CIK62 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 1:27 PM, nycwinter said: why you keep posting this gfs garbage you know these temps will never happen. Expand WRONG QUESTION. Why does it keep showing these outbursts over the years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 A little rumble, a flash or two and a short but heavy downpour puts me at .3 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Brief shower here. 0.05” maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On the water when the warm front moved in. Winds had to have gusted to 35 knots in pouring rain. Chaos in the mooring field. Boats drifting, my swimming float was flying in the air behind the boat and ripped. Wild stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Got quite humid, up to 86/74 currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Damn..Storms popping up over Central nj...just got to top of sourland Mt and started thundering 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Thundering here on Staten Island with showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 4:18 PM, CIK62 said: WRONG QUESTION. Why does it keep showing these outbursts over the years? Expand Model is awful ? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Sunshower by me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 An Under the Boardwalk quickie for Coney Island at 2:50pm to 3:05pm. Scores of sand sculptures escaped damage. Today is the annual contest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Heavy rain with the sun out in Staten Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 WOW! The last time I had this many girls chasing after me.................I was running naked across the beach. JB says Get Ready to Take Cover inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 6:01 PM, Stormlover74 said: Damn..Storms popping up over Central nj...just got to top of sourland Mt and started thundering Expand Sourland Mountain, nice! I was in Shoprite when a heavy downpour happened. Got home and saw that it was dry. Missed my house by just a couple miles to the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Saw that line south of the island and decided to head in. I hit the dock and a massive storm hits Lloyd Harbor where I just was. Tons of lightning. Not leaving again today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 7:45 PM, winterwx21 said: Sourland Mountain, nice! I was in Shoprite when a heavy downpour happened. Got home and saw that it was dry. Missed my house by just a couple miles to the southeast. Expand Yeah I cut the hike short after it started to lightning but that storm moved off to the east. Then I hit a decent storm in the Hopewell area but when I got home it hadn't done anything 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Pretty epic super cells in eastern Ohio right now headed into PA. As per usual I doubt much survives for us later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 This evening into tonight will likely see scattered showers and thundershowers. A few thunderstorms could be strong to perhaps severe. Not all locations will see thunderstorms. Tomorrow through Tuesday will see readings near or somewhat above normal before a cold front brings briefly cooler readings. Overall, the August 14-21 period looks to be warmer than normal. Abnormal heat could persist across the southern U.S. into the fourth week of August. Afterward, the intensity of the heat could fade even as the heat expands in geographic scope. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around August 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.07°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased. The SOI was +4.73 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.556 today. On August 11 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.214 (RMM). The August 10-adjusted amplitude was 1.407 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 51% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.0° (0.1° below normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 12, 2023 Author Share Posted August 12, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 10:08 PM, Rtd208 said: Expand For when?,? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 10:32 PM, Jacob brooklyn said: For when?,? Expand It says til midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 10:32 PM, Jacob brooklyn said: For when?,? Expand Good evening Jacob. The information is on the upper left hand side of the of the watch box. Easy to miss if you’re focused on the map. Stay well, as always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 10:37 PM, Stormlover74 said: It says til midnight Expand Let's see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 10:42 PM, Jacob brooklyn said: Let's see what happens Expand Have to wait and see if those storms in western PA make it here...if so after 10pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 10:46 PM, Stormlover74 said: Have to wait and see if those storms in western PA make it here...if so after 10pm Expand Yeah I think that area is our best best for anything significant. Has been producing tons of supercells. So obviously allot instability/shear with that zone heading east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 10:46 PM, Stormlover74 said: Have to wait and see if those storms in western PA make it here...if so after 10pm Expand Yeah, just doesn't feel or look like it outside now. Nice cool breeze now. A few hours can change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 HRRR does have some activity tonight so maybe some storms will survive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 7:25 PM, CIK62 said: WOW! The last time I had this many girls chasing after me.................I was running naked across the beach. JB says Get Ready to Take Cover inland. Expand If JB says it we can all safely plan a beach vacation. Good lord how anyone listens to that damn clown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Gonna be some big totals between Monticello and Poughkeepsie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted August 13, 2023 Share Posted August 13, 2023 Looks like everything is drying up over Pa. Not expecting anything on LI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 13, 2023 Share Posted August 13, 2023 https://x.com/nwsnewyorkny/status/1690518663869440000?s=46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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