Stormlover74 Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 75 on Christmas eve. Bank on it 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 Beautiful outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 75 on Christmas eve. Bank on it Last year was brutally cold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 21 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Last year was brutally cold Our 3 day winter was 12/23-26 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Our 3 day winter was 12/23-26 We had a winter last year? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 Just now, Brian5671 said: Our 3 day winter was 12/23-26 Actually it was a 5 day winter lol... Feb 3rd and 4th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 22, 2023 Author Share Posted August 22, 2023 Take with a grain of salt but the 18z NAM is pretty wet for the area late week. Have to see if that continues as we move closer. Edit: The 18z GFS is also coming in a bit wetter just not to the extent of the NAM. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 8 hours ago, bluewave said: I am hoping we can have some blocking carryover into the winter like some of the other years with near record summer blocking. But it’s tough to know for sure until the winter actually starts. Our summer based on that chart should have been much cooler than what we're seeing It just goes to show how much we've warmed over the past decade. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 A prolonged stretch of cooler than normal readings will continue through at least the weekend. In the long-range, it remains more likely than not that ridges will wax and wane over the central and southern U.S., producing more heat in areas that have seen a lot of it this summer. If that idea holds, the Northeast will likely only see some short-lived periods of warmer or much warmer than normal temperatures through at least the first week or two of September. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around August 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.17°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased. The SOI was -14.02 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.452 today. On August 20 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.747 (RMM). The August 19-adjusted amplitude was 1.560 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 83% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.6° (1.5° below normal). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Our 3 day winter was 12/23-26 I remember too well, most of my town had no power for 3 days...including Christmas!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 AC on the fritz. Luckily it’s a cool night. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Our summer based on that chart should have been much cooler than what we're seeing It just goes to show how much we've warmed over the past decade. This should have been a 95 esque summer. Humidity in new climate ruined that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 " Dog Days Of August ?????????? " 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 75degs.(69/81) or Normal. Reached 84 here yesterday at 6pm. Today: 75-80, wind ne., p. cloudy, 69 tomorrow AM. 68*(50%RH) here at 7am. 74* at Noon. 78* at 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 Beautiful morning 68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 Fall like 50F here in the Berks this AM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 Beautiful Fall like morning … You know forky is enjoying his pumpkin spice coffee currently. 1 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 Are we done with 90s this year? Certainly seems possible for NYC at least. Would like to see a comparison of this year vs last 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 Amazing stretch of weather. It almost feels fall-like the last few mornings. Dare I say....hoodie weather? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 56 this AM for me down in the pines. Pretty amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 55, pleasant morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Are we done with 90s this year? Certainly seems possible for NYC at least. Would like to see a comparison of this year vs last Seeing as Boston has only had 4 days of 90s when their average is 15, I'd say we are in a similar boat. Our first below average JJA in some time if I am not mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 On track for only the 9th August at LGA with no 90° days. Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 2023 0 9 - 2008 0 0 - 1986 0 0 - 1982 0 0 - 1972 0 0 - 1967 0 0 - 1963 0 0 - 1950 0 0 - 1946 0 0 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 1 hour ago, kat5hurricane said: Amazing stretch of weather. It almost feels fall-like the last few mornings. Dare I say....hoodie weather? I turned around as I walked out the door and went back in to grab a light fleece. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 2 hours ago, gravitylover said: I turned around as I walked out the door and went back in to grab a light fleece. Is this what you rock in the middle of winter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Are we done with 90s this year? Certainly seems possible for NYC at least. Would like to see a comparison of this year vs last Always the chance for a rogue hot September day.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: Beautiful Fall like morning … You know forky is enjoying his pumpkin spice coffee currently. he's even given up posting day 15 GFS wishcast maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 27 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: he's even given up posting day 15 GFS wishcast maps... He's moved on to posting 90 day+ maps for the winter torch that's incoming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 60 this morning. Glorious 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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