hudsonvalley21 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 Mesoscale Discussion 1900 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0718 PM CDT Mon Aug 07 2023 Areas affected...Hudson Valley to western Long Island Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608... Valid 080018Z - 080215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging winds are possible with thunderstorms this evening. DISCUSSION...MCS that evolved over southeast PA continues its eastward surge early this evening. Latest radar data suggests an MCV is located along the PA/NJ line over eastern Monroe County PA. This feature is lifting northeast and will likely track across Orange County NY in the next 1-1.5 hours. Primary bowing segment south of the MCV is now surging off the NJ Coast, so the most organized portion of the MCS should focus across the lower Hudson Valley over the next few hours. Damaging winds are the primary concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 1.11" for the day (and counting) between this morning's rain and the weakening line just now. Nothing exciting in terms of severe obviously, which has been the theme all summer here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 Intensifying for LI 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 Not too shabby. Impressive ctc and alright gusts fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 I honestly forgot there was a severe threat today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 Damn looks like a cold pool aloft type precip shield. We will take the rain on the drought stricken south shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 A couple of loud cracks of thunder with 30mph gust and just some light rain, 0.12", to go along with this mornings 0.75". High temp of 83°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Damn looks like a cold pool aloft type precip shield. We will take the rain on the drought stricken south shore Haven't seen such a well defined mcs in a long while, i for sure thought it'd be a tad bit stronger than this on arrival (mainly in terms of lightning) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Intensifying for LI I don’t see that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I don’t see that It looked like it briefly pulsed up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 4 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: Haven't seen such a well defined mcs in a long while, i for sure thought it'd be a tad bit stronger than this on arrival (mainly in terms of lightning) Had one a few weeks ago which was much stronger for NYC and the island 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: It looked like it briefly pulsed up It did and is causing a rain delay at Citi Field, but even at that it was just some moderate rain. The evening part of this event ended up being a bust for most of the area, but we saw that coming. I don't get very excited about a severe threat when it's progged to hit this late at night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 8 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Had one a few weeks ago which was much stronger for NYC and the island Lol few hours earlier and we'd have no power right now , that was a baby compared to this. NJ...only place where you can get a f2 tornado in the middle of winter but a dying line in the dead of summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: It did and is causing a rain delay at Citi Field, but even at that it was just some moderate rain. The evening part of this event ended up being a bust for most of the area, but we saw that coming. I don't get very excited about a severe threat when it's progged to hit this late at night. The only model that seemed excited about it was the euro. Ended up with .12" this round .8 for the day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 Jeez rain shield literally vanished from existence once it reached the nassau suffolk border 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 Strong southerly breeze all day put a lid on thunderstorm chances here. Have picked up about 2/3 of an inch on the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 Lol Delmarvas getting absolutely smoked line after line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 8/7 PHL: 88 New Brnswck: 85 TEB: 85 EWR: 84 TTN: 84 LGA: 82 BLM: 82 ACY: 82 NYC: 81 JFK: 79 ISP: 79 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 9 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: Lol Delmarvas getting absolutely smoked line after line They're actually in the warm sector. WX/PT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 1 hour ago, Rmine1 said: Nothing? Like not a single drop? Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 .20 total here .93 for the day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 an embarrassing .14....56 on the day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 Not much from this batch of rain, only about 0.01”, 0.36” for the day here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 74 and windy, some of these gusts are pretty potent, I just had to avoid walking under some trees. Light rain fell apart on arrival, only sporadic raindrops at best. High of 78, and a heavy rain induced low of 69. 1.05” today, all of it from this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 Poof 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 8/7 Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (2001) NYC: 104 (1918) LGA: 99 (2001) Lows: EWR: 57 (1948) NYC: 57 (1994) LGA: 61 (1975) Historical: 1904 - A flash flood near Pueblo, CO, washed a train from the tracks killing 89 passengers. A bridge, weakened by the floodwaters sweeping through the valley below, gave way under the weight of the train dashing all but the sleeping cars into the torrent drowning the occupants. Rail service was frequently interrupted in the Rocky Mountain Region and southwestern U.S. that summer due to numerous heavy downpours which washed out the railroad beds delaying trains as much as five days. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1918 - Philadelphia, PA, established an all-time record with a high of 106 degrees. New York City experienced its warmest day and night with a low of 82 degrees and a high of 102 degrees. Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Flemington NJ and Somerville NJ established state records for the month of August. (The Weather Channel) (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1924: A tornado caused estimated F4 damage moved southeast from south of Osseo, WI to Black River Falls, WI. One person was killed as a home was leveled and a boy was killed running to the storm cellar near the start of the path. Two people died as farm homes were swept away near the northeast edge of Black River Falls. Damage totaled $200,000 as 50 farms were hit and buildings were unroofed in the town of Northfield. The tornado followed the present route of Interstate 94. 1984 - El Paso, TX, normally receives 1.21 inches of rain in August. They got it in forty-five minutes, with four more inches to boot, during a storm which left Downtown El Paso under five feet of water. (The Weather Channel) 1986 - A rare outbreak of seven tornadoes occurred in New England. One tornado carved its way through Cranston RI and Providence RI causing twenty injuries. Rhode Island had not reported a tornado in twelve years, and three touched down in 24 hours. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1987 - Morning thunderstorms drenched Goldsboro, NC, with 3.37 inches of rain. Late morning thunderstorms in Arizona produced dime size hail, wind gusts to 50 mph, and two inches of rain, at Sierra Vista. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A dozen cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Waco, TX, with a reading of 107 degrees. The record high of 88 degrees at Marquette, MI, was their twenty-third of the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Nebraska, Minnesota and Wisconsin, with wind gusts to 81 mph reported at McCool, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Forty cities in the central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Valentine, NE, with a reading of 40 degrees, and Belcourt ND with a low of 37 degrees. Martin SD was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 30 degrees. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed over Florida and Washington State, with record highs of 100 degress at Daytona Beach, FL, 101 degrees at Walla Walla, WA, and 103 degrees at Hanford, WA. (The National Weather Summary) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 8, 2023 Author Share Posted August 8, 2023 Picked up 0.94" of rain for the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 GFS LR really wants to roast us but other models say hold on. In fact the WAR ends up being weaker with time, usually it's the opposite. So the jury's still out on any prolonged heat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 1.13” on the day yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 79degs.(71/87) or +3. Reached 79 here yesterday at 6pm. Today: 77-82, wind w., m. cloudy, some sun late, 70 tomorrow AM. 71*(97%RH) here at 7am. 73* at 9am. 75* at 11am. Reached 82* at 4pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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