August 2023

[nycwinter]

counting down the end of summer..the end of summer for me starts sept 1..

[BucksCO_PA]

13 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

counting down the end of summer..the end of summer for me starts sept 1..

Since 2010 Sept has been much more summer like as opposed to the traditional start of fall. Recently Sept has been great month to hit the S. Jersey beaches, ocean water in the 70's & plenty of days in the 80's even late in the month. 

My personal clock doesn't hit fall until OCT 1st.

[SACRUS]

Records

 

Highs:

 

EWR 102 (1949)
NYC: 102 (1944)
LGA:   99  (1949)


Lows:

 

EWR: 56 (1972)
NYC: 56 (1962)
LGA: 57 (1962)

Historical:

 

1940 - A major hurricane struck Savannnah, GA, and Charleston, SC, causing the worst inland flooding since 1607. (David Ludlum)

 

1940: A Category 2 hurricane struck the Georgia and South Carolina coast. A 13-foot storm tide was measured along the South Carolina coast, while over 15 inches of rain fell across northern North Carolina. Significant flooding and landslides struck Georgia, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia during the system's slow trek as a weakening tropical storm, and then as an extratropical cyclone, through the Southeast. The landslides which struck North Carolina were considered a once in a century event. Damages relating to the storm totaled $13 million (1940 USD), and 50 people perished.

1944 - The temperature at Burlington, VT, soared to an all-time record high of 101 degrees. (The Weather Channel) The Dog Days officially come to an end on this date, having begun the third day in July. Superstition has it that dogs tend to become mad during that time of the year. (The Weather Channel)

1980 - Clouds and moisture from Hurricane Allen provided a brief break from the torrid Texas heatwave, with daily highs mostly in the 70s to lower 90s. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - An early evening thunderstorm in Wyoming produced hail up to two inches in diameter from Alva to Hulett. Snow plows had to be used to clear Highway 24 south of Hulett, where hail formed drifts two feet deep. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Moisture from what remained of Tropical Storm Beryl resulted in torrential rains across eastern Texas. Twelve and a half inches of rain deluged Enterprise TX, which was more than the amount received there during the previous eight months. Philadelphia PA reported a record forty-four days of 90 degree weather for the year. Baltimore MD and Newark NJ reported a record fourteen straight days of 90 degree heat. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - One of the most severe convective outbreaks of record came to a climax in southern California after four days. Thunderstorms deluged Benton CA with six inches of rain two days in a row, and the flooding which resulted caused more than a million dollars damage to homes and highways. Thunderstorms around Yellowstone Park WY produced four inches of rain in twenty minutes resulting in fifteen mudslides. Thunderstorms over Long Island NY drenched Suffolk County with 8 to 10 inches of rain. Twenty-three cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. It was, for some cities, the fourth straight morning of record cold temperatures. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1999: An F2 tornado touched down in the metropolitan area of Salt Lake City. The tornado lasted ten minutes and killed one person, injured more than 80 people, and caused more than $170 million in damages. It was the most destructive tornado in Utah's history and awakened the entire state's population to the fact that the Beehive State does experience tornadoes. 

[JerseyWx]

22 minutes ago, BucksCO_PA said:

Since 2010 Sept has been much more summer like as opposed to the traditional start of fall. Recently Sept has been great month to hit the S. Jersey beaches, ocean water in the 70's & plenty of days in the 80's even late in the month. 

My personal clock doesn't hit fall until OCT 1st.

Exactly.  I actually like warmth and AN temps until Halloween.  After that I understand winter is going to be arriving.

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, BucksCO_PA said:

Since 2010 Sept has been much more summer like as opposed to the traditional start of fall. Recently Sept has been great month to hit the S. Jersey beaches, ocean water in the 70's & plenty of days in the 80's even late in the month. 

My personal clock doesn't hit fall until OCT 1st.

Other than the earlier sunsets I agree-it's one of the best months of the year weatherwise...

[Jacob brooklyn]

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Other than the earlier sunsets I agree-it's one of the best months of the year weatherwise...

How exciting 

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, Jacob brooklyn said:

How exciting 

[FPizz]

4 hours ago, BucksCO_PA said:

Since 2010 Sept has been much more summer like as opposed to the traditional start of fall. Recently Sept has been great month to hit the S. Jersey beaches, ocean water in the 70's & plenty of days in the 80's even late in the month. 

My personal clock doesn't hit fall until OCT 1st.

Fall typically lines up better with the traditional change of seasons not met fall

[cleetussnow]

4 hours ago, nycwinter said:

counting down the end of summer..the end of summer for me starts sept 1..

