MANDA Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 .69" rainfall on the day so far. Expectations for severe over NNJ later today are low. Hoping for at least another slug of rainfall. Will be disappointed in anything less than .50". Looks like the usual SNJ on south and west type event....AGAIN. Don't need or want the severe just a little more rainfall and I'll call it a win. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 52 minutes ago, Allsnow said: We loose the instability after 5pm Yep that's what I said yesterday. I didn't like that the timing of the storms was for night after we lose the daytime heating. I wouldn't expect much tonight, but we'll keep an eye on it just in case. At least we got a decent soaking this morning. I got 0.62" here. Nice watering for the garden so I'm happy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yep that's what I said yesterday. I didn't like that the timing of the storms was for night after we lose the daytime heating. I wouldn't expect much tonight, but we'll keep an eye on it just in case. At least we got a decent soaking this morning. I got 0.62" here. Nice watering for the garden so I'm happy. Nam barely has anything for tonight and tomorrow for the NYC area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nam barely has anything for tonight and tomorrow for the NYC area. If it won't be severe do you want it to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Can’t recall an SPC moderate risk this far east before, I’m assuming though this definitely isn’t a first, right? Still that 10% tornado risk area and CAPE estimations in the DC area are pretty wild. Here at work in Hillside (due west of NYC) it’s been consistently cloudy with on and off light rain, humid but not especially warm. Unless the sun starts peaking out I’d imagine it keeps a lid on severe potential up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 76 / 71 and 0.59 in the bucket between 3Am and 450AM. Mainly cloudy but already breaks in the clouds and could see some sun and a push into the 80s before the next round of storms this afternoon and evening. Tue looks cloudy with isolated showers / storms before drying out Wed (8/10). Ridge anchored out west and trough into the NE. The Western Atlantic ridge builds west in phases, foirst by the end of this week and into the weekend butting up against the trouh and keeping the boundary front nearby with storms chances. By 8/14 / 8/15 the ridge is further expanding albeit not as strong as previous forecasts and likely more like late July where core of the ridge keep the strongest heat south but warm to hot , humid and likely storms chances as we push over into the second half of the month. The way beyond - looks like the trough is in / out before ridging into the east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 low level clouds burning off and sun into NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Leaves falling from trees already. Been so dry here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Sun trying to come out..73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, psv88 said: Leaves falling from trees already. Been so dry here. You will get nothing today. Better Chance tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: You will get nothing today. Better Chance tomorrow Huh? Been raining all morning on south shore. Are you referring to the activity tonight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 12 minutes ago, psv88 said: Leaves falling from trees already. Been so dry here. No leaves, just acorns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 14 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Huh? Been raining all morning on south shore. Are you referring to the activity tonight? Took his post as it wasn’t raining there today…radar looks decent for That area currently. The evening stuff won’t make it that far east imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Sunny and humid now in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Strong MCS signal from DC to near Philly. Also convection into NE PA, SE NY, and NW NJ. But everything weakens as it gets closer to NYC. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 I think this worked out really nicely for the area. Got a lot of nice rain this morning. Hopefully killed T storm chances for later. I can tell you on the aviation front we can’t take many more days with these severe lines coming through. It’s been a terrible summer operationally because of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 13 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: I think this worked out really nicely for the area. Got a lot of nice rain this morning. Hopefully killed T storm chances for later. I can tell you on the aviation front we can’t take many more days with these severe lines coming through. It’s been a terrible summer operationally because of them. July was a record month for US severe reports. But it seems like Europe had even more extreme severe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Just over an inch here, steamy now with the clouds clearing out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Looks like no change on the Spc midday update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 18 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Looks like no change on the Spc midday update Cloudy again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 1 hour ago, the_other_guy said: I think this worked out really nicely for the area. Got a lot of nice rain this morning. Hopefully killed T storm chances for later. I can tell you on the aviation front we can’t take many more days with these severe lines coming through. It’s been a terrible summer operationally because of them. Aviation twitter has been going crazy all summer. From FAA staffing issues to the weather, it's been a nightmare for passengers as well as flight crews this summer. I saw diversions over the SE yesterday due to T-storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Leaves falling from trees already. Been so dry here. no 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Took his post as it wasn’t raining there today…radar looks decent for That area currently. The evening stuff won’t make it that far east imo Rained earlier but lots of leaves coming down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 23 minutes ago, qg_omega said: no Yes. Come drive to my neighborhood today lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: Yes. Come drive to my neighborhood today lol. Might be from something else-havent you had a ton of rain going back a few weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Heavily overcast here and it has been all day. Even some drizzle at times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Partly sunny here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 .5” in west bab so far . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Storms west of the DC area look like something out the Great Plains. It’s going to be one hell of a day there. we are finally destabilizing here, so I wouldn’t totally write our are off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Overcast now, sky was mostly clear. I’m starting to really hate it here, I need a tropical storm or something, LI weather is so boring. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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