weatherwiz Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 I’d love 95-100…I’d love even more 95-100 with dews in the 70’s. But if 95-100 can’t happen keep the dews in the 70’s. Sweat for all 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 man... the NAM 32KM is really going nuts trying to use convective physics to engineer a near bombogen sub synoptic scaled low. fascinating. excruciating nerd factor of 10 on the scaled of dweeblism but fascinating for someone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 19 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: yeah, you're not in New England, are you? Because we we had in July was very humid with warm mins. Not one single poster here (aside from maybe DIT) would characterize this past July as intense heat. i mean, I had 5 days at 90 or above, which is perfectly normal for my neck of the woods in New England Interesting. It might have been driven by lows, but it certainly wasn't a result of the urban heat island effect. Mount Washington, NH (Pop: 0) Caribou, ME (Pop: 7,396) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Not at all related to UHI. It was all due to dews 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Congrats NH Maine GYX posted this graphic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I’d love 95-100…I’d love even more 95-100 with dews in the 70’s. But if 95-100 can’t happen keep the dews in the 70’s. Sweat for all Going to Disney Saturday through Wednesday . I expected brutally hot but not record highs with temps near 100 and dews 75-80+ (highest with afternoon sea breeze) heat index values are 105-115 most of the day maxing out 115-120. Heat index went above 100 today at 8am! Orlando tied their record today I think at 99. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Going to Disney Saturday through Wednesday . I expected brutally hot but not record highs with temps near 100 and afternoon dews 75-80.. heat index values are 110-120 Weird that NE CT is excluded from the watch with several inches of rain last 2 weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 1 hour ago, MaineJayhawk said: Warm September? Sign me up More likely just a heat spell ...magnitude to be determined. Sometimes these signals can be eroded at both ends all the way down to just a two day warm sector. I spoke a bit at length about the global telecon behavior so ...yeeeah, that lends a bit more to it. But I gotta say, I've been noticing a lot more over the past 7 years, times when leading telecon spread/projections leave something to be desired with the realized patterns that resulted, too. Between summer index correlation dimming, and that latter aspect ... have to be conservative for the time being. The signal is there for now, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Going to Disney Saturday through Wednesday . I expected brutally hot but not record highs with temps near 100 and afternoon dews 75-80.. heat index values are 110-120 The heat/humidity has been quite relentless down that way. I think yesterday at 8 AM MIA had a HI close to 100 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Going to Disney Saturday through Wednesday . I expected brutally hot but not record highs with temps near 100 and afternoon dews 75-80.. heat index values are 110-120 Shoot me in that weather in that place , holy geezus, Are people not dropping Like flies at the park 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: The heat/humidity has been quite relentless down that way. I think yesterday at 8 AM MIA had a HI close to 100 Ya I saw that, wild! 90/80 by 8:30am in some spots 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Shoot me in that weather in that place , holy gee But they get the daily 3PM thunderstorm to cool it off (not really- just like adding water in a sauna) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: But they get the daily 3PM thunderstorm to cool it off (not really- just like adding water in a sauna) If you are 95 + ( to upper 90’s) with mid 70 dews it very easy to over do it . That is heat we don’t experience and you find out fast you can’t be in the sun too long. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Solid discussion from BOX highlighting the uncertainty tomorrow and flooding/severe potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: But they get the daily 3PM thunderstorm to cool it off (not really- just like adding water in a sauna) My wife says I’m being dramatic and it’s always this hot in Florida and we will be fine. No respect! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: If you are 95 + ( to upper 90’s) with mid 70 dews it very easy to over do it . That is heat we don’t experience and you find out fast you can’t be in the sun too long. Especially with the higher sun angle there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: are you trying to convince us or yourself So bad On 7/29/2023 at 9:00 AM, forkyfork said: heartbreaking 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Severe potential is all about how much llvl CAPE can materialize which the best bet will be in the true warm sector. It likely will have to be pretty sufficient too as shear is going to be quite strong. So if there isn’t enough instability any rotation will be pretty meh and updrafts will be ripped apart easily. LCL’s should be super low which helps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: look at that wave train leading to a retrograde Maybe this time.... lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 35 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: My last 90F temp was June 2 ORH was April 18th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Severe potential is all about how much llvl CAPE can materialize which the best bet will be in the true warm sector. It likely will have to be pretty sufficient too as shear is going to be quite strong. So if there isn’t enough instability any rotation will be pretty meh and updrafts will be ripped apart easily. LCL’s should be super low which helps mm.. the majority of guidance ( the NAM is just on roids for some reason ) closing off contours with some kind of coastal is ....well, kind of doesn't seem realistic but be that as it may, if that happens... ? nothing but heavy rain bundles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 37 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I can envision a few days of 85/74 in late October with a massive front delivering a tree toppling derecho and then 5 days later a 12-18” heavy, wet snow event taking down the rest of the trees. Put down the 40. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 32 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Interesting. It might have been driven by lows, but it certainly wasn't a result of the urban heat island effect. Mount Washington, NH (Pop: 0) Caribou, ME (Pop: 7,396) All driven by high nightly lows.ORH max high was 89 which put it 92nd out of 126 Julys maxes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 What an incredible tragedy for the town of Lahaina. It appears virtually nothing along front street is left. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Maybe this time.... lol he's been trying for big heat since May...seasonal trend/pattern doesn't support it especially with waterlogged ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: What an incredible tragedy for the town of Lahaina. It appears virtually nothing along front street is left. If you do know what EEK is referring to https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/2023/08/09/coast-guard-joins-brush-fire-response-lahaina-where-crews-continue-battle-wind-whipped-flames/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: mm.. the majority of guidance ( the NAM is just on roids for some reason ) closing off contours with some kind of coastal is ....well, kind of doesn't seem realistic but be that as it may, if that happens... ? nothing but heavy rain bundles Yeah I’m thinking heavy rain and flooding is by far the biggest concern here. I don’t even think there is much thunder really. Those lapse rates are about as terrible as you can get. Obviously if southern areas can tap into the higher theta-e air it’s a different story with low potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 15 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: My wife says I’m being dramatic and it’s always this hot in Florida and we will be fine. No respect! It is brutal in July and August in general there. Add a few more degrees and the misery increases. Avoid the parks mid day. Head back to the resort and pool. Take a nap 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: What an incredible tragedy for the town of Lahaina. It appears virtually nothing along front street is left. Yeah. I’ve been watching reports from there. Devastating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: he's been trying for big heat since May...seasonal trend/pattern doesn't support it especially with waterlogged ground Nothing but a troll anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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