My summer ends around dec. 11. Starts up again around 12/24, then ends again around jan 4, then return for Feb, and then winter comes back march 20 through may 1, then summer fires back up may 30.  

[SnoSki14]

There's definitely some real heat potential after mid August on the models. 

Will it get pushed back, we'll see but so far there's some holding 

[SACRUS]

8/11

EWR: 88
LGA: 87
BLM: 86
New Brnswck: 86
TEB: 86
JFK: 86
TTN: 86
PHL: 86
ACY: 85
NYC: 85
ISP: 84

[Rjay]

[SnoSki14]

GFS wants to give us 100s while Euro keeps heat away

[CIK62]

The next 8 days are averaging  83degs.(74/92) or +7.

Reached 91 here yesterday at 6pm.

Today:   81-85, wind e. to s., m. cloudy, Rain by 7pm., 73 tomorrow AM.

74*(74%RH) at 7am{was 73 earlier}.   77* at 10am.     80* at Noon.     82* at 2:30pm......then a quickie TS and 77* at 3pm.

GFS with no rains and a colossal HW to look forward to.

OR DO YOU PREFER:

[nycwinter]

2 hours ago, CIK62 said:

The next 8 days are averaging  83degs.(74/92) or +7.

Reached 91 here yesterday at 6pm.

Today:   81-85, wind e. to s., m. cloudy, Rain by 7pm., 73 tomorrow AM.

74*(74%RH) at 7am{was 73 earlier}.

GFS with no rains and a colossal HW to look forward to.

OR DO YOU PREFER:

why you keep posting this gfs garbage you know these temps will never happen.

[SACRUS]

 

76/ 65 and partly cloudy. Some scattered storms later otherwise warm and a bit humid and mid / upper 80s.  Sun (8/13) dry and warm - great beach day.  Upper 80s to low 90s in the warm spots.  By Mon (8/14) trough is approaching with clouds and showers/ storms by the later that night into Tue (8/15) next widespread storms and rain for the area.  Beyond there overall warm with spurts of heat before ridging builds into the east by next weekend 8/19 - 8/20.  We'll see if its a drier NW/W flow like the Euro or the Western Atlantic Ridge inluenced SW flow.  But overall in the beyond looking warmer to much warmer than normal the last 1/3 of the month.

 

  

[tristateweatherFB]

10 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

why you keep posting this gfs garbage you know these temps will never happen.

Bingo!  He posts gfs crap All the time w epic fails.  

[SACRUS]

Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 98 (2021)  August blast 2 years ago
NYC: 97 (1944)
LGA: 98 (2021)


Lows:

EWR: 54 (1954)
NYC: 55 (1989)
LGA: 56 (1979)

Historical:

 

1752: The following is from the Journals of the Rev. Thomas Smith, and the Rev. Samuel Deane, published in 1849. “In the evening there was dismal thunder and lightning, and abundance of rain, and such a hurricane as was never the like in these parts of the world.” This hurricane struck Portland, Maine. 

 

1778 - A Rhode Island hurricane prevented an impending British-French sea battle, and caused extensive damage over southeast New England. (David Ludlum)

1933 - The temperature at Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, CA, hit 127 degrees to establish a U.S. record for the month of August. (The Weather Channel)

1936 - The temperature at Seymour, TX, hit 120 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1955 - During the second week of August hurricanes Connie and Diane produced as much as 19 inches of rain in the northeastern U.S. forcing rivers from Virginia to Massachusetts into a high flood. Westfield MA was deluged with 18.15 inches of rain in 24 hours, and at Woonsocket RI the Blackstone River swelled from seventy feet in width to a mile and a half. Connecticut and the Delaware Valley were hardest hit. Total damage in New England was 800 million dollars, and flooding claimed 187 lives. (David Ludlum)

1987 - Early afternoon thunderstorms in Arizona produced 3.90 inches of rain in ninety minutes at Walnut National Monument (located east of Flagstaff), along with three inches of pea size hail, which had to be plowed off the roads. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Fifteen cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Youngstown OH reported twenty-six days of 90 degree weather for the year, a total equal to that for the entire decade of the 1970s. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms were scattered across nearly every state in the Union by late in the day. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Fergus Falls MN, and golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 60 mph at Black Creek WI. In the Chicago area, seven persons at a forest preserve in North Riverside were injured by lightning. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

2004: Hurricane Charley was the third named storm and the second hurricane of the 2004 Atlantic hurricane season. Charley lasted from August 9 to August 15, and at its peak intensity, it attained 150 mph winds, making it a strong Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. It made landfall in southwestern Florida at maximum strength, making it the most powerful hurricane to hit the United States since Hurricane Andrew struck Florida in 1992.

