Stormlover74 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Tomorrow looking like a solid 1 to 2" now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 So far August at Bridgeport, Islip, Kennedy, La Guardia, Newark and Central Park, temperatures are a high of -1.7 at Newark to a low of -3.5 at LaGuardia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Rgem went north a bit with the heaviest which is still on the table 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 24 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Rgem went north a bit with the heaviest which is still on the table 06z euro went back north again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Euro with 1-2 for tomorrow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 What a day today. Nice and warm at 87 degrees here, but very comfortable with the dewpoint at 57. A perfect Summer day. A nice soaking tomorrow, and then another perfect Summer day on Friday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 A few popup storms/showers into NE PA - see if they make it to NW NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Went through the Midway Manor neighborhood in Allentown that took the tornado hit Monday evening. This was not a TOR warned storm. Damage was mainly to some large trees with some structural damage as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 9, 2023 Author Share Posted August 9, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Both NAMS backed off their big 12z run bigly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 9, 2023 Author Share Posted August 9, 2023 https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 9 hours ago, MANDA said: Stellar morning of weather for early August. Temperature of 62, DP upper 50's and a bit of a gusty breeze with clear skies. Considering how hot and nasty it could be at this time of year this is just great weather! The last 2 weeks for the most part have been stellar. The weekends have been....chefs' kiss. One of the nicest 2 weeks of summer weather in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 87 today, spot on the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 8 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Tomorrow looking like a solid 1 to 2" now Hopefully it’s region wide, I haven’t gotten a 1”+ rain event since May 20th (and only had 2.73” in total for july) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Hopefully it’s region wide, I haven’t gotten a 1”+ rain event since May 20th (and only had 2.73” in total for july) Models have waffled a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Take the euro..cut way back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Rain and thunderstorms will likely return to the region tomorrow. Parts of the region could see 1" or more rainfall. Near-term heat is unlikely. The latest ECMWF weeklies continue to show no notable heat through at least the first half of August. However, the August 14-21 period looks to be warmer than normal. Abnormal heat could persist across the southern U.S. for much or all of the next two weeks. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around August 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.07°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased. The SOI was -27.74 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.868 today. On August 7 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.218 (RMM). The August 6-adjusted amplitude was 1.536 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 56% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.4° (0.7° below normal). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 8/9 EWR: 90 LGA: 88 BLM: 87 TEB: 87 JFK: 87 ACY: 87 PHL: 87 NYC: 86 New Brnswck: 86 ISP: 85 TTN: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Take the euro..cut way back .25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: .25 1-2”, to .25. Next run? Zippo? Dare to dream for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 ugh 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 if the nam and mini nams are way amped with a small low they're probably wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 7 minutes ago, forkyfork said: if the nam and mini nams are way amped with a small low they're probably wrong HRRR not having anything tomorrow is concerning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Nams Cut way back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: HRRR not having anything tomorrow is concerning Love it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 38 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Nams Cut way back Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Just looked at all the models after being out since mid afternoon, and wow what a difference from what the 12z models were showing. I see RGEM cut way back too. Hopefully we can at least get a halfway decent soaking if we miss the big amounts, but even that is in question now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Just looked at all the models after being out since mid afternoon, and wow what a difference from what the 12z models were showing. I see RGEM cut way back too. Hopefully we can at least get a halfway decent soaking if we miss the big amounts, but even that is in question now. It's like we went from a 12 to 18" snowstorm to 3 to 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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