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August model and weather disco


weathafella
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3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Euro still blew though.

It’s 100% not debatable we’ve been in a weird dry hole for a while now locally. Is what it is.

Eh. You take models too literally. Usually you go south with these and that’s what’s happening. Can see on radar what euro was keying on. 

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1 hour ago, klw said:

2.25 at home in past hour or so.  7.28 in August and over 30 inches since June started.

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KVTNORWI24

That’s insane.

3.37” in August here and 23” same time frame.

The persistent SSE low level wind flow ahead of these systems has really favored the SE sides of the general terrain uplift.  You guys in eastern VT really did very well.  Convective precip loves the hills/topography in eastern VT coming out of the CT River Valley.  ORH Hills and Berkshires too.

54421328-7E50-4814-B27B-45301B347100.jpeg.58784531df29cb4bde542bea84a5803e.jpeg

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NAM definitely has a nice severe threat on Sunday. Steep mid level lapse rates (~7c/km), MLCAPE over 2500 j/kg, and about 40 knots of deep layer shear. Could definitely see some big hailers and wind if that verifies. Favored areas probably include the coast with the front overhead and westerly flow. 

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8 hours ago, powderfreak said:

That’s insane.

3.37” in August here and 23” same time frame.

The persistent SSE low level wind flow ahead of these systems has really favored the SE sides of the general terrain uplift.  You guys in eastern VT really did very well.  Convective precip loves the hills/topography in eastern VT coming out of the CT River Valley.  ORH Hills and Berkshires too.

54421328-7E50-4814-B27B-45301B347100.jpeg.58784531df29cb4bde542bea84a5803e.jpeg

August 7.28

July 15.08

June  8.46

 

May 3.12 (stein!)

April   5.55

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