 

2005: A tornado strikes Wright, Wyoming, a coal-mining community, killing two and destroying 91 homes and damaging about 30 more in around the town.

 

[nycsnow]

Spc: 

Northeast...
   Scattered thunderstorms should develop later this morning into
   afternoon, over the mid/upper Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes
   regions.  This activity should pose an increasing threat for hail,
   damaging to severe gusts, and a few tornadoes as it moves eastward
   across the outlook area, with the greatest threats in and near the
   "enhanced" corridor. 

   This will occur as large-scale ascent, deep-layer wind profiles and
   vertical shear all strengthen ahead of the Great Lakes shortwave
   trough, and perhaps ahead of an eastward-moving MCV or convectively
   enhanced vorticity lobe from morning activity over IL.  These
   processes, occurring along and ahead of the surface cold front, may
   support multiple rounds of convection.  Activity will impinge on a
   diurnally destabilizing and favorably moist boundary layer, commonly
   characterized by surface dewpoints in the upper 50s to upper 60s F. 
   In addition to heating, moist advection ahead of the convection
   should help to: 
   1.  Strengthen buoyancy over areas of PA/NY now containing more
   modest theta-e than in the Ohio Valley, and 
   2.  Offset vertical boundary-layer mixing enough to maintain or even
   increase preconvective dewpoints farther west.  

   MLCAPE in the 1500-2000 J/kg range should become common, in a
   supercell-supporting kinematic parameter space of 40-55-kt
   effective-shear magnitudes.  Though near-surface flow may be weak,
   veering with height and hodograph curvature should be greatest near
   the NY/PA border and into western NY, with effective SRH in the
   150-300 J/kg range.  Analog soundings and a 2-D hail model applied
   to forecast soundings each suggest significant-severe hail may
   occur, with the risk of a few such reports now appearing large
   enough to draw an unconditional area.  Otherwise, the wind and
   tornado threats largely appear to be similar to those described in
   the previous outlook, with minor adjustments made for more-recent
   progs of convective trends. 

[MJO812]

3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

GFS wants to give us 100s while Euro keeps heat away

Euro and CMC are much cooler

[MJO812]

21 hours ago, nycwinter said:

counting down the end of summer..the end of summer for me starts sept 1..

Same here

[the_other_guy]

3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

GFS wants to give us 100s while Euro keeps heat away

considering we haven’t had extended 100s in many years, I would say the GFS is full of shit. I think that would also be the third time this summer they tried to give us 100s

[cleetussnow]

A frontal system will affect the area with the potential for strong
to severe thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and night. The
main threat is for damaging wind gusts and large hail. However, a
brief tornado is possible, and mainly north and west of NYC. The
Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the Tri-State Area under
a Slight Risk (isolated to scattered) for severe weather.

In addition, the Weather Prediction Center has placed the area in a
moderate to slight risk for excessive rainfall with a low risk of
flash flooding anticipated this afternoon and night.

 

yay.

 

[MJO812]

Sun is out after a quick shower here in Brooklyn

[doncat]

Few showers around last hour or so...Had quick one here with 0.08" about 30 min ago.

[BucksCO_PA]

2 hours ago, nycwinter said:

why you keep posting this gfs garbage you know these temps will never happen.

Individual runs of the GFS have forecast 100+ at PHL at least 25 times this summer, highest temp so far has been 95 degrees. This is just thru 8/11 & doesn't even reflect the recent onslaught of 100 degree forecasts for future dates.

You can upgrade that model all you want but it's still embarrassing.

[winterwx21]

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Same here

Summer and winter are my favorite seasons. I hate to see summer come to an end. Fall is boring. 

[SnoSki14]

11 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Summer and winter are my favorite seasons. I hate to see summer come to an end. Fall is boring. 

Completely disagree. The journey to winter along with everything that comes with it is the best part imo. 

Sept & Oct are my favorite months

[winterwx21]

12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Completely disagree. The journey to winter along with everything that comes with it is the best part imo. 

Sept & Oct are my favorite months

All seasons have some good things to offer, but I think winter and summer are most interesting for weather enthusiasts. 

[Jacob brooklyn]

12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Completely disagree. The journey to winter along with everything that comes with it is the best part imo. 

Sept & Oct are my favorite months

Agree. The anticipation for for the winter being up next. The cool comfortable weather. And if lucky the nice folliage to set the scene