough digging in over the Illinois Sunday night. As a result, a sprawling upper-level low is overhead on Monday offering the chance for passing showers and cool conditions; highs in the mid-70s. Broad troughing aloft will keep temperatures a touch below normal through the week. A couple of disturbances bring the chance for showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday and again near Friday night. Early indications suggest we may be between systems next weekend, thus perhaps leaning toward a dry forecast. Monday afternoon:' The upcoming week looks to be a wash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 Ready 2b drowned 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted August 6, 2023 Share Posted August 6, 2023 That was entertaining. Usually getting tail end Charlie with a line of thunderstorms means Blustery conditions. Stayed calm here but boy did it rain. My tippy bucket is saying 1.46" with 1.40" of that happening in about 30 minutes. Was raining hard but straight down. Stood outside under an umbrella and watched the storm drains get backed up just from the volume of water coming down the street and the bank parking lot. The streets are semi-dry again but there for awhile the land-sharks were making wakes going to the grocery store. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 6, 2023 Share Posted August 6, 2023 We had 2.36" of much needed rain overnight. It looks like multiple chances to add on to that this week. We may finally break this abnormally dry weather for awhile. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted August 6, 2023 Share Posted August 6, 2023 Feels like autumn today. Spitting rain showers spinning in from the southeast and temperatures in the upper 60s. I love it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 6, 2023 Share Posted August 6, 2023 Exactly 1.00” of rain since midnight here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 0.26” event total rainfall here. Anything helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mhou Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Maybe 0.2 inches of rain at most here. Thought we would get a bit more but it was just showers throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Models sucked ass with this system. Just 0.15" here. Nice amount of rain in July so we don't need it that badly anyway at least. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 2 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Models sucked ass with this system. Just 0.15" here. Nice amount of rain in July so we don't need it that badly anyway at least. Got nothing today. Ended up with the first completely dry weekend since the middle of June. 9 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Feels like autumn today. Spitting rain showers spinning in from the southeast and temperatures in the upper 60s. I love it. Tomorrow looks to be our turn. Expecting to suck being stuck in the low to mid-70s the entire day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 2 hours ago, Spartman said: Tomorrow looks to be our turn. Expecting to suck being stuck in the low to mid-70s the entire day tomorrow. The high yesterday was 65 at midnight. It stayed between 61 and 64 all day during daylight hours with a thick cloud deck pretty much at ground level, along with drizzle and showers. Rained 0.6”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 9 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Models sucked ass with this system. Just 0.15" here. Nice amount of rain in July so we don't need it that badly anyway at least. Yes, they did. It tracked pretty far south and it was not the widespread heavy rain event that was expected. It did not help that there was no heat/instability in Iowa Sunday. I actually finished with a solid 0.72", better than most spots around here. It was a slow soak, too, so probably better than a quick 1+" from a thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Yeah the models definitely struggles with this system. Once it became 2 distinct waves instead of 1 bigger one the models seemed to be playing a lot of catch up to reality. Funny thing is the NAM the past 2 days seemed to perform the best for MBY. I did okay with nearly an 1". Like you say hawkeye it was a slow soak which is great for soil! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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